Archives of “January 2019” month
rssObservation, Experience, Memory and Mathematics
“Observation, experience, memory and mathematics – these are what the successful trader must depend on. He must not only observe but remember at all times what he has observed. He cannot bet on the unreasonable or the unexpected, however strong his personal convictions may be about man’s unreasonableness or however certain he may feel that the unexpected happens very frequently. He must bet always on probabilities – that is, try to anticipate them. Years of practice at the game, of constant study, of always remembering, enable the trader to act on the instant when the unexpected happens as well as when the expected comes to pass.
“A man can have great mathematical ability and an unusual power of accurate observation and yet fail in speculation unless he also possesses the experience and the memory. And then, like the physician who keeps up with the advances of science, the wise trader never ceases to study general conditions, to keep track of developments everywhere that are likely to affect or influence the course of the various markets. After years of the game it becomes a habit to keep posted. He acts almost automatically. He acquires the invaluable professional attitude that enables him to beat the game – at times! (more…)
7 Dangers To Human Virtue
So True In Trading & Life …. What are success and failure
Don't overthink it, trust the price action
Work like someone is trying to take it all away from you
A guide to candlestick patterns
Intraday Update :Nifty Future-Bank Nifty
In Morning ,I had written to watch 5029-5038 level.Just kissed 5045 & started falling.
-Now ,While updating its trading at 5008 level.
What to expect ?
Thirsty Traders :Just see if not able to cross Today’s high till end session and trades below 5029 level.
Then expect slide upto 4980-4964 level.
If by chance breaks 4964 level with volumes then it will create panic and allround selling may start.
-Unexpected level of 4915-4899….Not ruled out.
Above 5038 level if trades with volumes /closes above this level then will see rally upto 5082-5097—5110-5137 level.
If not Today ,Then latest by Monday first session rally will fizzle out.Trade with levels ………….nothing else.Use eye and brain while u trade instead of watching Blue channel ,Movies.
Rally from 8815 to 9284 …..Without any Logic.
Again Today kissed Neckline and crashed.
Students of Technical Analysis watch chart instead of watching Blue channels babes.
Now ,While updating trading at 9152 level.
Below 9167 level ,Bears will have upperhand.Suppose breaks 9138 with volumes then watch panic upto 9051-9022 level.
I will update more to our SUBSCRIBERS………!!
CINEVISTAAS :From morning till this time ,recieved more then 85 e-mail about this stock.
-Again telling and writing ,if u dont have patience…dont trade ,dont Invest.Last monthe in April we recommended HENKEL @ 28….and in one month it went upto 60 level.
-Mumbai people ….go and see yourself…..what is the story of this land.Technically mind blowing.The day some South Mumbai …Bull will see this story then sky will be limit.
Updated at 13:01/28th May/Baroda
7 HABITS OF HIGHLY SUCCESSFUL & UNSUCCESSFUL TRADERS
Mr.Warren Buffett :Buy and Hold -Failed
From the wires today:
“OMAHA, Neb. (AP) — Warren Buffett’s company reported a 40 percent drop in second-quarter profit Friday because the improvement at Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s operating companies couldn’t overcome $1.4 billion in paper losses on derivative contracts. Berkshire’s strong performances from its railroad, insurance and manufacturing businesses was overshadowed by the plummeting value of the Omaha company’s derivatives — many of which are tied to the value of four major stock markets.”
From Buffett himself in 2002:
“The derivatives genie is now well out of the bottle, and these instruments will almost certainly multiply in variety and number until some event makes their toxicity clear. Central banks and governments have so far found no effective way to control, or even monitor, the risks posed by these contracts. In my view, derivatives are financial weapons of mass destruction, carrying dangers that, while now latent, are potentially lethal.”
From Bloomberg recently:
“Buffett’s well known for his criticism of derivatives. Yet Berkshire in recent years has become a big player, with some $60 billion in derivatives contracts. Under any new derivatives regulation, Berkshire would be likely to have to produce collateral for new derivatives contracts it writes. This would limit the attractiveness of new derivatives deals for Buffett, who has boasted that Berkshire rarely does a deal that calls for it to produce collateral. But that’s not why Buffett has been pushing back against the financial reform bill in the Senate. Instead, Buffett says he’s concerned that the legislation would impose collateral requirements on existing contracts — which he says would be illegal. Sen. Ben Nelson, D-Neb., made the same case this week as he defected from the Democrats backing the financial reform bill. Whatever his logic, pushing back on derivatives reform has the interesting side effect of aligning Buffett, with his sterling reputation, with the widely derided Wall Street banks.”
Buy and hold? Buying strong businesses? Derivatives are weapons of mass destruction? Bailouts of many of the components of BRKA? Does anyone have the cajones to criticize Buffett? There has to be at least one emasculated weenie out there who will come on here and tell me that I can’t criticize America’s wealthiest just because he is rich. Right?
The Buffett myth is just that — a myth. If not for the fall 2008 bailouts, he would be on the senior circuit revising history along with Greenspan. Why my stark view on this lovely sunny morning in beautiful Southern California? Cause no matter how many books populate Amazon, all preaching about how you can become the next Buffett, they are all disingenuous fairy tales.