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During and After the Trade

  
  Education
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1. What’s your game plan if it goes against you and threatens your survival?

2. Will you be able to get out? Did you take that into account in your workout?

3. More typically, what will you do if it goes way against you and then meanders back to give you a breakeven? Or if it immediately goes for you or aginst you?

4. Would you be willing to take a ½% profit if you get it in the first 10 minutes?

5. Did you test whether taking small opportunistic profits turns a winning system into a bad one?

6. How will unexpected cardinal events affect you like the “regrettably,” or the pre-annnouncement of something you expected for the next open? And what happens if you’re trading an individual stock and the market goes up or down a few percent during the day, or what’s the impact of a related move in oil or interest rates?

7. Are you sure that you have to monitor the trade during the day? If you’re using stops, then you probably don’t have to but then your position size would have to be reduced so much that your chances of a reasonable profit taking account of vig are close to zero. If you’re using 10% of your capital on a trade, they you’ll have to monitor it for survival. But, but, but. Are you sure you won’t be called away by phone calls, or the others?

8. Are you at equilibrium in your personal life? You’re not as talented as Tiger Woods, and you probably won’t be able to handle distressed calls for money or leaks on the home front. Are you sure that if you’re losing you won’t get hit on the head with a 7-iron, or berated until you have to give up at the worst possible time?

9. After the trade did you learn anything from the trade?

10. Are you organized sufficiently to have a record of all your trades for your accounting and learning?

11. Should you modify your existing systems based on it?

12. How does recency and frequency and value affect your future?

13. Did you fit your after activities to your mojo?

14. If you made a good profit, did you take some capital out of the fray for a rainy day?

15. Have you learned to say “fair” whenevever anyone asks you how you’re doing and are you sure that you don’t spend a fortune after a good trade, and dissipate your profits with non-economic activities?

16. Is there a better use for your time than monitoring the ticks or the market every minute of the day if you do, and if you don’t, do those who do so and have much faster and better equipment than you have an insurmountable advantage against you?

Stop It

  
  Education
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There’s an old joke about the investor who never used any stop losses. His friend knew his big positions were getting crushed.
Out of concern, the friend asked, “How are you sleeping?”
“Like a baby” he answered.
“Really? You aren’t nervous or upset?”
“I sleep like a baby” he repeated.
“That’s amazing. I’d never be able to sleep through the night with those types of losses.”
“Who said anything about sleeping through the night? I said I slept like a baby: I wake up every two hours, wet myself and cry for 30 minutes before falling back to sleep.”
That’s why risk management is so critical: to save you from sleeping like a baby, and in the long run to save you a lot of money.
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There’s a reason flight attendants show you where the emergency exits are before takeoff. The same thinking should apply to investors. Prudent investors have a sell strategy in place beforethey get involved with a stock. Using any of these stop strategies helps keep your emotions out of the process when an investing emergency arises.

Trading Mistakes

  
  Education
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Letting small losses turn into large losses.
— Refusing to take a loss at all.
— Overbetting.
— Bottom fishing/Catching falling knives.
— Averaging down.
— Shorting bulls and buying bears.
— Confusing the company with its stock.
— Falling in love with a “story.”
— Following the leader.
— Buying IPOs.
— Finding the Holy Grail.
— Overtrading.
— Excessive tape watching.
— Being undercapitalized.
— Letting the tax tail wag the stock dog.
— Relying on Blue Channels and Website Analysts
— Thinking this market stuff is easy.
— Thinking rather than looking.

Wisdom Trading Quotes

  
  Education
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wisdomquotes“Not risking is the surest way of losing. If you do not risk, risk eventually comes to you. There is simply no way to avoid taking a risk. If a person postpones taking risks, the time eventually comes when he will either be forced to accept a situation that he does not like or take a risk unprepared.”
“Anyone who buys or sells a stock, a bond, or a commodity for profit is speculating if he employs intelligent foresight. If he does not, he is gambling.”
 “Most successful traders at some stage have a breakthrough, an Aha! experience. Often this is not new information, or a new approach, but the time was just right, they had matured and were ready to ‘see’ in a new way, to apprehend things clearly on a conceptual level, rather than a technical level.”

These 13-cent stamps beat the U.S. stock market

  
Analysis, Education
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Are stocks always the best long-term investment?

Maybe not.

