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Ten Ways to Trade With an Edge

An edge is an advantage that a trader has over his competitors, allowing him to generate and retain profits from other traders . There can be many types of  trading edges through risk management, psychological management, and through better trading methods.

Here are a few:

  1.  A selective trader that only trades the best set ups, trends, and stocks has the advantage of waiting for the fat pitch and not just swinging at every ball thrown his way.
  2. Simply using correct position sizing can put you in the top 10% of traders simply by not blowing out your account and staying in the game by maximizing winners and minimizing losers..
  3. Risking no more than 1% of your capital per trade brings your risk of ruin down to almost zero and allows the trader to survive losing streaks. You have the edge of being around to have a winning streak later on.
  4. Only taking trades with a risk-to-reward of 3 to 1 or better gives the opportunity to have bigger winners than losers in the long run which is needed to be profitable. 
  5. Trading in the direction of the trend in your time frame gives you an edge over those losing money by fighting the trend.
  6. Having the discipline to follow a trading plan gives you an edge over those that trade based on fear and greed. (more…)

Concentration

ConcentrationYou can be super motivated to trade, filled with deep optimism, have millions of trading capital available, and a solid trading strategy, but if you don’t devote your full concentration to the trade that you have on at the moment, you will lose money.

It’s essential that you learn to concentrate while executing a trade and scrupulously monitor the market action during a trade

Why is concentration difficult? While in school did you have trouble studying in a noisy library? It’s easy to concentrate when we are in a quiet room and when we are calm and at ease. But trading is often chaotic and full of stress. It’s easy to become shaken and lose your ability to concentrate. When you aren’t fully focused on your ongoing experience, it’s easy for self-doubts to creep into your consciousness. You may start having second thoughts and may want to sabotage your trading efforts.

The more you can stay focused on your ongoing experience, the more you can trade effortlessly and skillfully. But how can you concentrate more easily? (more…)

Donchian's 20 Trading Guides (First publication: 1934)

General Guides:

  1. Beware of acting immediately on a widespread public opinion. Even if correct, it will usually delay the move.

  2. From a period of dullness and inactivity, watch for and prepare to follow a move in the direction in which volume increases.

  3. Limit losses and ride profits, irrespective of all other rules.

  4. Light commitments are advisable when market position is not certain. Clearly defined moves are signaled frequently enough to make life interesting and concentration on these moves will prevent unprofitable whip-sawing.

  5. Seldom take a position in the direction of an immediately preceding three-day move. Wait for a one-day reversal.

  6. Judicious use of stop orders is a valuable aid to profitable trading. Stops may be used to protect profits, to limit losses, and from certain formations such as triangular foci to take positions. Stop orders are apt to be more valuable and less treacherous if used in proper relation the the chart formation.

  7. In a market in which upswings are likely to equal or exceed downswings, heavier position should be taken for the upswings for percentage reasons – a decline from 50 to 25 will net only 50% profit, whereas an advance from 25 to 50 will net 100%

  8. In taking a position, price orders are allowable.  In closing a position, use market orders.”

  9. Buy strong-acting, strong-background commodities and sell weak ones, subject to all other rules.

  10. Moves in which rails lead or participate strongly are usually more worth following than moves in which rails lag. (more…)

Self-Control and Discipline

Cultivating discipline and self-control is vital for consistent and profitable trading. You implement proven trading strategies, over and over, so that across a series of trades, the strategies work enough to produce an overall profit. It’s like making shot after shot on the basketball court so as to accumulate a winning number of points. The more shots you take, the more likely you will amass points. But the winning player is the person who first develops the skill to make the shot consistently, so that at every possible opportunity, the ball is likely to go through the basket. To a great extent, consistency is the key. If the player uses one approach one time and a different approach at another time, performance is haphazard. 
It’s the same for trading. One must trade consistently, following a specific trading plan on each and every single trade. This allows the law of averages to work in your favor, so that across the series of trades, you will make an overall profit. If you follow the plan sometimes and abandon it at other times, you throw off the probabilities. Suppose you used a strategy that had a track record of 80%. Under the best-case scenario, you could only expect to win 80% of the time. But since history doesn’t always repeat itself, it’s likely that you will win less than 80% of the time. If you don’t execute the trading strategy the same way each time, you will decrease your winning odds. And fewer winning trades may mean an overall loss. That’s why discipline and self-control are so important.  (more…)

What should you look for in a trading system?

1. Profitability: This is a must when we look for a system .Lowering the risk factor and increasing the reward is simply the answer to a profitable system

2. Probability: One of the important elements of a trading system, but it does not always mean it will be a profitable trading system, if the proper money management is not in use.
3. Consistency: Without consistency we will not be able to breath in the on going changing market condition. A consistently profitable system will pick up some drawdown as soon as the extreme condition is over.

4.Flexibility: Providing Simple, Easy and Powerful System which can be used in any time frame and on any financial instrument.

Donchian's 20 Trading Guides

richard-donchian
Richard Donchian is best known for developing the Donchian Channel Indicator. This is a simple trend following tool that detects and alerts you to breakouts by plotting the highest high and the lowest low over the last period time interval which the user specifies.
Through his many years of trading and writing weekly newsletters (Commodity Trend Timing), Richard Donchian shares with us some very valuable trend trading wisdom.

