One of my favorites has a way with words:
“Market tops are like orgasms. You have a sense its coming. Pulling out is the last thing on your mind. And then you go unconscious.”
His video is must see TV.
One of my favorites has a way with words:
“Market tops are like orgasms. You have a sense its coming. Pulling out is the last thing on your mind. And then you go unconscious.”
His video is must see TV.
In a breaking news, it would appear that one of the greatest cause for irritation among retail traders, notably that some big institutions used “flash” computer systems to front-run their client’s orders will be ended shortly, as the Securities and Exchange Commission voted unanimously to ban the practice, accused of allowing among others GS to pocket its enormous trading gains. More also here.
1) Markets fall faster than they rise — and options traders know this. Otherwise, arbitraging this difference would be a meal for a lifetime.
2) Market participants perhaps anticipate that the realized volatility during a bear market is greater than a bull market. However, the problem with this analysis is one might expect to see an upward sloping volatility yield curve in out-of-the-money puts (during bull markets), and yet that does not usually occur based on my tests. Conversely, right now have a downward sloping yield curve in out of the money calls — which confirms the hypothesis that market participants anticipate slower price rises in the future. [Note to quants: I am not confusing delta, gamma and vega. I’m using options to predict terminal price at expiration.]
3) For most humans, fear of loss is a stronger emotion/motivator than the pleasure of gain (greed). This is well documented in the psychology and behavioral finance literature. Hence, ceterus paribus, capital market participants (who have a net long position) will, as a group, pull their rip cord faster — to flee from risk — than they will embrace the possibility of profit.
1.Does your self -esteem rise and fall with your latest trading ?
2.Have you ever taken a trade just to prove your ability as a trader ?
3.Do you brag about your winning trades to others ?
4.Do you try to hide your losing trades from others ?
5.Do you ever make up false stories about your trading to impress others ?
6.Do you worry about what other people think of you as a trader ?
7.Make an honest self-assessment of your trading.
8.Compliment yourself and give yourself credit when you do something right.
9.When you make a mistake or do something that doesn’t serve your trading ,plan how you will correct this tomorrow or in the future.Say to Yourself ,”That’s not like me.I can do better.”
10.Notice your improvement and commit to doing better each day ,week ,month and Year.