Archives of “January 13, 2019” day

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Nugget's from Nisons Beyond Candlesticks book.

  
  Education
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Beyondcandlestick

Here’s the first nugget from Nisons Beyond Candlesticks book.

(It’s A BIBLE and my Hot favourite Book )

“A single candle by itself is rarely sufficient reason to forecast an immediate
reversal” (21)

When you cannot see the state of your opponent, you pretend to make a powerful attack to uncover the intention of the enemy. This concept, as related to trading, is one of the reasons a spring is so important. 57

In effect, these traders act like the aforementioned “moving shadow,” testing the battlefield by entering a large order to try and break support (or resistance). (more…)

Lessons from Hedge Fund Market Wizards

  
  Education
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1. Steve Clark was “brutally honest” in his interview with Schwager. In the opening, Clark describes his background; raised in a council house on the outskirts of London, no father in sight, no university degree, and no initial trading experience. Clark was installing stereo systems when a friend told him about trading jobs in the City.  Sometimes interest and motivation are more important than “pedigree”.
2. He worked a series of back-office jobs and assistant roles before getting a shot at running a market-making book. He got his first chance to trade the book while filling in for a trader on holiday…during the week of the October 1987 crash. Trial by fire situation.
3. Steve learned a valuable lesson making prices on October 19, 1987: the price is where anyone is prepared to deal, and it can be anything. Steve found he had to quote prices so low until sell orders dried up. He still lost several million pounds on his book that day.
4. Eventually he became the most profitable trader in his group. Steve credits this shift to his ability to cut positions that were down or “wrong”. He also traded around news to orientate himself on “the right side of the market”. Plus, he was inexperienced and didn’t have the fear that cripples people who’ve been in the business for a long time. 
5. Traded on order flow info and screened for stocks making moves on big volume. He also used charts to see what happened when stocks reached certain levels in prior periods. Clark cautions that he is not a big believer in predictive chart analysis.  (more…)

Trading Wisdom

  
  Education
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Successful traders:
1) are very solid with what he called the “basics” (tape reading, execution, preparation for the trading day),
2) have discovered the trades that fit your personality and became excellent at those and
3) realize that successful trading is about pulling a small bucket of profit water out of the market well multiple times (in other words they are not greedy).

4) a passion for trading,
5) the willingness to admit you are wrong in your bias and to change your bias or terminate a losing trade and
6) to work really hard to become better each day.

7) an ability to recognize what trades truly work for you and to STICK with them and
8) calmness in the midst of market volatility.

Unglamorous as it may sound, it looks like the clear winner is hard work and learning the basics. Should this be that big of a surprise? Wasn’t it Thomas Edison who said ” genius is 1% inspiration and 99% perspiration”? But it is interesting to note that two of the three put a very high premium on recognizing your trading strengths and focusing on those types of trades primarily.

The Mathematics of Persistence

  
  Education
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Many years ago (circa 2005), I came across the below food-for-thought piece from a musical theorist named Lee Humphries. The ideas presented intrigue to this day.

Investment assumptions aside — An 8.5% passive return? Good luck with that— the concepts of compounding and Metcalfe’s law (aka network effects) apply strikingly well to the development of expert knowledge… and the theory and practice of trading.

What’s more, a persistently cultivated “perception of subtleties” is, indeed, a large part of what trading is all about.

So without further ado…

The Mathematics of Persistence (more…)

Trading Psychology Quotes

  
  Education
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thinker-

  • Assumption 1: We have not learned everything there is to know.
  • Assumption 2: What we have learned, unwittingly or by choice, may not be very useful with respect to fulfilling ourselves in some satisfying manner.
  • Assumption 3: What we have learned that is useful and works to our satisfaction is still subject to change because of changing environmental conditions.

“If you operate out of the foregoing assumptions, you will begin to recognize how every moment becomes a perfect indication of your state of development and what you need to do to improve yourself.

“When we refuse to acknowledge or accept the perfection of each moment in our lives, we deny ourselves access to the infomation that we need to expand ourselves. Any skill that we need to learn to express ourselves more effectively has a true starting point. To find that true starting point requires our acceptance of each outcome as a reflection of the sum total of who we are so that we can first indentify what skill needs to be learned and how we might go about the task of learning it. Without this true starting point, we will operate from a base of illusion.

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