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We Dare to Challenge

Always Remember –The principles of successful stock speculation are based on the supposition that people will continue in the future to make the mistakes that they have made in the past.

Yes.  Its confidence in our work than any aberration.  None else in 100 crore Indians have told u about the bear onslaught, not only on Indian Exchanges but across the Globe. Check our web-site, with normal eyes or with magnifiers too. We are cautioning since Last Week about the emerging Bear-spell.

 Yesterday under the caption “Dil Se” this was our adverbatim:  Time Theory Indicates freefall could start tomorrow and heavy selling across the globe in next 4-5 sessions.  On Rise SELL-SELL-SELL is my Mantra.

You all can Click here & see the Yesterday’s written article 

Do I need to enumerate about todays “Descending Triangle Formation” that would break Nifty Futures by 250 points to 4950 levels !!!!!!

 I don’t know if the readers have at least spent 5-10 minutes to read and act upon.  But all our subscribers have minted money by following shorting-calls.  The newly enrolled members must have earned back their entire fee paid to me in single session. 

 Now u all tell: Is it not an understatement that we are unique, special, perfect, accurate, superb, bewildering, …!!!!!  This is precisely the reason why we have crossed 1 Million clicks in just 9 months.

 Others are singing:   

 But Our Members are Bubbling: 

 Technically Yours

Anirudh Sethi/Baroda

10 One Liners For Traders

• Technical analysis is a windsock, not a crystal ball. It is a skill that improves with experience and study. Always be a student, there is always someone smarter than you!

• “Thou Shall Not Trade Against the Trend.”

• Let volatility work in your favor, not against you.

• Watch what our “Politicos” do, not say.

• Markets tend to regress to the mean over time.

• Emotions can be the enemy of the trader and investor, as fear and greed play an important part of one’s decision making process.

• Portfolios heavy with underperforming stocks rarely outperform the stock market!

• Even the best looking chart can fall apart for no apparent reason. Thus, never fall in love with a position but instead remain vigilant in managing risk and expectations. Use volume as a confirming guidepost.

• When trading, if a stock doesn’t perform as expected within a short time period, either close it out or tighten your stop-loss point.

• As long as a stock is acting right and the market is “in-gear,” don’t be in a hurry to take a profit on the whole position, scale out instead.

Overconfidence & Greed

What most traders often don’t realize until it is too late is how quickly one can lose a lot of money in a single trade often with disastrous consequences.  More often than not this painful experience comes from poor risk management following a period of successful trading. It is natural of course. We are pattern seeking mammals and when something starts working for us we get confident in our abilities and quickly forget we know very little what the market or a given stock may do at any given moment. In short: We easily become overconfident.

It is after a period of successful trading that traders tend to loosen up on good intentioned rules of discipline. They start thinking in term of dollar signs as opposed to the trade discipline. In short they think they can fly. “Look how much money I would have made if I had traded x % of my portfolio”. Stop yourself right there. While it is tempting to play mind games like this no good will come of it. Why? Because you just stepped overtly into the realm of one of the greatest sins of trading:

Once you get greedy you will start abandoning necessary discipline. Nobody, I repeat nobody, no matter how smart they think they are has a fail proof system or process or secret trading technique that guarantees 100% success. I surely don’t. Neither does Goldman Sachs or anybody else. While there may be some HFT firms out there that are trying to algo their way to a perfect system I have news for you: You are not an HFT or an algo. You are an individual trader and as good as you may be: You will have losing trades, things will go against you and oddly enough this will happen when you are at your most vulnerable: When you are overconfident, greedy and overexposed. Something curious tends to happen though when the losing trade occurs:

11 Trading Rules

Rule #1
Be data centric in your approach.
Take the time and make the effort to understand what works and what doesn’t. Trading decisions should be objective and based upon the data.

Rule #2
Be disciplined.
The data should guide you in your decisions. This is the only way to navigate a potentially hostile and fearful environment.

Rule #3
Be flexible.
At first glance this would seem to contradict Rule #2; however, I recognize that markets change and that trading strategies cannot account for every conceivable factor. Giving yourself some wiggle room or discretion is ok, but I would not stray too far from the data or your strategies.

Rule #4
Always question the prevailing dogma.
The markets love dogma. “Prices are above the 50 day moving average”, “prices are breaking out”, and “don’t fight the Fed” are some of the most often heard sayings. But what do they really mean for prices? Make your own observations and define your own rules. See Rule #1.

Rule #5
Understand your market edge.
My edge is my ability to use my computer to define the price action. I level the playing field by trading markets and not companies.

Rule #6
Money management.
Money management. Money management. It is so important that it is worth saying three times. There are so few factors you can control in the markets, but this is one of them. Learn to exploit it.

Rule #7
Time frame.
Know the time frame you are operating on. Don’t let a trade turn into an investment and don’t trade yourself out of an investment.

Rule #8
Confidence and conviction.
Believe in your strategies and bet wisely but with conviction. There is nothing more frustrating than having a good strategy work as you expect, yet at the end of the day, you have very little winnings to show for your efforts.

Rule #9
Persistence.
It takes persistence to operate in the markets. Success doesn’t come easy, and if it does, then I would be careful. Even the best strategies come with losses, and they always seem to come when you get the nerve to make the big bet. Stay with your plan. If you have done your home work, the winning trades will follow.

Rule #10
Passion.
In the end, trading has to be about your bottom line, but you have to love what you do and no amount of money is worth it if you aren’t passionate about the process. No matter how much success you enjoy, in the markets you can never stop learning.

Rule #11
Take care of yourself.
No amount of money is worth it if your health is failing or you have managed to alienate yourself from family and friends in the process.

Traders Daily Lessons

Have the courage to say no.
Have the courage to face the truth.
Have the courage to do the right thing because it is right.
– W. Clement Stone

An inner dialogue typically reinforces the way you think. So the goal is to consciously expose yourself to thoughts that ultimately will positively impact your trading. Through the use of repetition you can considerably strengthen a positive attitude and sound trading behavior. The beauty of it is the simplicity of the method. It’s entirely up to you which trading mantras you want to adhere to. Here are a few that I strongly believe in and that characterize my thinking as a trader:

  • Kill your greed
  • Isolate yourself from the opinions of others
  • Never chase stocks
  • Always strive for emotional detachment
  • Focus on proper execution
  • There is never a shortage of opportunities
  • Never make excuses
  • Stay in control
  • Don’t compare yourself to others
  • Always use stop losses
  • Standing aside is a position
  • Money comes in bunches
  • Never add to a losing position
  • Stay calm and focused
  • Don’t believe the hype
  • Cultivate independent thinking
  • Be ready for worst case scenarios
  • Nosce te ipsum – Know thyself
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