When some obscure Hawaiian stamps from 1851 go up for auction later this month, they are expected to fetch from $50,000 to $75,000 each.

And if they do, that will mean they have almost certainly been a better financial investment — probably a much better investment — over the past 165 years than the U.S. stock market.

The 13-cent so-called “Missionaries” were used by Christian missionaries in the Hawaiian islands to send letters home. At the time, Hawaii was an independent kingdom. The Associated Press reports that the stamps are part of a 77-stamp collection being sold by Bill Gross, the bond market guru. Ten such “Missionaries” in near-mint condition are being sold.

If the stamps sell for $50,000 each, that will represent a compound annual return of 8.1% over the initial 13-cent purchase price. If the stamps sell for $75,000, you can raise that to 8.4%. (more…)

3 Rules to Master Risk and Uncertainties

  
  Education
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1. Overcome Fear

Great traders know that fear can choke our decision process and cause us to avoid taking risks. Fear also can paralyze you when you need to act quickly and decisively to save yourself from danger – the deer-in-the-headlights syndrome. All great traders have mastered their fears and are able to act decisively when needed.

2. Remain Flexible

As a trader, you never know which stock or which market may make a move. This is the essence of uncertainty. You don’t’ know what is going to happen. When you don’t know what is going to happen, the best strategy is be ready for anything.

3. Prepare To Be Wrong

If you don’t know what the future will bring and you choose a trade that assumes a particular outcome, you are possible going to be wrong. Depending on the type of trade, in many cases it can even be more likely that you will lose money than that you will win money. What matters in the end it the total money won and lost, not whether you are right more often than wrong. Great traders are comfortable making decision when they know they could be wrong. –

Characteristics of Successful Trader

  
  Education
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  • Successful traders have absolute control over their emotions, they never get too elated over a win and too depressed over a loss.
  • Successful traders seldom think of prices too high or low.
  • Successful traders do not panic, they make adjustments rather than revolutionary changes to their trading style. (more…)

Ten Powerful Psychological Traits of the Rich Trader

  
  Education
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Ten Powerful Psychological Traits of the Rich Trader

  1. They have the ability to admit they were wrong and get out of a trade. They know the place where price proves them wrong.
  2. They have the ability to not only close a losing trade but reverse and go in the other direction when it is called for.
  3. The rich trader is not trying to prove anything about themselves they are focused on making money.
  4. They do not fall in love with an idea, currency, commodity, or stock they will make trades based on price action.
  5. Rich traders know that the market action is their ultimate boss regardless of their opinions.
  6. No matter how sure they are about a trade they still ALWAYS manage the risk.
  7. Rich traders get more aggressive when winning and trade smaller or take a break during a losing streak.
  8. A great trader is one that can admit to anyone that they were wrong.
  9. Rich traders do not believe their own hype, they know they can not really predict the future they can only react to current reality and the probabilities.
  10. Rich traders love what they do, win or lose.

When you are trading like that, it is hard to be beaten. Time is your friend.

5 Ways to Reduce Your Losses When Trading

  
  Education
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Trading is an evolutionary process. Nobody can wake up being a Master Trader. Unfortunately there is no book or magic trick that can turn you into the highly profitable trader . Although the belief and the hope to obtain those skills instantly is still in place.

 The statistics say that only the ones with the self-dedication and discipline succeed in this business.

The most common mistakes leading to losses:

-Trading against the market;

-No trade potential;

-No serious buyers or sellers in the stock;

-Wide stop-loss;

-Fear of loss.

Traders should stay calm during the trading, this helps to observe and analyze the situation on the market much better, see some small details and make a competent decision.

Panic, stress or fear, always lead to mistakes.

One of the serious problems in trading is rush and mania to be present on the market all the times, opening positions when there is no potential for a trade or where the market is either flat or going the other direction.

Tips to resolve the mistakes:

1. Always look at the market. If there is no clear picture of the market’s behavior, don’t risk your money.

2. Always look at a trade potential.

3. Always look either at the Open Book or Market Maker window and Tape.

4. Always know where you are going to place you stop-loss order.

5. If you’re just not sure, or if the situation is uncertain, don’t enter the trade.

Following these tips requires some work and changes to our habits. It is not easy at all! We always hear sayings that the trader should be disciplined. What it actually means is changing your old habits and training yourself to have new ones. It is not comfortable, but it brings positive results, which will be noticeable on your month-end P/L report.

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