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How George Soros Knows What He Knows

  
  Education
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georgesoros

I wonder if George Soros can really attribute his financial success to his theoretical framework that he calls the “Theory of Refexivity.” Or perhaps he just simply listens to the clues that his bodily instincts provide him with before making important trading decisions. Hmmm . . . Here’s what his son Robert has to say:
“My father will sit down and give you theories to explain why he does this or that. But I remember seeing it as a kid and thinking, Jesus Christ, at least half of this is bullshit. I mean, you know the reason he changes his position on the market or whatever is because his back starts killing him. It has nothing to do with reason. He literally goes into a spasm, and it’s this early warning sign.”

Words of Wisdom from Colm O’Shea

  
  Education
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In “Hedge Fund Market Wizards”, Jack Schwager interviews Colm O’Shea of Comac Capital. There are some great quotes in the interview and here are some of my favourites:

 You need to implement a trade in a way that limits your losses when you are wrong, and you also need to be able to recognize when a trade is wrong.

 … what strikes me about really good managers (is that) they don’t get attached to their ideas.

 You need a method that suits your personality.

 People who like trading because they like gambling are always going to be terrible at it. For these people, the trading books could be greatly shortened to the message: “Don’t trade. You are really bad at this. So just don’t do it.”

 Traders who are successful over the long run adapt. If they do use rules, and you meet them 10 years later, they will have broken those rules. Why? Because the world has changed. (more…)

Warren Buffett not lured by gold

  
Analysis, Education
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Warren BuffetEverybody is bullish on gold these days. You even have outfits like ‘Cash For Gold’ peddling their trades at your local mall. But historically, gold has never been a great long term investment.

While the love for gold can take this commodity to $3,000, be sure to get off the train before the top. Because once it goes down, it stays down for decades.

NEW YORK (Commodity Online): A gold boom is on and despite the ‘bubble talk’ on gold, every investor worth the name is running after the shining metal. From Jim Rogers to John Paulson, most investors or investing analysts have argued that gold is the best investment bet against rising inflation and declining US dollar value. They all are waiting for a gold bull run that will go past $2000 per ounce in 2010.

But Warren Buffett, the world’s richest investor and billionaire businessman, has not yet fallen for gold. His ideas on gold and why he is not interested obsessed with investing in the shining yellow metal should be an eye opener for all those who are running after gold.

Here are some reasons why gold is not luring Warren Buffett, and why there are better, erudite and lasting investing options than gold.

”Gold gets dug out of the ground in Africa, or someplace. Then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no utility. Anyone watching from Mars would be scratching their head.” Warren Buffett. (more…)

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