Archives of “emotions” tag

rss

What Greed and Fear do ?

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

                                                   

 

 What greed and fear do:

  • Not setting a stop when the method requires placing a stop (fear of taking a loss).
  • Moving a stop when it shouldn’t have been moved (fear of taking a loss).
  • Removing a stop when it was already in place (fear of taking a loss).
  • Taking profits too early when the signal to exit has not been given (fear of profits being taken).
  • Taking profits too late when the signal is already given (greed).
  • Chasing the market when the entry is already past or no signal was given (greed of missing profits).
  • Not making the entry when the signal is given (fear of losing again).
  • Buying the pullback that is no longer a pullback but a decline (greed based on judgment that it’s now cheaper) or short selling when the rally is now a continued primary direction (fear of losing).
  • Adding on a losing position, i.e. averaging down (fear of losing).

How does a trader go about trading without fear or greed? Although no one can really trade without them, the emotion will still be there, especially when the position is still on. However he can keep them under control by not acting on them.

                                            There are few solutions to this problem:

  1. Write a trading plan for each and every trade and referring to it when he feels the emotion is overtaking him.
  2. Keep a trading journal with each trade taken along with thoughts and emotions during the open position. Recording these moments will reveal how much or how little control he has over emotions that influence or interfering with his trading method.
  3. Use an automated trading system to avoid interacting and interfering with trading. When no trading decisions have to be taken, there is less of a tendency to interfere.
  4. Once the trade is taken and stops and targets are set, walk away from the trading station or go about with other tasks. Stay close and follow every up and down ticks will increase emotions and will eventually affect trading.
  5. Keep the Profits and Loss (P/L) columns out of the desktop. This is the most important factor of all emotions: counting money. By having it readily available emotion will be exaggerated swinging up and down according the profits or losses going up or down. Removing this information is especially recommended for day traders.
  6. Trade small size until emotions are under control. By doing this, it’s obvious that it’s not about making money but about trading the method properly. The further away the thought of money is, the better the emotions are kept at bay.
  7. If trading is technically-based, focus on the charts, not on the quotes windows. Scalpers spend so little time in a position that using quotes and ticks are a necessity. For other traders, these can only increase emotional states.

Emotion, Stress & Trading

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

I was recently asked by a member to share my thoughts on how I manage the high stress levels and how you keep emotion out of the mix. I will get to the the stress handling in a second, but let me start by addressing “keeping emotion” out of it.

While many traders say they can keep emotion out of their trading, I believe when it comes right down to it they’re being disingenuous. Unless those same traders really employ a completely robotic trading system which requires absolutely no supervision or control, that simply cannot be true. This is one of those things that I’ve seen many traders say to impress others, but in reality it just isn’t possible or even realistic.

When you have real money on the line and have also invested your own time and energy beyond that, emotion will play a significant role in every decision. After all, none of us are trading robots! We all have feelings and egos and therefore our trading and investment decisions will be impacted from those even in subtle ways that you may not even realize. The key is to learn how to use those emotions to your advantage. For some of you, trading completely contrary to your logical fears is an excellent way to make big money in the markets. Just look at all of the people who went short hoping for Hindenberg Omen type crash in August and who’ve been fighting it every step of the way!

As far as coping with stress, we all have to develop our own methods. But, this is what I’ve learned over time. For me, stress comes primarily from three things:

  1. Not having a plan and being out of position in a challenging market

  2. From not staying on top of my work and not sticking to my rigorous routine (usually from unforeseen events like technology issues or personal issues that all of us experience from time to time)

  3. Stress and pressure I place on myself in hitting my daily, weekly, and monthly goals especially when I’m not performing up to my expectations

So, how do I cope with these? Here are a few thoughts… (more…)

False Beliefs About Trading the Markets

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

1) What goes up must come down and vice versa.

That’s Newton’s law, not the law of trading. And even if the market does eventully self-correct, you have no idea when it will happen. In short, there’s no point blowing up your account fighthing the tape.

2) You have to be smart to make money.

No, what you have to be is disciplined. If you want to be smart, write a book or teach at a university. If you want to make money, listen to what the market is telling you and trade to make money — not to be “right.”

