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The Stock Trader's Steps to Success

  
  Education
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Mark Douglas, in his classic book on trading behavior entitled THE DISCIPLINED TRADER: DEVELOPING WINNING ATTITUDES, describes what he believes are the three steps to a trader’s ultimate, long term success.  The following steps have very little to do with technical anaysis and everything to do with the trader’s mental resources.  Douglas explains that the “more sophisticated you become as a trader, the more you will realize that trading is completely mental.  It isn’t you against the markets, it’s just you” (204).  So, if it is just you what are the steps?

1.  STAY FOCUSED ON WHAT YOU NEED TO LEARN.  The trader needs to stay focused on mastering the steps to achieving his goals and not the end result, knowing that the end result, money, will be a by-product of what he knows and how well he can act on what he knows.   A big part of what the trader needs to learn is how to accept missed opportunities.  “Except for the inability to accept a loss, there isn’t anything that has the potential to cause more psychological damage than a belief in missed opportunities.  When you release the energy out of the belief that it is possible to miss anything, you will no longer feel compelled to do something, like getting into trades too early or too late.” (205).

2.  LEARN HOW TO DEAL WITH LOSSES:  Douglas outlines two trading rules for dealing with losses both of which are designed to help the trader deal with any threat of pain and confront, head on, the inevitability of a loss.  The first is to predefine what a loss is in every potential trade.  By predefine Douglas means “determine what the market has to look like or do, to tell you that the trade no longer represents an opportunity” (206).   Secondly, “execute your losing trades immediately upon perception that they exist.  When losses are predefined and executed without hesitation, there is nothing to consider, weigh, or judge and consequently nothing to tempt yourself with” (207). 

3.  BECOME AN EXPERT AT ONE MARKET BEHAVIOR: Simplicity and focus is the mother of success.  “You need to start as small as possible and then gradually allow yourself to grow into greater and greater amounts of market information.  What you want to do is become an expert at just one particular type of behavior pattern that repeats itself with some degree of frequency. To become an expert, choose one simple traing system that identifies a pattern.  Your objective is to understand completely every aspect of the system.  In the meantime, it is important to avoid all other possibilities and information” (209).

Three simple steps yet ironically it is in the simplicity that traders find the most difficulty.  Trading is not difficult, we make it so.  Remember this the next time you enter a trade. 

Dear Readers & Traders………..Don’t miss to read this Book !!101% it should be in your Library.-Technically Yours ,Anirudh Sethi

The Stock Trader's circle of Sucess and Failure

  
  Education
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The following graphic describes two types of traders.  The first (the circle on the left) describes what I believe to be the characteristics of all beginning traders, most of which end up quitting.  There is a progression here from bad to worst.  However, if the beginning trader can break through this cycle somewhere around undisciplined fear (#3) and paralysis of analysis (#4), the chances of his success improves exponentially.

TWOTYPETRADERS

THE LOSER’S CYCLE OF DESPERATION

Simply put, a trader enters the stock market with little if any knowledge about what to expect.  How can he?  No experience = no knowledge.  Not only that, but his expectation of untold riches distorts his perception of reality.  Once in the market he seeks the holy grail that will make him rich.  When he doesn’t find it he continues his search as fear begins to shackle his feet.  The fear leads to paralysis of analysis or the thinking that the more indicators and patterns and candlesticks etc. that he uses the more likely he will win.  Wrong!  (more…)

Get Comfortable With Being Uncomfortable

  
  Education
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In the trading world, you will either make money or lose money on any given trade. All that matters in the end is making more money when you’re right than you lose when you’re wrong.  Knowing this, traders have learned to accept failure as part of the game, but they also use the information they acquire from their mistakes as a learning tool.  Frequently, what they learn from losing money is more valuable than what they learn when they make money”  

5 Principles of Leadership and Trading

  
  Education
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What are these principles?

  1. Knowing why you are in the trading business

You can start by asking yourself:

    • Why are you in the trading business?
    • What was your initial attraction to trading?
    • Are you thinking about it as a business or a hobby?
    • Are you passionate about your trading?
    • Does trading feel like a lot of work?
    • What are your trading goals?
    • Are you enjoying the journey or just focusing on the end result?
    • What do you want to get out of trading?
      • Money
      • Excitement
      • Challenge
      • Power
      • Other things (more…)

    50 Trading Mistakes

      
      Education
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    1. Many futures traders trade without a plan. They do not define specific risk and profit objectives before trading. Even if they establish a plan, they “second guess” it and don’t stick to it, particularly if the trade is a loss. Consequently, they overtrade and use their equity to the limit (are undercapitalized), which puts them in a squeeze and forces them to liquidate positions.

    Usually, they liquidate the good trades and keep the bad ones.

    2. Many traders don’t realize the news they hear and read has already been discounted by the market.

    3. After several profitable trades, many speculators become wild and aggressive. They base their trades on hunches and long shots, rather than sound fundamental and technical reasoning, or put their money into one deal that “can’t fail.”

    4. Traders often try to carry too big a position with too little capital, and trade too frequently for the size of the account.

