Archives of “January 6, 2019” day

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Your Own Trading Coach!

  
Economy, Education
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Your Own Trading Coach!We can’t control how markets move, so we can’t control whether any single trade we make will be profitable or not. But we can control how we make trades: how we enter, how we size positions, how we exit, and how we contain losses.
Having rules about all of those helps us set specific goals about the process of trading, rather than about the outcome.
The goal of your learning is to trade well, just as the goal of a pitcher is to make a good pitch. If you do that often enough, you’ll win your share of outings.

Candlesticks: Patterns Signalling Range-Trading

  
  Education
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  • Doji
    • Psychological state of uncertainty.
  • Engulfing / Outside bars
    • This pattern must appear after a preceding trend in the price.
    • An outside bar would have taken out the stops of both the bulls and the bears, with no follow-through. Hence both sides become less confident and this leads to range-trading behavior.
  • Hammer bottom
    • After a downtrend, the market opens near to the previous close, drops a lot, before closing the period up towards the level at which it opened.
    • Signals an end of the downtrend where the next period will be characterised by range trading.
  • Shooting star
    • After an uptrend, the market opens near the previous close, rallies a lot, but closes the period down towards the level at which it opened.
    • Signals that that supply and demand have become more balanced, and this balance can mean range trading.
  • Hanging man
    • After an uptrend, market does not rise much but falls a lot, before closing back up near to the level at which it opened.
    • This is bearish, and represents the last buyers getting into the uptrend.

I Trade In The Zone.

  
  Education
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  1. I Trade In The Zone’. I Trade IN The Moment, IN The Present, With Total Disregard For What Others Think & Feel About Me.
  2. ‘I Trade In The Zone’. I Ignore ALLEmotions & Defensive Perspectives. I Trade; I Do, I Act From An Entirely Detached & Impartial Perspective.
  3. ‘I Trade In The Zone’. Only In The Zone Do I See The Market As It Truly Is.
  4. ‘I Trade In The Zone’. I Block Out ALL Bad Habits & Self-Limiting Beliefs Attained From My Past, My Environment & Their Surrounding Noise.
  5. ‘I Trade In The Zone’. My Mind Is Pure, Clear, Focused & Yet Empty. The product Of‘Choice’ Means I ALWAYS Can; At Will, ‘Trade In The Zone’.
  6. ‘I Trade In The Zone’. I Trade Without Ego, Never Reacting To Pain, Sorrow Or Fear. I Just Trade The Market As It Truly Is. I Am A Super Trader, I Am The Master Of My Emotions, & So I Can Trade In The Zone. ‘I TRADE IN THE ZONE’.
  7. ‘I Trade In The Zone’. Trading In MY Zone Means I Distinguish Actual Reality From My Interpretations & Projections Of Reality. I Control The Zone!
  8. ‘I Trade In The Zone’. Only In The Zone, My Centred State, Can I ‘Super Trade.’ I Flow With Trends, I Spot Reversals & Breakouts; I Cut Losses Without Hesitancy & Let My Profits Run Perpetually. ‘I Trade In The Zone’.
  9. The Zone Is Where I Live; It’s My Nirvana, My Sanctuary, My Paradise, My Heaven.
  10. I LIVE & TRADE In The Zone. The Zone Is In Me; & The Key To Enter Is Within Me Forever!

Fear in the Markets

  
  Education
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I think there is something to be said for the idea fear-based arguments standing out in people’s minds. Highly charged, emotionally relevant information is certainly processed differently from normal information, which is why advertisers will show very happy people drinking Coke, or people having car wrecks relying on their insurers. The correlations of investor margin debt and price movements of the markets might be one way to quantify how fear impacts speculative behavior …

That having been said, I do notice a kind of cultishness to the permabears… it is an ingrained belief that organizes their thinking about markets, the future, etc. The motivation, I suspect, is a desire to belong to a special group that will be spared the oncoming calamity.

The Psychology of the Stock Market-Book Review

  
  Education
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In the great game that is trading, the game never really changes.

New technology is introduced; new methodologies are dreamed up; new investment fads come and go. But the essentials of trading are the same now as they were generations ago.

There is a class of books that brings home this timelessness. Four of the best are The Money Game by Adam Smith; Devil Take the Hindmost by Edwin Chancellor; Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds by Charles MacKay; and of courseReminiscences of a Stock Operator by Edwin Lefevre (with the guidance of Jesse Livermore).

The oldest of the above is MacKay’s book, published in 1841. The Psychology of the Stock Market, by G.C. Selden, is another addition to the “timeless classics” list.

Though published in 1912, Selden’s book could have been published yesterday. This makes complete sense, as the main topic — human psychology — has not changed at all in the past century. (more…)

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