Archives of “February 2019” month
rssRespect the price action but never defer to it (Trading Quote )
Traders Must Watch These Two Video
The coin flip is not random? Rethinking your thinking-VIDEO
What is Speculation ? -Jesse Livermore
In The Markets :Less = More. Less positions, risk, decisions, hours at the screen and opinions of others = More Money
Bruce Kovner's :Wisdom Thought
Michael Marcus taught me one other thing that is absolutely critical: You have to be willing to make mistakes regularly; there is nothing wrong with it. Michael taught me about making your best judgment, being wrong, making your next best judgment, being wrong, making your third best judgment, and then doubling your money.
Whenever I enter a position, I have a predetermined stop. That is the only way I can sleep. I know where I’m getting out before I get in. The position size on a trade is determined by the stop, and the stop is determined on a technical basis. I never think about other people who may be using the same stop, because the market shouldn’t go there if I am right.
Place your stops at a point that, if reached, will reasonably indicate that the trade is wrong, not at a point determined primarily by the maximum dollar amount you are willing to lose.
If you personalize losses, you can’t trade.
55 One Liners For Traders & 101 Trading Tips for Traders -Videos
Technically Speaking
A great reminder from technical analyst John Murphy:
“The statement ‘market action discounts everything’ forms what is probably the cornerstone of technical analysis. […] The technician believes that anything that can possibly affect the price–fundamentally, politically, psychologically, or otherwise–is actually reflected in the price of that market.”
Alfred Cowles adds:
“This evidence of structure in stock prices suggests alluring possibilities in the way of forecasting. In fact, many professional speculators, including in particular exponents of the so-called Dow Theory widely publicized by popular financial journals, have adopted systems based in the main on the principle that it is advantageous to swim with the tide.”
William Dunnigan adds:
“We think that forecasting should be thought of in the light of measuring the direction of todays trend and then turning to the Law of Inertia (momentum) for assurance that probabilities favor the continuation of that trend for an unknown period of time into the future. This is trend following, and it does not require us to don the garment of the mystic and look into the crystal balls of the future.”
Richard Donchian adds:
“When I first got into commodities, no one was interested in a diversified approach. There were cocoa men, cotton men, grain men they were worlds apart. I was almost the first one who decided to look at all commodities together. Nobody before had looked at the whole picture and had taken a diversified position with the idea of cutting losses short and going with a trend.” (more…)
15 Truths about Trading
1) 45-55% (Average winning % of any given trader)
2) Traders do not mind losing money, they mind losing money doing stupid things
3) You can lose money on a Great trade
4) Focus on the Trade, Not the Money
5) Trading is a game of Probabilities, not Perfection
6) Trade to make money, not to be right
7) Nicht Spielen Zum Spass (if it doesn’t make sense, don’t do it)
The market does not know how much you are up or down, so don’t trade that way (Think: “If I had no trade on right now, what would I do”)
9) Learn to endure the pain of your gains
10) There is no ideal trader personality type
11) Fear and Fear drive the markets, not fear and greed
12) Keep it simple: Up-Down-Sideways
13) Make sure the size of your bet matches the level conviction you have in it (No Edge, No Trade; Small Edge, Small Trade; Big Edge, Big Trade)
14) Making money is easy, keeping it is hard
15) H + W + P = E
a. (Hoping + Wishing + Praying = Exit the Trade!)