    5. Some traders try to “beat the market” by day trading, nervous scalping, and getting greedy.

    6. They fail to pre-define risk, add to a losing position, and fail to use stops.

    7 .They frequently have a directional bias; for example, always wanting to be long.

    8. Lack of experience in the market causes many traders to become emotionally and/or financially committed to one trade, and unwilling or unable to take a loss. They may be unable to admit they have made a mistake, or they look at the market on too short a time frame.

    9. They overtrade.

    10. Many traders can’t (or don’t) take the small losses. They often stick with a loser until it really hurts, then take the loss. This is an undisciplined approach…a trader needs to develop and stick with a system. (more…)

    Analysing yourself

      
      Education
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    At the end of each trading day (week) you shouldn’t focus solely on your P/L. Instead, focus on your thought process during the day and how well you executed your plan. If you consistently execute your trades according to plan and still lose money, then you need to reevaluate your approach. While there is definitely a cyclical rhythm to the market, no strategy will always work. You need to constantly  and objectively  review what is working and what is not so you can make necessary adjustments to you plan.”

    Rules By Jesse Livermore

      
    Analysis, Education
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    “In cotton I was very successful in my trading for a long time. I had my theory about it and I absolutely lived up to it. Suppose I had decided that my line would be forty to fifty thousand bales. Well I would study the tape as I told you, watching for an opportunity either to buy or to sell. Suppose the line of least resistance indicated a bull movement. Well I would buy ten thousand bales. After I got through buying that, if the market went up ten points over my initial purchase price, I would take on another ten thousand bales. Same thing. Then if I could get twenty points’ profit, or one dollar bale, I would buy twenty thousand more. That would give me my line–my basis for my trading. But if after buying the first ten or twenty thousand bales, it showed me a loss, out I’d go. I was wrong. It might be I was temporarily wrong. But as I have said before it doesn’t pay to start wrong in anything.

    As I think I also said before, this decribes what I may call my system for placing my bets. It is simple arithmetic to prove that it is a wise thing to have the big bet down only when you win, and when you lose to lose only a small exploratory bet, as it were. If a man trades in the way I have described, he will always be in the profitable position of being able to cash in on the big bet.

    I recollect Pat Hearne. Ever hear of him? Well, he was a very well-known sporting man and he had an account with us. Clever chap and nervy. He made money in stocks, and that made people as him for advice. He would never give any. If they asked him point-blank for his opinion about the wisdom of their commitments he used a favourite race-track maxim of his: “You can’t tell till you bet.” He traded in our office. He would buy one hundred shares of some active stock and when, or if, it went up 1 per cent he would buy another hundred. On another point’s advance, another hundred shares; and so on. He used to say he wasn’t playing the game to make money for others and therefore he would put in a stop loss order one point below the price of his last purchase. When the price kept going up he simply moved up his stop with it. On a 1 per cent reaction he was stopped out. He declared he did not see any sense in losing more than one point, whether it came out of his original margin or out of his paper profits. (more…)

    Don't Confuse the Concepts of Winning and Losing Trades with Good and Bad Trades

      
      Education
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    A good trade can lose money, and a bad trade can make money. 
    Even the best trading processes will lose a certain percentage of the time. There is no way of knowing a priori which individual trade will make money. As long as a trade adhered to a process with a positive edge, it is a good trade, regardless of whether it wins or loses because if similar trades are repeated multiple times, they will come out ahead. Conversely, a trade that is taken as a gamble is a bad trade regardless of whether it wins or loses because over time such trades will lose money.

    EU, Germany deny Greek bailout plans

      
    Analysis, Economy, Education
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    just-say-no

    Breaking News-ASR

    The question of EU financial aid to debt-stricken Greece is marred by contradictory reports of a bailout. The European Commission and the German government both denied the existence of an alleged €20-25 billion bailout plan as an EU mission landed in Greece yesterday (22 February) to assess the country’s rescue plans.

    A Commission official denied allegations that the EU is reviewing a bailout package for Greece to the tune of €20-25 billion after the Germany’s Der Spiegel magazine allegedly got hold of a paper from the country’s finance ministry detailing the terms of Berlin’s contribution.

    The EU formalised its support for a Greek rescue, should the time come, at an EU summit two weeks ago, but member states refused to say how much a bailout could cost and how the money would be raised (EurActiv 17/02/10).

    “Greece has not requested a single euro,” the Commission official told the press, rejecting claims that calculations of individual member states’ shares of a bailout were afoot.

    German finance ministry denies ‘concrete plans’

    Click here to read more

    Ten Trading Paradoxes

      
      Education
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    1. The less I trade the more money I make.
    2. All my biggest profits were made on option contracts I bought not ones I sold.
    3. My number one job as a trader is to manage risks not make money.
    4. The best traders in history were the best risk managers not the best at entries and exits.
    5. The ability to admit you are wrong about a trade and get out is more important than being confident in a wining trade and staying in no matter what.
    6. Winning traders think like a casino losing traders think like gamblers.
    7. Opinions, projections, and predictions are worthless, trade the price action.
    8. At times fundamentals are good helpers to a trader but they are always terrible masters.
    9. Only date trading vehicles but marry your risk management and positive mind set.
    10. The smaller and more focused my watch list the better I trade what is on my watch list.
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