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Cataclysmic Errors

  
  Education
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Do or die: “Drawing is not a dirty word and neither is defeat. Play to win, but take a draw, or even a defeat, and wait for another day. That’s the name of the game.”

A Doubting Thomas: “If you want to be certain of your position, you must begin by doubting it.”

Confidence Game: “in order to win, you must have plenty of confidence, and that’s fine unless it becomes conceit.”

Your Manuscript: “You will need a blank book: plus a pen or pencil. And something just as important: an eraser.”

Defeat: “In many losses, especially among masters, it is the one fatal move that breaks the camel’s back.”

Stroke of Luck: “With luck, students may win a game or two. But with knowledge and work, they may win many games, and even become masters. Stick to your last.”

Ambition: “You have to burn the midnight oil if you want to set the world on fire.”

Time to Buy Diamond plus listed stocks

  
Analysis, Economy, Education, LINKS
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If you know anyone in the Diamond business, they’ll tell you that they are in a real “crisis”.
Prices have fallen down sharply.You can learn more about this industry via the site powered by the .Rapaport report
I find real value in large stones today.Feel safer in that industry compare to Gold right now.
The real good news ? Rough diamonds are really hard to get now 🙂

What Best Technical Analyst Do ?

  
  Education
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-Technicians believe that there is wisdom in price. That price has memory. That people who were inclined to buy at a certain price are somewhat likely to buy there again. Unless something’s changed, in which case their failure to re-buy (or buy more) at that formerly significant price level can be interpreted in an entirely new way – what was once an area of support on a chart becomes an area of resistance.

-Technicians believe that trends persist, in both directions, because market participants act on “news” at different speeds and act more boldly (or fearfully) the longer a particular movement in the markets goes on. This is why bull markets often end with a buying crescendo in the riskiest securities. Risk appetites grow as an uptrend persists, the desperation to participate gets stronger, it does not fade gently.

This is also why selling becomes more fierce when the market is at a 20% discount to its previous high than when it is at a 10% discount. “How could it be even more urgent to sell down 20% than it is down 10%?” someone would ask. Going by fundamentals, it isn’t. But investors only pay lip service to fundamentals. What they are more concerned with is owning less of the thing that looks stupid to own – and the lower it goes, the stupider it looks.

Unless you buy into the idea that rational behavior rules the investment markets. In which case, you’re reading the wrong writer 

-Technicians find truth in price, rather than attempting to parse the impossibly conflicted and intentionally obscured opinions of the commentariat. Technicians find meaning in the actual buying and selling activity happening today, not in the dusty old 10Q’s of 90 days ago or in the projected estimates being bandied about among the discounted cash-flow analysis crowd on the sell-side.

But above all, technicians respect the power of sentiment more than their fundamentalist counterparts. And sentiment, after all, is how valuations actually come to be – the P in the PE Ratio or the PEG Ratio or the P/B calculation. In the real equation, the only one that counts, the P is what pays, not the E, not the EG and certainly not the B. Buffett would tell you the B (book value) is what pays over time (the market going from a voting machine to a weighing machine). But Buffett can afford to ride it out, having permanent capital under management and an ocean of insurance premiums sloshing in over the transom every hour of the day. Most market players do not.

Ten traits of successful people

  
Education, Life
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  1. Positive thinking. They think of success, not failure, regardless of how difficult the situation.
  2. Makes conscious decisions regarding what they’re after, and draw out specific plans to reach their goals.
  3. Action-oriented.
  4. Never stop learning.
  5. Being persistent and hard working.
  6. Analyze details and seek out all the facts.
  7. Focused, doesn’t let other people or things distract them from their goals. Learns to save money.
  8. Being innovative.
  9. Communicate with others effectively
  10. Integrity.

Ray Dalio eclipses George Soros as most successful fund manager

  
  Education
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Bridgewater founder with ‘radically transparent’ approach to investing has the last laugh

Almost 40 years ago, a young Harvard graduate called Ray Dalio was trading futures at a brokerage called Shearson Hayden Stone. His boss was one Sandy Weill, who would go on to become famous as chairman and chief executive of Citigroup.

It was a promising start in finance. But the promise did not last long: Wall Street legend has it that after just a year in the job Dalio was sacked for taking a stripper to a client presentation.

Such a debut could have led to the rookie drifting off into obscurity – or just as easily have been the beginning of prolonged fame. Yet neither happened.

Instead, the son of a jazz musician sloped off and founded his own hedge fund, Bridgewater, from a two-bedroom apartment. It took three decades operating out of Westport, Connecticut before people outside the sector started to talk about Dalio once again.

The credit crisis was the trigger that propelled the money manager’s name back into Wall Street conversation, after providing him with the platform to outshine rivals and reap massive rewards.

This week the 62-year-old’s fortune was put at $10bn (£6.3bn) in Forbes’s latest list of billionaires. Last month he was lauded as the most successful hedge fund manager in history, after new rankings compiled by LCH Investments showed the $13.8bn that his Bridgewater Pure Alpha fund made in 2011 had propelled Dalio past the grandaddy of hedge fund investing, George Soros, in terms of returns to investors. (more…)

About Winning, About Losing

  
  Education
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People lose money at the stock market for very simple reasons:

1. They don’t have a method at all. They rely on other people opinions.

2. People don’t have a winning method. The method they are trading has a negative expectancy. Being disciplined about stop losses and position sizing won’t help, if you are trading a losing method. Expectancy changes with volatility. When your method stops providing satisfying results, you either find another that is working in the current market conditions or stay on the side until things change.

3. Those who have a winning strategy often don’t use it. They get emotional and forget about their strategy.

“Good trading is 10% technology and 90% psychology. People defeat themselves. It doesn’t matter how often you repeat basic trading principles when almost no one will practice them” (Maoxian)

Everybody knows the four cardinal rules of trading, but so few people follow them — 1) Trade with the trend. 2) Cut losses short. 3) Let profits run. 4) Manage risk.

There is a big difference between knowing something and applying it. Most people don’t use what they know.

 

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