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False Beliefs About Trading the Markets

1) What goes up must come down and vice versa.

That’s Newton’s law, not the law of trading. And even if the market does eventully self-correct, you have no idea when it will happen. In short, there’s no point blowing up your account fighthing the tape.

2) You have to be smart to make money.

No, what you have to be is disciplined. If you want to be smart, write a book or teach at a university. If you want to make money, listen to what the market is telling you and trade to make money — not to be “right.”

3) Making money is hard.

Nope. Sorry. Making money is actually easy. Statistically, you’re going to do it about half the time. Keeping it, now that’s the hard part.

4) I have to have a high winning percentage to be profitable.

Not true. How often you are right on a trade is only half of the equation. The other half is how much do you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong. You can remember that with this formula:

Probability (odds of it going up or down) x Magnitude (how much it goes up or down) = Profitability

5) To be successful, I have to trade without emotions.

That is both wrong and impossible. You are human so you have emotions. Emotions can be a powerful motivator to your trading.

When you feel angry or scared in trading, take that emotion and translate it into something more productive. For example, if you’re feeling angry because you just got run over by the market, view that anger as a reason to be more focused and disciplined in your entry and exit levels on the next trade.

15 Common Sense Rules For Traders

Common sense can be brutally honest sometimes. As traders we get so focused on the little inconsequential detaisl sometimes that we miss the world around us. I have had this discussion with too many people over the last two months that told me they were bearish on the market and were taking a beating on the “high probability” that the market would reverse. Who sets those odds by the way? Are trends more likely to reverse than persist? If so, why the hell are we studying technical analysis?

Take a look over these trading rules I stumbled across last year and see if there are any realities that surface from them. Each time I look these over it reminds me of the realities of what we do here.

1. No matter what you read about trading, until you use an approach and test it with your money on the line you will never learn how to trade. Paper Trading is NOT Trading!

2. If it were really possible to “Buy Low Sell High” or “Cut your Losses and Let your Winners Run”, then almost everyone would be making money rather than losing it.

3. Remember that there is ALWAYS someone on the other side of your trade who is using a trading technique exactly the opposite of yours who hopes to make money with his system.

4. If 90% of all traders lose money, they must be following generally accepted trading rules. The 10% who win do not!

5. You trade your beliefs and your beliefs about your system. If you have a problem with yourself, fix yourself first.

6. Impatience, Fear and Greed will make you poor. Any need to trade is rooted in greed and impatience.

7. If you really understand the markets then YOU KNOW that there is the same opportunity on every time frame, in every market, every single day.

8. Waiting for the perfect trade is “chickening out”, and caused by your lack of faith in yourself or your system.

9. Any hardwired, automated trading system sold that truly works 70 or 80 or 90 percent of the time in every market would be worth hundreds of millions of dollars and would not be for sale at any price. (more…)

Learn from winning trades

Winning TradeIf the good trades–those that line up for me, are made with conviction, and bring little heat–are on the long side or short side, that says something about the market. The really good trades usually are in the direction the market wants to move. If I’m thinking bearish but making money on the long side, that tells me something important.

Success is the mother of confidence

How do you build confidence?  There are many ways but only one process: multiple small successes.  I am very much an advocate for boring trading.  What I mean by that is I trade the same edge over and over again without variation.  By trading the same edge over and over again I know when to get in and when to get out.  I know what to look for when a trade is working and I can safely add to my position.  On the other hand, I know what to look for when the trade is not working and I can exit with a small loss.  By following the rules EVERY TIME you can succeed, not in making money every time (impossible!), but by following the same plan every time.  These small successes give you the confidence to trust yourself each and every time your edge presents itself.  This is true in any new venture, whether it be golf, bowling, drawing, flying, etc.  Each small success gives birth to greater confidence which in turn brings further successes.  You can then replace a vicious circle of failure with a confident circle of success.  It is so EASY to want the lottery ticket or the home run every time at bat but HARD to accept when the numbers do not add up or when all the preparation leads to nothing more than the hard earned single.

The 15 Truths about Great Trading

 1) 45-55% (Average winning % of any given trader)

 2) Traders do not mind losing money, they mind losing money doing stupid things

 3) You can lose money on a Great trade  

4) Focus on the Trade, Not the Money  

5) Trading is a game of Probabilities, not Perfection  

6) Trade to make money, not to be right  

7) Nicht Spielen Zum Spass (if it doesn’t make sense, don’t do it)  

The market does not know how much you are up or down, so don’t trade that way (Think: “If I had no trade on right now, what would I do”)  

9) Learn to endure the pain of your gains  

10) There is no ideal trader personality type  

11) Fear and Fear drive the markets, not fear and greed  

12) Keep it simple: Up-Down-Sideways  

13) Make sure the size of your bet matches the level conviction you have in it (No Edge, No Trade; Small Edge, Small Trade; Big Edge, Big Trade)  

14) Making money is easy, keeping it is hard  

15) H + W + P = E

 a. (Hoping + Wishing + Praying = Exit the Trade!) 

