Archives of “February 10, 2019” day
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Negative Interest Rates on 40% of Outstanding European…
Make Friends
The trend is your friend. Trading is like swimming. You can swim with the current or against it. In a survival situation, you can swim with the current forever. Outside factors such as water temps, need for food and sleep are another matter, but as for pure swimming ability you could swim with a slow or strong current forever.
Not so with swimming against the current. You will eventually tire and drown. That is an absolute certainty. Unless you find intricate ways to reserve kinetic energy and escape the current’s ravage for periods of respite, you will die. The same concept is true for trading with market direction versus against it. If I only had Rs 10000 for every person I heard say, “I’m a contrarian… I don’t follow the herd” through the past fifteen years, I’d have Rs One Crore for free money right now. Any idea where all those market contrarians are today? Other professions than trading. (more…)
Explanatory Style
The way you respond to winning and losing periods will depend largely upon your explanatory sytle.How do you ex-plain misfortune ?How do you explain good fortune ?In short ,are you basically optimistic or pessimistic in regards to trading ?
When a good thing happens to an optimist ,he says it’s permanent ,pervasive and personal.When a good thing happens to pessimist ,he says it’s temorary ,specific ,and not personal.Conversely ,when a bad thing happens to an optimist ,then he says it’s temporary ,specific ,and not personal.When a bad thing happens to a pessimist ,he says it’s permanent ,pervasive ,and personal.
Trading Opportunities Through Analyzing Baseball
If you got Pennington to find any valuable info when you asked him to develop quantitative analogies between forest life cycles and those of corporations to find some profitable trades you could certainly do the same in finding some numerical formula that could identify trade opportunities by analyzing baseball.
Each team– a stock, the aggregate teams– the market, each player– a corporate division, each salary– an investment made in the division and the company, each relevant performance statistic– a relevant performance statistic. Identify the right decision mix that makes teams perform better over time and improve over time and analyze similarities in companies doing the same.
The greatest liability is also the greatest asset– human decision and performance permeate the game of baseball from start to finish and one could question whether it’s possible to find a truly consistent system as a result. I would argue that this complexity makes it a perfect analogy to market/company performance. It moves based on imbedded and sometimes unexplainable intellect and experience of its participants. The chaotic human decision making process is pervasive in both.
10 Powerful Psychological Traits of the Rich Trader
Ten Powerful Psychological Traits of the Rich Trader
- They have the ability to admit they were wrong and get out of a trade. They know the place where price proves them wrong.
- They have the ability to not only close a losing trade but reverse and go in the other direction when it is called for.
- The rich trader is not trying to prove anything about themselves they are focused on making money.
- They do not fall in love with an idea, currency, commodity, or stock they will make trades based on price action.
- Rich traders know that the market action is their ultimate boss regardless of their opinions.
- No matter how sure they are about a trade they still ALWAYS manage the risk.
- Rich traders get more aggressive when winning and trade smaller or take a break during a losing streak.
- A great trader is one that can admit to anyone that they were wrong.
- Rich traders do not believe their own hype, they know they can not really predict the future they can only react to current reality and the probabilities.
- Rich traders love what they do, win or lose.
When you are trading like that, it is hard to be beaten. Time is your friend.
The Thrill Of The Ride
Some People Get the Feeling in a raft.
Other people get it in the markets.
Best Practices for Traders
1) Preparation to start the day and week: Having a clearly formulated strategy to guide trading decisions;
2) Keeping score: Using a trading journal to structure learning, document progress, and sustain positive motivation;
3) Managing risk and maximizing opportunity: Trading with more risk/size when trading well and clearly seeing opportunity and pulling back risk when drawing down, trading poorly, and perceiving little opportunity;
4) Taking breaks: Stepping back from markets periodically to gain fresh perspective, reformulate views, and tweak strategies;
5) Treating trading as a business: Limiting overhead, having a clearly defined plan to move toward profitability, focusing on distinctive areas of strengths and opportunity.
So much of what makes traders great is what they do between market sessions, how they do it, and how much of it they do.
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Suffer from Decision Fatigue?
Three men doing time in Israeli prisons recently appeared before a parole board consisting of a judge, a criminologist and a social worker. The three prisoners had completed at least two-thirds of their sentences, but the parole board granted freedom to only one of them. Guess which one: Answer.