1. Anger over a losing trade – Traders usually feel as if they are victims of the market. This is usually because they either 1) care too much about the trade and/or 2) have unrealistic expectations. They seek approval from the markets, something the markets cannot provide.
2. Trading too much – Traders that do this have some personal need to “conquer” the market. The sole motivation here is greed and about “getting even” with the market. It is impossible to get “even” with the market. Trading too much is also indicative of a lack of discipline and ignoring set rules. This is emotionally-driven.
3. Trading the wrong size – Traders ignore or don’t recognize the risk of each trade or do not understand money management. There is no personal responsibility here. Typically, aggressive position sizes are used, however if risk is not contained, then it could spiral out of control. Usually, this issue comes from traders wanting to make a huge killing. Maybe they do win, but the point is that a bad habit emerges if a trader repeats this behavior.
4. PMSing after the day is over – Traders are on a wild emotional roller coaster that is fueled by a plethora of emotions ranging throughout the spectrum. Focus is taken off of the process and is placed too heavily on the money. These people are very irritable akin to the symptoms of premenstrual syndrome (something I wouldn’t know about personally).
5. Using money you can’t afford to lose – Usually, a trader is pinning his/her last hopes to make money. Traders fear “losing” the “last best opportunity”. Self-discipline is quickly forgotten but the power of greed drives them, usually over a cliff. Here, the rewards are given more attention and overall personal financial risk is ignored.
6. Wishing, hoping, or praying – Do this in church, but leave this out of the market. Traders do not take control of their trades and cannot accept the present reality of what’s happening in the market.
7. Getting high after a huge win – These traders tie their self-worth to their success in the markets or by the value of their account. Usually, these folks have an unrealistic feeling of being “in control” of the markets. A huge loss usually sobers them up pretty quickly. It’s important to maintain emotional restraint after wins, just as you would for losses.
8. Adding to a losing position – Also known as doubling, tripling, quadrupling down, typically, this means that the trader does not want to admit the trade is wrong. The trader’s ego is at stake and #6 comes into effect as the trader is hoping the markets will “work in their favor”. If you are wrong, you have a near 0% chance of making a full recovery. (more…)
Archives of “January 30, 2019” day
rssTudor evolving – adapt or die
How did we end up with two, different definitions of risk?
When I say “risk” and you say “risk,” chances are high we don’t mean the same thing.
The finance industry defines risk as something measurable. It is variability within a set of known limits. You may have heard it referred to as standard deviation or even volatility. Ultimately, it represents how much an investment wiggles over time.
I’m an adviser who talks to humans. I also happen to be human. From my experience, I know humans outside the financial world define risk differently. In everyday life, we tend to think of risk as uncertainty, or what is left over after we have thought of everything else.
With uncertainty comes variability within a set of unknown limits. It’s the stuff that comes out of left field, like Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s black swan events. Because we can’t measure uncertainty with any sort of accuracy, we think of risk as something outside our control. We often connect it to things like running out of money in retirement or ending up in a car crash.
But how did we end up with two such completely different definitions of the same thing? My research points to an economist named Frank Knight and his book “Risk, Uncertainty and Profit.”
The Wisdom of Paul Tudor Jones
Here are some noteworthy quotes from the 80′s (yes 80′s) PBS special “Trader“, highlighting Paul Tudor Jones and his partner Peter Borish’s trading strategies. I’d like to thank Rodrigo for sending me this special, as I wasn’t familiar with Jone’s career. Even after a decade in the business you can still keep learning from successful traders in the hopes of fine tuning one’s craft.
What I found refreshing about Jones is his commitment to helping underprivileged high school students and his pledge to pay for their college education as long as they complete high school. And more importantly, the giving of his time each and every week to intervene in their lives.
“If life ever ceases to be an educational experience, I probably wouldn’t get out of bed.”
When the headlines are extremely negative day after day and the market refuses to go down, it’s “telling a different story than what the headlines are.” When the markets sell off in the morning and are bought up in the afternoon, it’s a sign of quite accumulation.
“After awhile size means nothing. It gets back to whether you’re making 100% rate of return on 10k or 100 million dollars. It doesn’t make any difference.”
“Trading requires an energy level, and it’s very difficult to sustain it 24 hrs a day, which is what this requires. To do the job right requires such an enormous amount of concentration that you’ve got to be able to…it’s physical and emotionally mandatory to find some time to relax, and you’ve got to be able to turn it off like that.”
“The whole world is simply nothing more than a flow chart for capital.” (more…)
When faced with Two Choices, The more difficult one is usually correct.
Thought For A Day
Wireless Electricity is the future
I’ve talked about a coming tech boom that could be related to wireless electricity. Nobody really knows exactly when that will happen except that it could be 5-10 years away. Well, it could be even sooner that that. Much sooner.
Electronics such as phones and laptops may start shedding their power cords within a year.
That’s the prediction of Eric Giler, CEO of WiTricity, a company that’s able to power light bulbs using wireless electricity that travels several feet from a power socket. (more…)
Don't miss next week's TIME cover…
Self-Assessment
* How many of your trades today (or this week) had an explicitly defined risk and reward?
* How many of your trades today (or this week) did you execute according to the defined risk and reward?
* How many of your trades today (or this week) were based upon clear market patterns and a clear identification of how the market was trading?
* How many of your trades today (or this week) were placed out of fear of missing a move? Out of frustration following a loss? Out of boredom in a slow market?
* How many of your trades today (or this week) would you place again if you had the same circumstances?
* How many of your trades today (or this week) came from advance planning and preparation?
* How many of your trades today (or this week) were sized properly, given your level of confidence in your ideas and your desired risk management?
* What did you learn today (or this week), and how will you put that learning to work tomorrow (or next week)?
* How did you feel about your trading at the end of the day (or week)? Proud? Disgusted? Regretful? Satisfied?
* What can you do tomorrow (or next week) to feel proud of and satisfied with your trading?