Archives of “January 13, 2019” day

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Lack of Discipline & Patience

  
  Education
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When you have clearly outlined and identified your trading methodology, then you must have the discipline to follow your system. A Lack of Discipline in this regard is the second fatal flaw. If the way you view a price chart or evaluate a potential trade setup is different from how you did it a month ago, then you have either not identified your methodology or you lack the discipline to follow the methodology you have identified. The formula for success is to consistently apply a proven methodology. So the best advice I can give you to overcome a lack of discipline is to define a trading methodology that works best for you and follow it religiously.

The fourth finger of the invisible hand that robs your trading account is Lack of Patience. I forget where, but I once read that markets trend only 20% of the time, and, from my experience, I would say that this is an accurate statement. So think about it, the other 80% of the time the markets are not trending in one clear direction.

That may explain why I believe that for any given time frame, there are only two or three really good trading opportunities. For example, if you’re a long-term trader, there are typically only two or three compelling tradable moves in a market during any given year. Similarly, if you are a short-term trader, there are only two or three high-quality trade setups in a given week. (more…)

Stress hormone linked to financial crisis

  
  Education
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STRESS TRADINGThe stress that financial traders suffer during periods of high volatility in the markets reduces their appetite for risk, according to a study led by Cambridge university neuroscientist and former Wall Street trader John Coates. This may prolong financial crises.

The research, published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, combines field and lab work. Prof Coates and colleagues discovered that levels of the stress hormone cortisol increased by 68 per cent on average in a group of City of London traders over eight days in which market volatility increased.

 The scientists took this finding to Addenbrooke’s Hospital in Cambridge where they used pharmacology – hydrocortisone tablets – to raise cortisol levels in volunteers, also by 68 per cent over eight days. Participants then played an incentivised risk-taking game. The appetite for risk collapsed, by as much as 44 per cent according to one measure, in those with raised cortisol. (The study was double-blinded with a control group taking dummy tablets.) (more…)

Accept you will make many mistakes

  
  Education
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Those who learn how to minimize the damage when they are wrong and who readily own up to the mistakes they make will do far better over the long haul. Making mistakes is a part of this game, but knowing how to handle them is everything. Likewise, if you attach your ego to your portfolio’s performance you are destined for failure. The market absolutely loves to kill those with big giant egos and who look for the markets as a place to prove how smart they are. Markets chew and spit out these folks routinely for good reason and they will continue to do so at every available opportunity.

My Goal

  
  Education
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Technical analysis is often misunderstood as being the holy grail to making profits. What is often overlooked is its ability to warn you of impending price moves and its ability to help avoid huge losses. Applying technical analysis and using stop losses are the only way to protect your financial and mental capital. If you want to play the markets you need to stay in the game. My goal as a trader is still the same:

  • To continue to learn about the markets and price movements
  • To learn from my mistakes in order to avoid repeating them
  • To continually increase discipline
  • To be emotionally detached.

Trading Principles

  
  Education
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• In life, as in trading, the right mindset is crucial for success. You must be confident in your decisions because they are based on cause and effect, not on emotions or opinion. Negative people who are unsure of themselves are not successful in any field. You need faith in yourself and your methods to be able to persevere and not give up before reaching success.

• You can risk too much and lose it all in your business, life, marriage, friendships or family. You have to measure the potential cost of every action. One affair can cost you your marriage, just like one big trade with too much risk can cost you all your capital.

• In business there are certain methods which bring in customers and turn a profit, and others which cause a business to turn away customers and lose money. Trading is similar: methods which turn a consistent and long-term profit are essential for success.

• Having unrealistic expectations in a marriage, job, or business will lead to unhappiness and failure just like it will in trading. You have to set realistic expectations so
you do not get discouraged easily and quit in any of these areas. You have to be satisfied that the results are worth your effort over the long term. You need to understand what to expect before you begin a marriage, a job, a business, or trading.

• Those who succeed in all areas of life are the ones who can manage stress the best. The best way to manage stress is to increase what you can handle step by step so that you grow into new circumstances. Another way to manage stress is to avoid actions which get you into situations you are uncomfortable with.

Golf/Trading Quotes

  
  Education
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Yesterday night I was reading huge list of quotes about golf. After reading them I realized that if you substituted the word trading for every time the word golf appears in these quotes, that the same statements would hold true.

  • “Golf [Trading] is about how well you accept, respond to, and score with your misses much more so than it is a game of your perfect shots.” – Dr. Bob Rotella

  • “One of the most fascinating things about golf [trading] is how it reflects the cycle of life. No matter what you shoot – the next day you have to go back to the first tee and begin all over again and make yourself into something.” – Peter Jacobsen

  • “No-one will ever have golf [trading] under his thumb. No round ever will be so good it could not have been better. Perhaps this is why golf [trading] is the greatest of games.” – Bobby Jones

  • “Golf [Trading] is the closest game to the game we call life. You get bad breaks from good shots; you get good breaks from bad shots – but you have to play the ball where it lies.” – Bobby Jones

  • “Golf [Trading] is not a game of great shots. It’s a game of most accurate misses. The people who win make the smallest mistakes.” – Gene Littler

  • “Golf [Trading] is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated.” – Arnold Palmer

  • “The fundamental problem with golf [trading] is that every so often, no matter how lacking you may be in the essential virtues required of a steady player, the odds are that one day you will hit the ball straight, hard, and out of sight. This is the essential frustration of this excruciating sport. For when you’ve done it once, you make the fundamental error of asking yourself why you can’t do this all the time. The answer to this question is simple: the first time was a fluke.” – Colin Bowles

  • “Golf [Trading] is a difficult game, but it’s a little easier if you trust your instincts. It’s too hard a game to try to play like someone else.” – Nancy Lopez

  • “Golf [Trading] is 20 percent talent and 80 percent management.” – Ben Hogan (more…)

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