Holds 39% of Japan’s govt debt, equates to 79% of Japan’s GDP.
Archives of “January 6, 2019” day
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Trade Stocks Like Sigmund Freud
Good quote by Barbara Tuchman in Hedgehogging
5 Trading Pitfalls To Avoid
1. Aiming too high – There is no quick way to get rich. You need to be realistic in the goals you set and do not overpromise yourself. The success in trading is the ability to follow through.
2. Trying to win them all – – Keep adding to a loser position instead of getting out. The result based on impulsive trades usually becomes a lot worse before it gets better.
3. Hoping to recover from big drawdown – Get out of your losing positions quick. It is inevitable that you get caught in the wrong end of a trending market. Always a day late and many many dollars short !
4. Don’t know when to stop/check – It is time to reflect when your system loses the edge. Don’t send yourself into mine fields. Take some time off and regroup your strategy.
5. Being stubborn – Don’t fight the wrong fight and keep kicking yourself. Remorse about your misfortune won’t changed what have happened. Trading is supposedly fun, challenging and rewarding. If you don’t feel this way, please stop trading.
Guidelines from Donchian
- Beware of acting immediately on a widespread public opinion. Even if correct, it will usually delay the move.
- From a period of dullness and inactivity, watch for and prepare to follow a move in the direction in which volume increases.
- Limit losses and ride profits, irrespective of all other rules.
- Light commitments are advisable when market position is not certain. Clearly defined moves are signaled frequently enough to make life interesting and concentration on these moves will prevent unprofitable whip-sawing.
- Seldom take a position in the direction of an immediately preceding three-day move. Wait for a one-day reversal.
- Judicious use of stop orders is a valuable aid to profitable trading. Stops may be used to protect profits, to limit losses, and from certain formations such as triangular foci to take positions. Stop orders are apt to be more valuable and less treacherous if used in proper relation to the chart formation.
- In a market in which upswings are likely to equal or exceed downswings, heavier position should be taken for the upswings for percentage reasons a decline from 50 to 25 will net only 50 percent profit, whereas an advance from 25 to 50 will net 100 percent profit.
- In taking a position, price orders are allowable. In closing a position, use market orders.
- Buy strong-acting, strong-background commodities and sell weak ones, subject to all other rules.
- Moves in which rails lead or participate strongly are usually more worth following than moves in which rails lag.
- A study of the capitalization of a company, the degree of activity of an issue, and whether an issue is a lethargic truck horse or a spirited race horse is fully as important as a study of statistical reports.
The 15 Corporations That Make the Most Cars
Position Size Can Be More Important Than the Entry Price
Too many traders focus only on the entry price and pay insufficient attention to the size of the position. Trading too large can result in good trades being liquidated at a loss because of fear.
On the other hand, trading larger than normal when the profit potential appears to be much greater than the risk is one of the key ways in which many of the Market Wizards achieve superior returns. Trading smaller, or not at all, for lower probability trades and larger for higher probability trades can even transform a losing strategy into a winning one.
For example, Edward Thorp, who started out devising strategies to win at casino games before achieving an extraordinary return/risk record as a hedge fund manager, discovered that by varying the bet size based on perceived probabilities, he could transform the negative edge in Blackjack into a positive edge. An analogous principal would apply to a trading strategy in which it was possible to identify higher and lower probability trades.