Loss Aversion

Changing behavior is one of the hardest things one can do, but as most successful marketers will tell you, it can be done in almost any circumstance. There are apps for the iPhone (I can’t speak for Android) which have succeeded in getting people to exercise or lose weight. Perhaps you might adapt one of them to suit your need.

Yes. If loss aversion is pervasive, then it should show up in regularities relating to price moves. The situation is complicated in futures where one person’s long profit when price goes up is the short’s loss. The endowment effect which is caused by loss aversion or the tendency to connect with what you own, could lead to holding something too long. The reference point effect, which is that people base their decisions on where they are, a variant of holding onto the status quo is also a factor. When there is a profit, a different type of endowment effect plays then when there is a loss. Especially when there has been a big loss and it turns into a profit, the loss aversion effect is greatest I believe.

Why isn’t this a choice between two diametrically opposed systems: either a buy and hold, where there is no special characteristics attached to the winner or the losers, or a mathematical system that has some predetermined dispositions at any time for a winner and a loser based on some quantitative criteria. When it’s something in between, that ambiguous choice and regret enter the picture.

Loss Aversion emanates from the desire to enjoy profits without having to respond to losses. It is a manifestation of an ill that returns can be generated without undergoing adverse excursions. Loss Aversion is placed within a fantasy that the majority suffers much more frequently.

Risk Aversion respects the law of diminishing marginal utility of risk. It acknowledges well that returns are feasible only upon a readiness to respond to adverse excursions.

The unwillingness to respond to adverse excursions results in all of the sins that traders can eventually end up doing, including losing more than what they are entitled to on any one adventure or set of adventures in the markets. Killing a position too soon is also a manifestation of loss aversion only, with a variant that one is averse to losing the profits away. I would surmise the opposite of this sinful loss aversion is not loss seeking behaviour, but merely loss acknowledging behaviour.

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