  1. Beware of acting immediately on a widespread public opinion. Even if correct, it will usually delay the move.
  2. From a period of dullness and inactivity, watch for and prepare to follow a move in the direction in which volume increases.
  3. Limit losses and ride profits, irrespective of all other rules.
  4. Light commitments are advisable when market position is not certain. Clearly defined moves are signaled frequently enough to make life interesting and concentration on these moves will prevent unprofitable whip-sawing. (more…)

Confidence, Discipline and Consistency

Consistently profitable trading comes down to just three simple things. The three are the trading psychology, the system, and the risk and money management. Trading psychology means the big 3: discipline, confidence and consistency.

The trading psychology takes precedence because it is needed to make sure that the other two are followed. When they are not followed, a good system and sound risk and money management rules are of limited value. When you have trading psychology that is not achieved through sheer will, you can have the discipline, confidence and consistency that make the most of your rules and system.

Sticking to your system for any length of time is nearly impossible without having confidence in your system. A trader may be able to focus intently on their discipline, and may even be able to stick to it for a time, but often the first handful of losing trades will kill that confidence and with it goes the discipline.

When the sting of a string of losses comes along, especially for a trader that has not established a solid confidence in their system, the temptation to deviate from the system, to second-guess it, is very strong. The natural impulse to avoid the pain is great and only grows with each subsequent loss. Faith in the system drops each time another loss occurs, even if the loss came to be from the deviation from the system. In these circumstances, doubts, fear and anxiety usually run high.

So what is a trader to do to avoid this situation, or to remedy it if this situation has already been encountered?

A great deal of trading psychology comes from expectations and reality. Frustration comes when expectations aren’t met by reality. When a person doesn’t know what to expect, then anxiety set in. When a person knows what to expect and what to do, then confidence is there. Worst case is when the primary point of reference is the recent and painful losses, and only slightly less difficult to be confident when matters feel very uncertain.

Since trading is an activity where losing trades will occur, the best way to establish confidence is to have a way to know what to expect – from the trading system. What is the way to make this happen? The trader can see what can realistically be expected and what can’t through system analysis and looking at the system metrics. The metrics give one a realistic and measured look at the capabilities and limitations of a system, particularly how many losing trades might be encountered during an overall profitable period of time. The primary benefit regarding the trader’s trading psychology is in the way the numbers from the analysis put things in a perspective that fends off the anxiety and doubt and makes for much easier discipline.

Once this is achieved, then the trader should track their metrics to ensure consistency and continuous improvement. It happens quite commonly for traders to experience major breakthroughs once they put in place the habit of analyzing their system and tracking the metrics. Confidence, discipline and consistency are the natural result of this activity, and frequently initiating this practice marks the turning point in the careers of many traders. It is vital as part of trading psychology that one properly analyze the metrics and track their numbers, as backtesting alone will only help to a limited degree.

Average True Range (ATR) – A Magical Tool

Average True Range is an indispensable tool for designers of good trading systems. It is truly a workhorse among technical indicators. Every systems trader should be familiar with ATR and its many useful functions. It has numerous applications including use in setups, entries, stops and profit taking. It is even a valuable aid in money management. The following is a brief explanation of how ATR is calculated and a few simple examples of the many ways that ATR can be used to design profitable trading systems.How to calculate Average True Range (ATR):

  • Range: This is simply the difference between the high point and the low point of any bar.
  • True Range: This is the GREATEST of the following:
    1. The distance from today’s high to today’s low
    2. The distance from yesterday’s close to today’s high, or
    3. The distance from yesterday’s close to today’s low

True range is different from range whenever there is a gap in prices from one bar to the next. Average True Range is simply the true range averaged over a number of bars of data. To make ATR adaptive to recent changes in volatility, use a short average (2 to 10 bars). To make the ATR reflective of “normal” volatility use 20 to 50 bars or more.

Will write more with Examples …Next week !!

Technically Yours

Richard Donchian's 20 trading guides

General Guides:

  1. Beware of acting immediately on a widespread public opinion. Even if correct, it will usually delay the move.
  2. From a period of dullness and inactivity, watch for and prepare to follow a move in the direction in which volume increases.
  3. Limit losses and ride profits, irrespective of all other rules.
  4. Light commitments are advisable when market position is not certain. Clearly defined moves are signaled frequently enough to make life interesting and concentration on these moves will prevent unprofitable whip-sawing.
  5. Seldom take a position in the direction of an immediately preceding three-day move. Wait for a one-day reversal.
  6. Judicious use of stop orders is a valuable aid to profitable trading. Stops may be used to protect profits, to limit losses, and from certain formations such as triangular foci to take positions. Stop orders are apt to be more valuable and less treacherous if used in proper relation the the chart formation.
  7. In a market in which upswings are likely to equal or exceed downswings, heavier position should be taken for the upswings for percentage reasons – a decline from 50 to 25 will net only 50% profit, whereas an advance from 25 to 50 will net 100%.
  8. In taking a position, price orders are allowable. In closing a position, use market orders.
  9. Buy strong-acting, strong-background commodities and sell weak ones, subject to all other rules.
  10. Moves in which rails lead or participate strongly are usually more worth following than moves in which rails lag.
  11. A study of the capitalization of a company, the degree of activity of an issue, and whether an issue is a lethargic truck horse or a spirited race horse is fully as important as a study of statistical reports.

Technical Guides:

  1. A move followed by a sideways range often precedes another move of almost equal extent in the same direction as the original move. Generally, when the second move from the sideways range has run its course, a counter move approaching the sideways range may be expected. (more…)