Archives of “January 4, 2019” day
rssIt took John Paulson a full year to get his first investor when he started Paulson & Co. in 1994.
A billion hours ago…
Typical Traits Of Top Traders
Temperament – In general, people with more analytical and even tempered personalities make better traders.
There is a counterbalancing trait which is the willingness to take risks. Some traders with volatile temperaments are successful because they can take risks easily and can keep trading after getting knocked down. They also tend to blow up more often.
Character – Humility is a very important ingredient in trading success. The truth does not care what you think of yourself. The markets don’t care what you want to believe reality is. Trader’s that are humble are better able to examine their methods and trading objectively and make changes where appropriate.
I’ve known a lot of successful traders that most people might consider arrogant but when it comes down to their own success and the reasons for that success they were able to see the faults in themselves and their trading. The trader’s that were out of touch with reality tended to blow up and have short-lived success.
Intelligence – General intelligence is correlated with success but not as highly as you might think. The ability to discern patterns and relationships with limited information is very useful.
I’d say that you need to be relatively smart to be successful but not extremely smart. Smart enough to understand the principles but beyond that it doesn’t necessarily help you. I’ve seen many very smart people tie themselves up in knots by second-guessing themselves.
Social Skills – Most of the really successful traders are not very socially skilled. Many tend to be reclusive and introverted. There are some exceptions. (more…)
Book Review: The Psychology of the Stock Market
In the great game that is trading, the game never really changes.
New technology is introduced; new methodologies are dreamed up; new investment fads come and go. But the essentials of trading are the same now as they were generations ago.
There is a class of books that brings home this timelessness. Four of the best are The Money Game by Adam Smith; Devil Take the Hindmost by Edwin Chancellor; Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds by Charles MacKay; and of courseReminiscences of a Stock Operator by Edwin Lefevre (with the guidance of Jesse Livermore).
The oldest of the above is MacKay’s book, published in 1841. The Psychology of the Stock Market, by G.C. Selden, is another addition to the “timeless classics” list.
Though published in 1912, Selden’s book could have been published yesterday. This makes complete sense, as the main topic — human psychology — has not changed at all in the past century. (more…)
More Signal, Less Noise
1. News is Old — it is misnamed and not especially forward looking;
2. Data first and foremost; avoid the anecdotes and narratives;
3. Everyone talks their book (i.e., Whats their agenda?)
4. Recognize what financial chatter is merely idle gossip;
5. What is within your control? What is not?
6. Understand empiricism and probability analysis;
7. Eliminate all sources that are biased, or are not driven by your goals, or have a different agenda; (Delete money losers with Extreme Prejudice)
8. Understand the concept of time, and the long game
9. Separate what is for Fun and what is for Real
10. Refining your process is your goal. Get that right and the outcomes will improve naturally;
Your consistent focus should be to keep yourself concentrating on that which truly matters and learning to reduce or even better, ignore that which does not . . .