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False Beliefs About Trading the Markets

1) What goes up must come down and vice versa.

That’s Newton’s law, not the law of trading. And even if the market does eventully self-correct, you have no idea when it will happen. In short, there’s no point blowing up your account fighthing the tape.

2) You have to be smart to make money.

No, what you have to be is disciplined. If you want to be smart, write a book or teach at a university. If you want to make money, listen to what the market is telling you and trade to make money — not to be “right.”

3) Making money is hard.

Nope. Sorry. Making money is actually easy. Statistically, you’re going to do it about half the time. Keeping it, now that’s the hard part.

4) I have to have a high winning percentage to be profitable.

Not true. How often you are right on a trade is only half of the equation. The other half is how much do you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong. You can remember that with this formula:

Probability (odds of it going up or down) x Magnitude (how much it goes up or down) = Profitability

5) To be successful, I have to trade without emotions.

That is both wrong and impossible. You are human so you have emotions. Emotions can be a powerful motivator to your trading.

When you feel angry or scared in trading, take that emotion and translate it into something more productive. For example, if you’re feeling angry because you just got run over by the market, view that anger as a reason to be more focused and disciplined in your entry and exit levels on the next trade.

KEYS TO SUPER PERFORMANCE

Traits of Superperformers

  • 90% of superperformance stocks began their phenomenal price surges as the general market came out of a correction or bear market.
  • Superperformance phase occurs during the first 10 years after the stock’s IPO.
  • Stock is a small-cap or mid-cap that hits a period of accelerated growth.
  • Stock has a relatively small total market cap and amount of shares outstanding.
  • Majority had periods of outperformance in terms of fundamentals as well as technical action before they made their biggest gains.
  • Many traded at more than 30 or 40x earnings before they experienced their largest advance.

European Debt And Credit Crisis Video Explanation

Have come across this video on Europe and the Euro problems quite a few times during the last few days: ‘Clarke and Dawe ask the million dollar question’. For those of you who haven’t seen it yet, enjoy. The video speaks for itself. No further comment needed.



Lessons for traders

  • Price goes up or down, from point A to point B, due to fundamental conditions. Hence we must understand fundamentals. However, the path price takes is not direct; it is driven by the news and emotions of the day. That’s where technical analysis shines.
  • Don’t bet big on any trade.
  • Use money management, nothing is more important to survival.
  • Fade the advisors and public; they are most often wrong while the commercials [the big guys] are most often correct.
  • Don’t let emotions run your trading game.
  • Trade what you see, not what someone tells you that you should be seeing. Forget the news; trade what you see.
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