15 Truths about Trading

1) 45-55% (Average winning % of any given trader)

 2) Traders do not mind losing money, they mind losing money doing stupid things

 3) You can lose money on a Great trade

 4) Focus on the Trade, Not the Money

 5) Trading is a game of Probabilities, not Perfection

 6) Trade to make money, not to be right

 7) Nicht Spielen Zum Spass (if it doesn’t make sense, don’t do it)

 The market does not know how much you are up or down, so don’t trade that way (Think: “If I had no trade on right now, what would I do”)

 9) Learn to endure the pain of your gains

 10) There is no ideal trader personality type

 11) Fear and Fear drive the markets, not fear and greed

 12) Keep it simple: Up-Down-Sideways

 13) Make sure the size of your bet matches the level conviction you have in it (No Edge, No Trade; Small Edge, Small Trade; Big Edge, Big Trade)

 14) Making money is easy, keeping it is hard

 15) H + W + P = E

a. (Hoping + Wishing + Praying = Exit the Trade!)

Think Differently

Many still see making money all wrong. They make wildly inaccurate assumptions when asked these questions regarding what constitutes a winning trader:

– Do they possess a unique talent?
– A special inborn gene or divine gift?
– The innate talent of a child prodigy?
– Inside knowledge?
– Ability to predict markets?
– Degrees in finance or a MBA?
– Huge starting capital?

One answer: No.

Why only 5% Traders earn ?

“I believe there are a few reasons why only 5% make it.

1. They start in a position to not need to make a living from it. The need for steady money like a weekly paycheck will corrupt your thinking and force you to deviate from your plan of action that was so well thought out prior to the heat of the battle.

2. They do not need the money that they loose. The enormous amounts of money that it requires to learn to daytrade would exceed most people’s lifetime income. What makes the number of successful daytraders so low is that even the few who could make it, dont have enough capital to endure the learning curve.

3. They do not give a flying _uck about anything or anyones opinions of what the market will or might do. The very news and opinions that surround them becomes the mortar for their brick wall of defense that protects their completely independent thinking. (more…)

3 Big Aggravations You Shouldn’t Tolerate

The first (and in some ways, the most irritating) is knowing that there are people making it in trading, and they aren’t half as smart as you.

– They haven’t put in nearly as much effort as you.

– Haven’t sacrificed as many evenings or weekends that could have been spent more enjoyably.

– Haven’t tried nearly as many systems or strategies as you have.

– And yet, they’re making money, relaxing when its time and feeling pretty good, while you’re still beating your head on the rock and bleeding, and not getting nearly as much good sleep as you’d like.

The second is knowing that there are plenty of trading strategies and systems that are readily available to you, but you don’t know how to find them, and even if you did, you don’t have a process to know if it is one that would suit you well and actually produce the way you wanted

Well you could find out by just going ahead and trying it, but that kind of stinks too, huh?

And it doesn’t help that it seems like every Tom, Dick and Harry has a system for sale, with everybody and their brother sending you emails promoting it.

Same problem:  “Does it really work, and even if it does, would it work for ME?”

No method to KNOW without trying it. (more…)

10 Powerful Psychological Traits of the Rich Trader

Ten Powerful Psychological Traits of the Rich Trader

  1. They have the ability to admit they were wrong and get out of a trade. They know the place where price proves them wrong.
  2. They have the ability to not only close a losing trade but reverse and go in the other direction when it is called for.
  3. The rich trader is not trying to prove anything about themselves they are focused on making money.
  4. They do not fall in love with an idea, currency, commodity, or stock they will make trades based on price action.
  5. Rich traders know that the market action is their ultimate boss regardless of their opinions.
  6. No matter how sure they are about a trade they still ALWAYS manage the risk.
  7. Rich traders get more aggressive when winning and trade smaller or take a break during a losing streak.
  8. A great trader is one that can admit to anyone that they were wrong.
  9. Rich traders do not believe their own hype, they know they can not really predict the future they can only react to current reality and the probabilities.
  10. Rich traders love what they do, win or lose.

When you are trading like that, it is hard to be beaten. Time is your friend.

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