3) Making money is hard.

Nope. Sorry. Making money is actually easy. Statistically, you’re going to do it about half the time. Keeping it, now that’s the hard part.

4) I have to have a high winning percentage to be profitable.

Not true. How often you are right on a trade is only half of the equation. The other half is how much do you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong. You can remember that with this formula:

Probability (odds of it going up or down) x Magnitude (how much it goes up or down) = Profitability

5) To be successful, I have to trade without emotions.

That is both wrong and impossible. You are human so you have emotions. Emotions can be a powerful motivator to your trading.

When you feel angry or scared in trading, take that emotion and translate it into something more productive. For example, if you’re feeling angry because you just got run over by the market, view that anger as a reason to be more focused and disciplined in your entry and exit levels on the next trade.

Four Keys to Understanding Uncertainty

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

1) Uncertainty is always subjective. It is a state of mind that is derived from a mix of objective data, emotions and personal experience. To say that the market is always equally uncertain is to say that mood is always the same. It is not. It constantly changes.

If the perceived uncertainty is always the same, earnings reports would not have such huge impact on prices. We all know that this is not the case. In many cases, earnings reports provide new data that changes market expectations and therefore prices. Options premium is higher before earnings exactly because uncertainty is higher.

2) Uncertainty has become a synonym for bad mood in our everyday life.

The future is always uncertain, but our perceptions of the future vary. And perceptions define actions. Actions (supply and demand) define prices. Somehow uncertainty is used with a highly negative connotation in our everyday life. It is a game of words. Just like the weather people always say that there is a 30% chance of rain and never that there is 70% chance of sun.

3) Uncertainty is basically another word for market sentiment. High levels of perceived uncertainty (bad mood) and high levels of perceived certainty (good mood) have historically been good contrarian indicators, IF your investing horizon is long enough.

4) There are different types of uncertainty.

There is an economic uncertainty. Uncertainty leads to a decline in economic activity. Less people are hired. Old machines and software licences are used longer. Investments are cut. This is what it has been happening in Europe for 2 years.

Winners Trade to Win

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

As you already know, I am not a slave to conventional wisdom. It is my belief that most popular beliefs held by the masses are not wise at all. This applies to all walks of life, not just the stock market.

The latest bit of unwise conventional wisdom is the idea that one must “focus on not losing money in order to make money”. Play it safe and protect your capital has been a popular mantra over the past month. What a load of crap.

You know what happens when you focus on not losing money? You lose it. Either that or you make meager gains (all hail consistency, as in consistently average!). It’s akin to an athlete playing not to get injured. That is when you get hurt. The team that plays not to lose rarely wins.

In trading, playing not to lose will cause you to pass up on good trades and scare you out of trading volatile, yet lucrative markets. If you have put in the blood, sweat and tears that accompany hard work and dedication, know what you are doing, and have a sound methodology and edge, don’t ever play not to lose.

Note that this doesn’t mean you throw caution to the wind. On the contrary, a trader must be vigilant about managing risk, position size and ones emotions. These three factors, along with having an edge, allow one to play to win, rather than lose, and put on winning trades.

Trading Thought

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #
Know what your tolerance for risk is.Traders who are able to make smart decisions can beat the market. However, the greatest hurdle to doing so is overcoming the emotional traps that cause traders to make bad decisions.The reason we succumb to our emotions is because we are afraid of losing. It is the risk we take that creates emotion; take too much risk and you are likely to make bad decisions.Therefore, you need to know what your limits are. What dollar amount of risk causes you anxiety? If you can not make a trade with out fear then you are taking too much risk. For some, that means never trading since they simply can not handle the risk of financial loss. However, over time and with success you will begin to build up your tolerance for risk, just take it one step at a time.

