Archives of “January 11, 2019” day

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12 Trading Rules

  
  Education
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121. Loss of opportunity is preferable to loss of capital

2. Picking safe, readable, and ultimately high probability trades is the way to go

3. Use logical profit objectives for all positions. Know your exits and stick to them

4. Markets are squirrelly animals – make your trading plans ahead of the market

5. Don’t buy new highs or sell new lows – wait for the market to come to you. Buy retracements. If you miss the train, don’t beat yourself up – another one will come by shortly

6. Above all, follow your own trading plan and no one else’s

7. Trade quietly – with the exception of a mentor, tell no one about your positions, profits, or losses. This is especially true for those who are close to you, like your wife, husband, or friends. This self-gratification process or sharing process will put you under psychological pressure to win on every trade and can be a primary reason for failure to follow your plan

8. Don’t carry a sizeable position when traveling. The market will always catch you off guard at the most inopportune time

9. You are only one trade from humility. A swelled head does not belong on a trader’s shoulders

10. Add to your knowledge before attempting to add to your wallet. Newbie traders think they can become pros with little more than a computer and hope. In this business, hope is a four letter word. Show me a humble trader, and I’ll show you someone ready to learn

11. Develop your sense of humor – you’ll definitely need it

12. Help other traders whenever you can. This is more practical than philosophical – giving keeps the ego in line and when you need help, and you will, you’ll find it.

Life Lesson

  
  Education
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icecreamboy“Fund Managers ,Future Traders and Day Traders should learn something from this kid!:

A young boy enters a barber shop and the barber whispers to his customer, “This is the dumbest kid in the world. Watch while I prove it to you.” The barber puts a dollar bill in one hand and two quarters in the other, then calls the boy over and asks, “Which do you want, son?” The boy takes the quarters and leaves the dollar. “What did I tell you?” said the barber. “That kid never learns!” Later, when the customer leaves, he sees the same young boy coming out of the ice cream store & says “Hey, son! May I ask you a question? Why did you take the quarters instead of the dollar bill?” The boy licked his cone and replied, “Because the day I take the dollar, the game’s over!”

John Taylor Of The World's Largest Currency Hedge Fund Sees Euro Dropping To $1.20 By August

  
Analysis, Economy, Education, Forex
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John Taylor, chairman and chief executive officer of FX Concepts LLC, the world’s largest currency hedge fund, sees the euro dropping to $1.20 by August, and believes parity is possible. Be very careful, because as of today Goldman is now accumulating euros (as per its just released Sell recommendation). More from Taylor: “It’s going to be quick because things are really falling apart…. Some of these [countries] have to be thrown out [of the EMU]. If you look at a country like Latvia, which has been effectively in the Euro, has been saved by the European Commission and the IMF much like they are suggesting Greece will be, their retail sales were down 30% last year, the GDP was down 18%, it is expected to drop another 8% this year. Latvians are starving, the place is a disaster area: that’s what you have to go through to be a part of the Euro.” On whether his firm has felt any political pressure on putting on bearish euro bets: “None at all. We are SEC regulated and the information is there, but nobody seems to be caring.” Lastly, Taylor ridicules the WSJ story about the restaurant-based collusion: “Yes, they had a meeting and talked about how bad the euro was. But that they in fact had some impact: their assets are 1% of the daily volume. Somebody like us, we have a bigger position against the euro than those people put on.” Taylor says in the next three to six months, the dollar will be strongest against the euro, and Eastern European currencies. In a longer horizon, he says to be long Asia and short the euro. Bottom line: sell Europe, buy everyone else. And join the bandwagon… Just as Bernanke prepares the dollar’s next suicide move with inflation obviously not working.

20 Poker Quotes -Traders Must Read

  
  Education
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Poker is one of the very few casino games that’s like trading. Unlike other games where the casino keeps the odds in their favor, in poker there are many ways to get an edge over other players at the poker table. The way you play the odds can give you an edge, folding on bad hands quickly and playing the best hands only give you an advantage. Managing risk per hand can keep you in the game while others blow out. Sticking with the odds instead of letting emotions take over is another big advantage over other players. I have a buddy that plays well in poker tournaments and it is odd how we can talk about the same elements of strategy that matches both endeavors. Both poker and most financial markets are zero sum games where money flows from those who do not know how the game works to those who do.

  •  “Living in the past is a Jethro Tull album, not a smart poker strategy.” -Richard Roeper
  • “The beautiful thing about poker is that everybody thinks they can play.” -Chris MoneyMaker
  • “If there weren’t luck involved, I would win every time.” — Phil Hellmuth
  • “If you can’t spot the sucker in the first half hour at the table, then you are the sucker.” — Matt Damon in Rounders
  • “The cardinal sin in poker, worse than playing did cards, worse even than figuring your odds correctly, is becoming emotionally involved.” -Katy Lederer
  • “You cannot survive without that intangible quality we call heart. The mark of a top player is not how much he wins when he is winning but how he handles his losses. If you win for thirty days in a row, that makes no difference if on the thirty-first you have a bad night, go crazy, and throw it all away.” -Bobby Baldwin
  • “When we play, we must realize, before anything else, that we are out to make money.” -David Sklansky
  • “Poker may be a branch of psychological warfare, an art form or indeed a way of life – but it is also merely a game, in which money is simply the means of keeping score.” -Anthony Holden
  • “The real things to know is that folks will stand to lose more than they will to win. That’s the most important percentage there is. I mean, if they lose, they’re willing to lose everything. If they win, they’re usually satisfied to win enough to pay for dinner and a show. The best gamblers know that.” -Pug Pearson
  • “Poker reveals to the frank observer something else of import—it will teach him about his own nature. Many bad players do not improve because the cannot bear self-knowledge.” -David Mamet

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7 Points for Traders

  
  Education
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  1. You don’t choose the stock market; it chooses you.  A little bit of early trading success can have a profound effect on a person’s soul.  If it does choose you, you’ll have to accept that your life and investing will become forever connected.7numbers
  2. Your methodology must provide an unshakeable foundation that you believe in totally, and you must have the conviction to trade based upon it.   If your belief is tentative or if you don’t have complete faith in your methodology, then a few bad trades will destabilize and erode your confidence. 
  3. A calm mindset that can focus on the execution and not on the outcome is what produces profits.  It takes total emotional control.  You must maintain your balance, rhythm and patience.  You need all three to stay in the game.
  4. The markets are always conniving with ingenious techniques to get you to lose your patience, to get you frustrated or mad, to bait you to do the wrong thing when you know you shouldn’t.  A champion doesn’t allow the markets to get under his skin and take him out of his game.
  5. Like a great painting, all good trades start with a blank canvas.  Winning traders first paint the trade in their mind’s eye so that their emotional selves can reproduce it accurately with clarity and consistency, void of emotions as they play it out in the markets.
  6. The “here and now” is all that matters.  You can’t think about the last trade or the last shot or worry about the future.  You need to put on your “amnesia hat” in order to remain completely unfazed by what came before.  Only by doing so can you be totally absorbed in executing your present trade.
  7. Being prepared and having put in the work results in the bringing together of your intuition and confidence.  The two go hand in hand.  Extraordinary results can be expected when you are able to see it, feel it and trust it. 
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