In trading, know the odds and only participate when you have an advantage.
Archives of “January 7, 2019” day
rssTechnical Analysis Fact and Fiction
“Technical analysis, I think, has a great deal that is right and a great deal that is mumbo jumbo…
“There is a great deal of hype attached to technical analysis by some technicians who claim that it predicts the future. Technical analysis tracks the past; it does not predict the future. You have to use your own intelligence to draw conclusions about what the past activity of some traders may say about the future activity of other traders.
“For me, technical analysis is like a thermometer. Fundamentalists who say they are not going to pay any attention to the charts are like a doctor who says he’s not going to take a patient’s temperature. But, of course, that would be sheer folly. If you are a responsible participant in the market, you always want to know where the market is — whether it is hot and excitable, or cold and stagnant. You want to know everything you can about the market to give you an edge.
“Technical analysis reflects the vote of the entire marketplace and, therefore, does pick up unusual behaviors. By definition, anything that creates a new chart pattern is something unusual. It is very important for me to study the details of price action to see if I can observe something about how everybody is voting. Studying the charts is absolutely crucial and alerts me to existing disequilibria and potential changes.”
– Bruce Kovner, Market Wizards (more…)
Think Over it & Try to Do it
Legacy of Benjamin Graham- Video
Last week I stumbled across this excellent video about Graham which includes old clips from his investment classes as well as some of his former students (including Warren Buffett, Rob Brandes and Irving Kahn) giving interviews about the effect the legendary investor had on them:
Price is real, Headlines are dramatic opinions designed to create clicks-Avoid Blue Channels
Keep Practicing -Just Stick On Your Desk Top
It's hard not to highlight the whole book "Reminiscences of a stock Operator"
Traders Must Read This Book………………………….It’s A Bible for Traders
Fear and Greed
Day trading is a system based on rules, but as charts are analyzed and prices fluctuate, traders may find that they have a difficult time sticking to those rules when fear or greed become involved in the analysis. Successful traders are able to buy despite feelings of fear and sell despite feelings of wanting to prolong the holding of a stock.
A confident trader will still take the time to test and re-test a stock. At first glance a stock might look like it’s in top shape and performing as expected, but a successful trader will not solely rely on first glance appearances. Those who day trade stocks know that in an instant the market can change and it’s important to stay abreast of company information as well as market news and conditions. A successful trader will stick to the rules set up in day trading systems to ensure that his or her reactions remain unbiased throughout the trade.
Effective day trading strategies focus on providing consistent and disciplined actions. Successful traders have a consistent approach to the market and trading. They will take the time to systematically build up their own trading system that takes into account their own personal elements of risk control and they will take the time to stick to their original trading plan. It’s not that traders shouldn’t make changes based on market information, but that the changes made should be based on established trading rules that help traders determine what their entry and exit points on a trade should be.
Some of the best day trading tips that a trader can get help them deal with fear and greed. Many traders find that they may be able to memorize the rules and familiarize themselves with knowing how to accurately interpret stock charts, but they also need to learn how to prepare themselves to deal with fear and greed.
Fear in trading primarily takes on two basic forms – the fear of loss and the fear of missing out. The fear of loss leads to selling stocks prematurely and as a result, they aren’t able to capitalize and recover fully on the trade. When they start to enter into trades, the trade isn’t given enough time to mature and the trader sells so that more isn’t risked.
The fear of missing out is another form of fear that compels people to abandon their rules so that they don’t lose out on another major stock move. These fears need to be dealt with because they will impact a trader’s entry and exit decisions.
Greed is the motivation for over-confidence. Dreams of “making it big” in trading can cloud a trader’s perspective. Again, they abandon the rules of their trading system in the hopes that more money will come their way. Traders need to learn how to deal with greed so they can maintain their focus and not have their thoughts be swept away with illusions.
Oscar Wilde: The Picture of Dorian Gray
“‘What of Art?’ she asked.
‘It is a malady.’
‘Love?’
‘An illusion.’
‘Religion?’
‘The fashionable substitute for Belief.’
‘You are a sceptic.’
‘Never! Scepticism is the beginning of Faith.’
‘What are you?’
‘To define is to limit.’”
8 Things Really Successful People Do
1. Make Materialism Irrelevant
Fancy cars and houses are all well and good, but many foolishly focus on the byproducts of success, rather than concentrating on building sustainable success in the first place. Establish a bare minimum for your material needs, and then you can enjoy the benefits of success, debt- and stress-free.
2. Enhance Knowledge
Success comes faster to those who are open, active learners. The higher up the success ladder you climb, the more complex the systems and opportunities that are presented to you. Absorb all the information you can and if you sense a gap you can’t fill, connect with people who have the knowledge you need. (more…)