DAY TRADING LESSONS

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

daytradinglessons-update

  • Trading is a continuous learning process

  • Don’t trade without a plan. Be as prepared as possible. Don’t try to be right
  • Emotion is a much bigger influence in stock prices than any other factor
  • The market reacts more to sentiment than facts. Herd mentality rules
  • Sell into strength and buy into weakness
  • Market always rewards minority, not the crowd. The trick to figure out if the mass perception is wrong and WHEN it will be proved to be wrong.
  • Technical setups and money management are more important than fundamental catalysts when trading
  • Always ask: What beliefs are you acting upon? What is the basis for those beliefs? Why do you have those beliefs now? Would those beliefs be different if your recent gain/loss record had been reversed? Can you clearly enumerate what could happen that would cause you to change your mind?”
  • Extreme emotions cause extreme pain. I’ve learned how not to get overly bullish or bearish
  • Be mindful of higher trading volume on down days prior to a future catalyst as bad news can and often does leaks out
  • Take responsibility for your own trading
  • Cut your losses, let your winners run, and this is more easily said than done
  • If you can’t focus, you can’t trade. Be in the zone or stay sidelined
  • Buy below value and well below value if possible
  • Being flexible can be fruitful
  • Let the market come to me and don’t force trades
  • It is never “different” this time
  • Just more……….very soon ,Till then just read these and learn something new.
  •  

    • Ten Ingredients to become A Great Trader

      
      Education
    #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

    It is all a game of risk management, mind, and a robust system. Everything else is just noise. 

    1. Passion for trading, only passion can fuel the work ethic needed to do the hard work that leads to success.
    2. Goal oriented traders succeed, if you know why you are trading and where it leads you may just get there.
    3. Perseverance: It is hard to lose if you never quit.
    4. Resiliency: The ability to come back from losses may be the secret to trading success.
    5. Back testing systems and methods before trading them speeds up the learning curve and side steps a lot of learning through real losses. (more…)

    4 Trading Fear

      
      Education
    #  #  #  #  #  #

    The fear of being wrong: Traders fear being wrong so much they will hold a small loss until it becomes a huge loss. Even adding to the loss in the hopes of it coming back and getting to even. Don’t do this, holding on to a loser after it hits your predetermined stop loss is like being a reverse trend trader. Do not be afraid of being wrong small be afraid of being wrong BIG.

    The fear of losing money: New traders hate to lose money, they do not quite understand yet that they will lose 40%-60% of the time in the long term. We should come to expect the small losses and wait for the big wins patiently. Many times traders fear this so much that they have a hard time taking an entry out of fear of losing. If you can’t handle the losses as part of the business, you can’t trade.

    The fear of missing out: The opposite of the fear of losing money is the fear of losing potential profits. This causes traders to watch a stock go up and up, miss the primary trend, then not being able to take it any more and get in late just in time for the trend to reverse and lose money. Trade at your systems proper entry point do not chase a stock because you are afraid to miss out on some profits.

    The fear of leaving money on the table: When your trailing stop is hit get out of the trade. If your rules tell you to get out after a parabolic run up and stall then exit. You must be disciplined on taking money off the table while it is there. Being greedy for that last few dollars when your system says to sell could lead to major losses of paper profits. Let your winners run but when the runner gets to tired to continue: bank your profits.

    Why do only 5% of the traders who day-trade end up successful?

      
      Education
    #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

    5percentTwo reasons – #1) Many just want an indicator that is going to reveal the market to them and it is too competitive for that to work.

    #2) The vast majority don’t approach the challenge in a way that will work. To a large degree, this isn’t the trader’s fault because most do what they have been taught by scores of “experts”.

    Here is what will work. Guaranteed.

    1. Never forget that the only thing you want to do is predict that others will buy higher or sell lower in your timeframe.

    2. Settle on a strategy (and set of tactics) that suits your personality and thinking patterns.

    3. Plan to use your judgment in the midst of making decision and entering trades! You are not a robot and you will never become one. Your brain is going to kick-in with its built-in facility for decision making in uncertain situations. In other words, you won’t be able to stop it from making judgments and compelling you to act so… work with it.

    4. Learn to optimize that judgment through simplicity, practice, keeping records and knowing your feelings and emotions.

    5. Manage your Psychological Capital (Mental Energy) more carefully than you manage your trades.

    The money will follow. Your brain will work, your pattern recognition will work and your plan (a realistic one) will indeed be realized.

    Go to top