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CHARLES T. MUNGER AND THE PRESCRIPTION FOR A LIFE OF MISERY

On June 13, 1986 Charles T. Munger delivered the commencement address at Harvard University.

In it, Munger borrows from an earlier commencement address by the late night host Johnny Carson.  Carson shared with the  graduating class that although he could not not tell them how to be happy, he could share with them from personal experience how to be miserable.

Carson’s prescription for a life of misery?

  1. ingestion of  chemicals to alter mood or perception
  2. envy
  3. resentment

Munger adds to Carson’s prescription with four more ways to guarantee a life of misery:

  1. be unreliable: do not faithfully do what you have promised yourself or others
  2. learn everything you possibly can from your own personal experience, minimizing what you can learn from the good and bad experience of others, living and dead
  3. go down and stay down when you get your first, second, and third severe reverse in the battle of life (i.e., if at first you do not succeed then do not try again)
  4. ignore evidence contrary to your opinion by remaining certain in your views

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You Cannot Beat The Markets; Nor Can You Really Fully Know Them

YOUNG MONK: “Do not try and bend the spoon—that’s impossible. Instead, only try to realize the truth.”
NEO: “What truth?”
YOUNG MONK: “There is no spoon.”

This is one of the key ideas in the Matrix: that what our eyes or senses perceive is not necessarily reality.  By stepping into the trader’s chart, we only know so much about the reality we are anticipating and perceiving.  Whilst we can stack the odds in our favour by plugging in the appropriate programs, using the right indicators, reading the news, we are nevertheless trading probabilities, as opposed to fixed, quantifiable outcomes.  We can set our parameters for action within this hyper-reality and hone our knowledge and experience as we take the trades, but we cannot know outcomes. As the young Buddhist monk tells Neo, we must bend our minds to the task, we cannot bend the markets…

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