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Abe Cofnas, Trading Binary Options, 2d ed. -Book Review

Binary options are simple trading instruments that are designed to offer an attractive alternative for the directional trader with a small account. As Abe Cofnas explains in the second edition of Trading Binary Options: Strategies and Tactics (Bloomberg/ Wiley, 2016), the trader makes a straightforward bet: that the settled price of an underlying market will be at, above, or below a target strike barrier by a defined future time. If he’s right, he gets $100; if he’s wrong, he gets nothing. At least that’s the way it works on Nadex (North American Derivatives Exchange).
Traders who have shied away from options because they seem overly complicated may be relieved to learn that understanding the Greeks is not essential in the world of binary options. Yes, market makers use them to price the binaries and Cofnas even introduces the reader to volatility smiles, but the trader’s major decisions are whether to buy or sell binary options, at what strike price, and for what duration. How much does he think the market will move in a given length of time and in what direction?
Of course, getting the direction, magnitude, and timing of a short-term trade (weekly, daily, and a selection of intraday expiries) right is a daunting task. Cofnas therefore devotes four chapters to tools the binary options trader can use to improve his skills: sentiment analysis, tracking fundamental forces that impact markets, technical analysis, and volatility tools.

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The questions you need answers for

What is my reason for entering this trade?
* What is my objective in entering this trade?
* What is my maximum profit potential and what is the probability of achieving it?
* What is my maximum risk and what is the probability of achieving that?
* Will I need to adjust this position?
* If so, at what point do I need to adjust and what type of adjustment will likely be required?

Am I going to be able to keep track of this trade closely enough to avoid any potential disasters?

If you don’t have answers for these questions before entering a particular trade, this should be your warning not to take the trade in the first place.

Finally, today is the 22nd anniversary of Black Monday

22ND-Anniversary
COMPLETE ORIGINAL NEWSPAPER, the NY Times dated Oct 20, 1987. (My personal Collection )
 

Front page headline: “STOCKS PLUNGE 508 POINTS, A Drop of 22.6 %; 604 Million Volume Nearly Doubles Record.”  This is the iconic NY Times with banner headline news coverage of the 1987 Stock Market Crash, known as the Black Monday Crash !! There is a prominent front page chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average from 1982 through 1987, showing the precipitous drop on Oct 19, 1987 !! (more…)

Howard Lederer – On Poker And Trading The Markets

Michael Covel just published a new video interview. This one is about what kind of strategies you need to apply in order to win. Although the video is more or less about poker the insights of Howard Lederer can easily be applied to trading. Here’s a passage in the interview I’d like to quote:

It’s not about winning huge pots. It’s about losing less when you lose and winning more when you win.

 

Technically Yours
Anirudh Sethi ,Baroda /India
 

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