ECB reportedly weighing up whether to announce size, duration of bond-buying scheme

‘QE but not QE’. That is the path the ECB is going to take in battling fragmentation.

Reuters is reporting that the central bank is set to announce the new tool on 21 July, alongside its first rate hike in more than a decade. But policymakers are said to be considering whether to announce the size and duration of the upcoming bond-buying scheme. There are said to be different options presented by ECB staff on the matter, so it may be that policymakers will not feel too comfortable in making it public this early on.

The sources say that one of the pros of announcing a large envelope would at least reaffirm the ECB’s commitment to fighting fragmentation but if the size is deemed as “too small” by bond traders, it could backfire instead. Keeping things vague might help to avoid the latter but at the same time, it could leave a lot of questions unanswered – which also isn’t a good thing.

As mentioned here yesterday, the ECB will bring back bond-buying alongside ‘sterilisation’ to try and convince markets of its goals. But again, whether or not this will work in practice is certainly going to be interesting to watch. Essentially, the ECB is going to backstop Italy at the expense of others so that will definitely stir up some controversy.

Sanctions will not target food, agricultural products from Russia – G7 statement

  • Calls on all partners to avoid unjustified restrictive trade measures that risk food insecurity
  • Stands by commitment to keep food and agricultural markets open
  • Calls on those partners with large food stockpiles to make them available without distorting markets

So much fluff. And this just adds to the proposal to put a price cap on Russian oil, which I still don’t get how they are going to go about it. Good luck trying to convince India or China to get on board for that.

Federal Reserve speakers coming up on Tuesday, 28 June 2022 – Barkin and Daly

8am New York time, which is 1200 GMT:

  • Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin speaks in person on the economic outlook before the Halifax County Chamber of Commerce

12:30pm New York time, 1630 GMT:

  • Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly Chapman participates in a virtual fireside chat in an event hosted by LinkedIn
  • Daly (on top) and Barkin

    barkin daly 28 June 2022

Largest pension fund on the planet is making a killing on the weak yen

Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) is the largest pool of retirement savings in the world. GPIF manages and invests the Reserve Funds of the Japanese Government’s Pension Plans entrusted by the Minister of Health, Labour and Welfare.

The fund is likely to report a second consecutive gain of around 5.6%, mainly thanks to the weak yen boosting the value of its foreign holdings.

Yen has tumbled sharply:

usdyen weekly 28 June 2022
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