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Conquering Your Fear

So, what can you do about the fear that keeps you from following your trading plan and maintaining your commitments? How to overcome fear that keeps you from following your trading plan. Well, let’s begin with what causes fear.  Fear stems from a perceived threat that may or may not be real. Threat begins as a perception and a thought.  In other words, when we have interpreted that an event is threatening our physical, mental, emotional, social or spiritual well-being we have given that event a meaning.  Now, meaning is a crucial process that controls not only what you perceive but how you perceive it. For example, that price action is moving toward my stop and that means that I’m going to lose in this trade (the movement of the price action may or may not take you out and at this point it is only an opinion but it is often treated as a fact).  In other words, the meaning here would be activated by a limiting or irrational belief about the inevitability of losing, and this in turn would prompt another limiting belief about what that says about you; i.e., “I’m a very poor trader and a loser because my stop loss was hit.”  It often continues to spiral downward from there.  So, what you are thinking is the genesis of the emotion that you experience…the fear.

Secondly, fear determines what you choose to do.  This is where you become immobilized or act in erratic illogical ways that increase your risk and destroy your desired results.  At this point it is important that you identify the thinking/beliefs that are fuelling the fear.  Here is an important question to ask; “What must I be telling myself or believing to feel this fear.”  This introspective inquiry will help you ferret out the underlying fear based programming that created that belief and in-turn developed the fear response in the first place. (more…)

Emotional Makeup is More Important Than Intelligence

  • I haven’t seen much correlation between good trading and intelligence. Some outstanding traders are quite intelligent, but a few aren’t. Many outstanding intelligent people are horrible traders. Average intelligence is enough. Beyond that, emotional makeup is more important.
  • As I recall more than half the course revolved around developing the right attitude, guarding against debilitating emotions, how to think about risk, and how to handle success and failure.
  • Teaching the turtle system itself doesn’t take very long. I was saying you need less than 12 degrees of freedom in a system; versions of the turtle system had three or four.
  • We spent a lot of time talking about our theories on how to control risk; that was actually the bulk of the course. Attitude, emotional control, discipline; those things are harder to teach. All the turtles learned the system and learned the strategy; that was the easy part, but some of them brought the right attitude and right mental set to it and they prospered and became very rich. Others had a more halting career and did not succeed as well. They had the same training, but maybe they did not have the same emotional make-up.

JoshuaMomoa (Big Mike’s Trading Forum) on Simplicity

  • I currently use NinjaTrader with Zen-Fire (Mirus Futures). I’m a full-time day trader. I primarily use technical analysis for my trading decision but nothing very complicated (support & resistance). I’m not a scalper and I don’t use the DOM to place my orders. I’m trying to catch as much as possible of the intraday swings. I’m not chasing a couple of ticks 50 times a day. I usually place 1 or 2 orders per instrument per day.
  • I’m in the process of opening an account with Advantage Futures but I still can’t decide whether to choose CQG Integrated Client or X_Trader Pro. I’ve decided to change my broker and my trading platform because I’m now trading bigger lots (between 100 and 200 contracts per trade for ES) and I had a lot of problems with the execution of my trades with NinjaTrader and Zen-Fire recently. I want to move to something more “professional”.

Testing, Vaccine & Treatment Medical News:

Antibody Tests Point To Lower Death Rate For The Coronavirus Than First Thought (NPR)
• Coronavirus May Be a Blood Vessel Disease, Which Explains Everything (Medium)
• Wuhan’s Mass Testing May Have Eradicated the Coronavirus (Bloomberg)
• At-Home Covid-19 Testing Arrives, With Accuracy and Access Questions (Wall Street Journal)
• Surgisphere: governments and WHO changed Covid-19 policy based on suspect data from tiny US company (The Guardian)
• The Top Canadian Doctor Who Aced the Coronavirus Test (NYT)
• Georgia student, son of 2 first responders, creates lifesaving COVID-19 equipment (NBC News)
• A mysterious company’s coronavirus papers in top medical journals may be unraveling (Science mag)
• ‘Superspreaders’ Could Actually Make Covid-19 Easier to Control (Bloomberg)
• Biotech Startup Aims to Make Use of Humanity’s Genetic Outliers (Businessweek)
• Self Assured Destruction: Covid-19 is now endemic in the United States. (Epsilon Theory)
• The C.D.C. Waited ‘Its Entire Existence for This Moment.’ What Went Wrong? (New York Times

Jake Bernstein on Faulty Learning from Positive Reinforcement

  • The tension of riding a profit or loss may be quite intense for some investors. By liquidating too early, they are relieved of the tension, and, therefore, the mere termination of this situation will have the same result as a positive experience. They will be more likely to behave the same way in future trades.
  • Those who ride losses to unacceptably large amounts also tend to experience the positive effects of relief. Again the relief can serve to reward an otherwise inappropriate act. It’s like the man who, when asked why he kept banging his head against the wall, replied, “because it feels so good when I stop.”

Paul Graham on the Shortness of Life

  • If life is short, we should expect its shortness to take us by surprise. And that is just what tends to happen. You take things for granted, and then they’re gone. You think you can always write that book, or climb that mountain, or whatever, and then you realize the window has closed. The saddest windows close when other people die. Their lives are short too.
  • It’s easy to let the days rush by. The “flow” that imaginative people love so much has a darker cousin that prevents you from pausing to savor life amid the daily slurry of errands and alarms.
  • Cultivate a habit of impatience about the things you most want to do. Don’t wait before climbing that mountain or writing that book or visiting your mother. You don’t need to be constantly reminding yourself why you shouldn’t wait. Just don’t wait.

Seneca on Time

  • It is not that we have a short time to live, but that we waste a lot of it. Life is long enough, and a sufficiently generous amount has been given to us for the highest achievements if it were all well invested. But when it is wasted in heedless luxury and spent on no good activity, we are forced at last by death’s final constraint to realize that it has passed away before we knew it was passing.
  • So it is: we are not given a short life but we make it short, and we are not ill-supplied but wasteful of it… Life is long if you know how to use it.
  • Putting things off is the biggest waste of life: it snatches away each day as it comes, and denies us the present by promising the future.

The Federal Reserve decision is Wednesday: Three things to watch for

The Fed has executed the pump; watch out for the dump

The Fed has executed the pump; watch out for the dump
The Federal Reserve decision is on June 10 and it’s shaping up to be a bigger event than anticipated a week ago because of surprising strength in jobs and equity markets.
We’ve quickly moved from a paradigm of Fed action supporting equity markets to the unwinding of Fed action sapping equity markets.
Here is what to watch:

The Main Street Lending facility

main street

(more…)

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