Archives of “January 30, 2019” day
rssTruth about retirement
Wall Street and World Market …As expected melts
-Above are 5 minute chart of DOW & Nasdaq Composite.
-Once in life time ,we can see these type of Intraday moves.
-It’s already 1:53 AM ,I will update more in morning.But just refresh your memory and see this picture posted on 3rd May’10
-Boldly mentioned :TUE ,WED ,THU ,Friday….Watch Bloodbath across Globe.
-Anybody in India had written to Sell Stocks with stop of 5566 & offload everything and withdraw money from Mutual Funds ???101% Nobody ……….!!
Updated at 2:00/07th May/Baroda /India
Success probabilities
Larry Hite-Trend Following Legend Who Respects the Risks
Larry Hite was featured in Market Wizards. Market Wizards is a must read for all trend followers. On one level you will learn various trading tips however on the other hand, do not be think that your trading will be so easy. Trend following as easy as it is, is very difficult.
Try to internalize some of Larry Hite’s trading tips for trend followers:
I have noticed that everyone who has ever told me that the markets are efficient is poor.
People develop systems and people will make mistakes. Some will alter their system or jump from system to system as each one has a losing period. Others will be unable to resist second-guessing the trading signals. People don’t change.
The very first rule we live by at Mint is: Never risk more than 1% of total equity on any trade. Secondly, we always follow the trends and we never deviate from our methods. In fact, we have a written agreement that none of us can ever countermand our system. Thirdly, diversify in two ways. A. we trade more markets worldwide than any other money manager. B. we use lots of different systems ranging from short term to long term.
Over-rated indicators: Overbought/oversold indicators.
Two basic rules: (1) if you don’t bet, you can’t win. (2) If you lose all your chips, you can’t bet.
Never trade counter to the market trend.
You never know when this life will be over. Do not take any moment for granted.
35 Things Will Destroy Your Trading Capital
“What was the cause of the biggest draw downs in your trading accounts?”
- Having no exit strategy
- Being certain of your opinion on the direction of an asset
- Arrogance that you know how the trade will turn out
- Thinking that you are invincible
- Over-trading
- Believing that the market must go down based on a guru’s prediction
- Letting a guru convince you that you shouldn’t place a hard stop, but to wait for a reversal
- Incorrect position sizing
- Greed that causes you to trade too big and risk too much
- Margin
- No Hedges
- Not understanding that a Bull Market has ended
- Poor risk management
- Not knowing that earnings were about to come out on your stock
- Your ego takes over your trade
- You decide not to take your initial stop loss
- Believing a losing trade just has to reverse
- Buying a stock because it is a ‘value’ that drops another 50% from your entry
- Trading without a positive expectancy model
- Trading options without understanding how to place stops or use proper position sizing
- Thinking it “Has To Come Back”
- Buying and hoping
- Trading with no plan
- Not having trading rules for your system
- Not following your trading rules
- Averaging down
- Trading without an edge
- Keying error on the trade
- Not placing a stop
- Trying to out-guess the market
- Trading illiquid options
- Fighting the trend in your time frame
- Not fighting the natural impulses of greed and fear
- Using emotions for trading signals
- Using greed for position sizing
Observation and Analysis
“Do not believe in anything simply because you have heard it. Do not believe in anything simply because it is spoken and rumored by many. Do not believe in anything simply because it is found written in your religious books. Do not believe in anything merely on the authority of your teachers and elders. Do not believe in traditions because they have been handed down for many generations. But after observation and analysis, when you find that anything agrees with reason, and is conducive to the good and benefit of one and all, then accept it and live up to it.”
– Siddhārtha Gautama (Buddha)
A commitment to reason, observation and analysis (of the self-reliant empirical variety) has been a winning trade for thousands of years.
Why don’t more people practice this, in markets and in life?