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Characteristics of Bear Market

  
  Education
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  • Sellers are in control
  • Oversold often stays oversold for a long time
  • Markets drop a lot faster than they go up
  • Bear markets burn and churn accounts with long only exposure
  • Volume and liquidity can dry up but price can still drop significantly
  • ‘Cheap’ can get a lot ‘cheaper’
  • Hope is slowly destroyed
  • Vicious bear market rallies try to suck in traders to trap them
  • Expect lots of gaps to the downside
  • It takes a long time until market participants throw in the towel

This is appropriate trading behaviour during bear markets:

  • Either in cash or short
  • Sell the rallies mentality
  • Do NOT buy the dips
  • Do not even think about going long if you are not an active and experienced trader

Managing your energy

  
  Education
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When we get up in the morning, we have a certain amount of energy. It is up to us to decide how we will use our energy and where we will focus it. So how do you manage your energy during the day?

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    • What activities energize you and what drains your energy?
    • How do you sequence your activities?
    • Do you try to do everything yourself, or do you focus on your strengths and delegate the rest?
    • How do you deal with stress?
    • How do you motivate yourself?
    • Who do you surround yourself with?
    • How do you manage your energy?
    • How do you deal with the bad news or naysayers?
    • How do you deal with emails, phone calls, IMs and other things that can distract you?
    • Are you being productive or running out of time each day?

    If you try to be everything to everyone, you get burned out.

    You might have heard of the 80/20 rule – 20% of our efforts get 80% of our results. You can focus your energy on the efforts that get you the results, or let yourself get distracted. When you get distracted, you are very busy, however you do not produce the result that you want in the time frame that you want. The choice is yours.

Techniques of Tape Reading

  
  Education
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technique-animatedThis (Trading) is not a job where you get paid by the hour.
You get paid for doing the right thing.
Forget that your money is at stake. Money in trading account is just a tool for making money. Preserve your tool. You need it to make money.
Don’t let the outcome of one trade alter your trading discipline. One trade doesn’t make a system…
Trading is a game of probabilities. You don’t have to be right every time. You just have to follow your rules.
You decide your fate; the market doesn’t.
Pure followers of stock pickers will never be around… Learn or you are bankrupt.
Be aggressive in trending market and conservative in choppy market.
Take home runs when you can, but don’t beat yourself up about missing a few.
One trade should never make or break your account.

Greece – About to Hit the Panic Button?

  
Analysis, Economy, Education
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Well it would appear that all the talk of the European Union and the IMF standing at the ready did not calm the markets when it was being discussed over the past month. It was hoped that the markets would be calmed if they knew that Greece had support from its neighbors.

That was Plan A, now it is time for Plan B, or C, D, E…

The Greek government’s cost of borrowing has hit a new high as talks on a joint eurozone and International Monetary Fund (IMF) rescue plan begin.

The interest rate on 10-year government bonds hit 8.3% – the highest since the euro was introduced.

Rates rose as it became clear that talks over the aid package may not be finished until days before a multi-billion-euro loan is due for repayment.

Investors are becoming more convinced that Greece will need to be rescued.

Greece’s finance ministry said the talks with the European Commission and the IMF would take about two weeks, with a joint text issued on about 15 May. […] (BBC)

It would appear that Greece is about to hit the button

Wednesday, April 21, 2010 1:27:13 PM
Greece Fin Min: Will make decision on whether or not to trigger the aid mechanism soon – Notes that the IMF will have discussions over the competitiveness of the country. No further austerity measures this year are likely.

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