Archives of “January 7, 2019” day

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Why do only 5% of the traders who day-trade end up successful?

  
  Education
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5percentTwo reasons – #1) Many just want an indicator that is going to reveal the market to them and it is too competitive for that to work.

#2) The vast majority don’t approach the challenge in a way that will work. To a large degree, this isn’t the trader’s fault because most do what they have been taught by scores of “experts”.

Here is what will work. Guaranteed.

1. Never forget that the only thing you want to do is predict that others will buy higher or sell lower in your timeframe.

2. Settle on a strategy (and set of tactics) that suits your personality and thinking patterns.

3. Plan to use your judgment in the midst of making decision and entering trades! You are not a robot and you will never become one. Your brain is going to kick-in with its built-in facility for decision making in uncertain situations. In other words, you won’t be able to stop it from making judgments and compelling you to act so… work with it.

4. Learn to optimize that judgment through simplicity, practice, keeping records and knowing your feelings and emotions.

5. Manage your Psychological Capital (Mental Energy) more carefully than you manage your trades.

The money will follow. Your brain will work, your pattern recognition will work and your plan (a realistic one) will indeed be realized.

A Bad Teacher

  
  Education
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The market often rewards bad behavior. You exit a stock because your stop is hit. You are okay with this because you followed your plan. The market then immediately reverses. You begin to think, “If only I stayed with the position.” The next time the market goes against you, you decide you are not going to get tricked again. This time though, the market does not reverse and what started out as a small manageable loss is now huge.

The market will give you loss after loss forcing you to abandon a methodology right before it takes off without you. On the flip side, the market will lull you into a false sense of confidence. You trade larger and larger, taking on excessive risk. You print money until your risks become so excessive that one or two bad trades wipe you out.

Learn from the market, but realize that sometimes it can be a lousy instructor.

The Innovation Secrets of Steve Jobs

  
Analysis, Education, Life, LINKS
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No one can deny that Steve Jobs is very successful and runs a very successful company. As head of Apple (AAPL), he has provided numerous direct and indirect jobs (have you seen how many iPhone apps there are now?) and dozens of very, very popular and useful products.

The book The Innovation Secrets of Steve Jobs: Insanely Different Principles for Breakthrough Success by Carmine Gallo, presents a very clear road map to follow in Jobs’ footsteps, showing how to be truly successful in your occupation. Look at a few of the principles covered in the book:

Put a Dent in the Universe
Kick-Start Your Brain
Sell Dreams, Not Products
Say No to 1,000 Things

This book is especially useful to the self-employed, showing how to be more creative, have more effective work strategies, and become more successful.

The author had previously written the best-selling book The Presentation Secrets of Steve Jobs: How to Be Insanely Great in Front of Any Audience. He writes in a clear and concise manner with plenty of supporting anecdotes.

If you are looking for a good read that can help you achieve the success you want and deserve, get The Innovation Secrets of Steve Jobs. You won’t be disappointed.

“Four stages” of stock movement

  
  Education
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First, I would like to point out that the four stages are not a concept I came up with. I learned of the four stages of; 1-Accumulation, 2- Markup, 3- Distribution and 4-Decline in Stan Weinstein’s excellent book “Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets”. Briefly, accumulation is the process of buyers gaining control after a bearish trend, markup is the bullish phase represented by higher highs and higher lows, distribution is the process of sellers gaining control after the markup phase and decline is the bearish phase which is represented by lower highs and lower lows.

Cut your losses short, no questions asked

  
  Education
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The majority of unskilled investors stubbornly hold onto their losses when the losses are small and reasonable. They could get out cheaply, but being emotionally involved and human, they keep waiting and hoping until their loss gets much bigger and costs them dearly.”

William O’Neil

The key to trading success is emotional discipline. If intelligence were the key, there would be a lot more people making money trading… I know this will sound like a cliche, but the single most important reason that people lose money in the financial markets is that they don’t cut their losses short.”

Victor Sperandeo

Some people say, “I can’t sell that stock because I’d be taking a loss.” If the stock is below the price you paid for it, selling doesn’t give you a loss; you already have it.

William O’Neil

When I became a winner I went from ‘I figured it out, therefore it can’t be wrong’ to ‘I figured it out, but if I’m wrong, I’m getting the hell out, because I want to save my money and go on to the next trade.’”

Marty Schwartz

The Top Ten Similiarities of Winning Traders

  
  Education
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You can read trading, books until you are red-eyed, you can spend thousands of dollars on seminars, you can try to get successful traders to give you the secret sauce of trading or the Holy Grail. But, in the end it is simply you versus the markets. You have to pick your system, your risk tolerance, and take the heat in your own account, it will be your own money you lose.

No one can tell you the right system and method for you. If you can take draw downs in equity mixed with long term capital growth then trend following may be for you. If you love playing the hottest stocks in the market then CAN-SLIM or the Darvas System may be the right systems for you. If you just have little patience and love action then you can join the few who have mastered day trading. There really is no right system for everyone, it depends on what you can handle. However here is what all winning traders must have  to win in the markets regardless of time frame and system:

Trading System

  • They trade a robust system or method that wins more money over time than it loses.
  • Their system gives them a reward to risk ratio that is in their favor.
  • Their system or method is proven to work with a live trading record over many markets and trades or has  historical back testing. (more…)
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