Archives of “financial crisis” tag

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W. D. GANN’S 24 TIMELESS STOCK TRADING RULES

  
Analysis, Education
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Here are the 24 rules:

1. Amount of capital to use: Divide your capital into 10 equal parts and never risk more than one-tenth of your capital on any one trade.

2. Use stop loss orders. Always protect a trade.

3. Never overtrade. This would be violating your capital rules.

4. Never let a profit run into a loss. After you once have a profit raise your stop loss order so that you will have no loss of capital.

5. Do not buck the trend. Never buy or sell if you are not sure of the trend according to your charts and rules.

6. When in doubt, get out and don’t get in when in doubt.

7. Trade only in active markets. Keep out of slow, dead ones.

8. Equal distribution of risk. Trade in two or three different commodities if possible. Avoid tying up all your capital in any one commodity.

9. Never limit your orders or fix a buying or selling price.

10. Don’t close your trades without a good reason. Follow up with a stop loss order to protect your profits.

11. Accumulate a surplus. After you have made a series of successful trades, put some money into a surplus account to be used only in emergency or in times of panic.

12. Never buy or sell just to get a scalping profit.

13. Never average a loss. This is one of the worst mistakes a trader can make.

14. Never get out of the market just because you have lost patience or get into the market because you are anxious from waiting.

15. Avoid taking small profits and big losses.

16. Never cancel a stop loss order after you have placed it at the time you make a trade.

17. Avoid getting in and out of the market too often.

18. Be just as willing to sell short as you are to buy. Let your object be to keep with the trend and make money.

19. Never buy just because the price of a commodity is low or sell short just because the price is high.

20. Be careful about pyramiding at the wrong time. Wait until the commodity is very active and has crossed resistance levels before buying more, and until it has broken out of the zone of distribution before selling more.

21. Select the commodities that show strong uptrend to pyramid on the buying side and the ones that show definite downtrend to sell short.

22. Never hedge. If you are long one commodity and it starts to go down, do not sell another commodity short to hedge it. Get out at the market: Take your loss and wait for another opportunity.

23. Never change your position in the market without a good reason. When you make a trade, let it be for some good reason, or according to some definite rule; then do not get out without a definite indication of a change in trend.

24. Avoid increasing your trading after a long period of success or a period of profitable trades.

Former Fed chairs Yellen and Bernanke give Congress views on Covid 19 in response to the economic crisis

  
  Analysis
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Former Fed chair’s testify on Covid 19 in response economic crisis

Former Fed chair’s Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke are testifying to Covid 19 and response to economic crisis. There comments are appearing on the Brookings institute blog
  • in many respects this recession is unique
  • forecasting recovery is difficult
  • controlling the spread of the virus must be 1st priority for restoring more normal levels of economic activity
  • members of Congress, local leaders and other policymakers need to do all they can to support testing and contact tracing, medical research and sufficient hospital capacity.
  • They must work to ensure that businesses, schools and public transportation have what they need to operate safely
  • pace of recovery could be slow, uneven
  • the longer the recession last the greater the damage will reflect on household and business balance sheets
  • the depth of the recession may leave scars
  • depending on the course of the virus, some restructuring of the economy may be needed
  • Fed likely to give a for guidance on the lift off
  • the yield curve control possible, not certain
  • the financial system is in much better shape today than it was during the financial crisis
  • new same as measured by Congress are necessary including a comprehensive plan to support medical research, testing, contact tracing and hospital capacity, enhanced unemployment insurance should be extended, and Congress should provide substantial support to state and local governments
The full report can be found HERE

Paul Tudor Jones is one of the great macro traders of all time but he’s ‘a slave to the tape’

  
Analysis, Education
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How does Paul Tudor Jones see the world now?

Paul Tudor Jones is one of the great investors of all time and he’s renowned for macro calls. His latest market outlook highlights the coming waves of direct debt monetization that will reshape the economies and financial markets of the world.
“There will be many assets that will move as a result of this money creation. So what is an investor to do? Traditional hedges like gold have done well, and we expect investors to continue to seek refuge in this safe asset. One thing I have learned over time is the best thing to do is let market price action guide your decision-making and then try to understand the fundamentals as they become more evident and comprehensible,” he writes in a note with Lorenzo Giorgianni.
That’s an odd thing for one of the great macro traders of all time to say, but if you look back over his (rare) public comments, it’s a familiar theme. Here’s what he said back in 2009:

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China told property risk is worse than in US

  
Analysis, Economy, Education
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UH OH: China told property risk is worse than in US. “The problems in China’s housing market are more severe than those in the US before the financial crisis because they combine a potential bubble with the risk of social discontent, according to an adviser to the Chinese central bank. . . . ‘The housing market problem in China is actually much, much more fundamental, much bigger than the housing market problem in the US and UK before your financial crisis,’ he said in an interview. ‘It is more than [just] a bubble problem.’”

15 Facts About China That Will Blow Your Mind

  
Analysis, Economy, Education
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1.) By 2025, China will build TEN New York-sized cities.

2.) By 2030, China will add more new city-dwellers than the entire U.S. population.

3.) China already consumes twice as much steel as the US, Europe and Japan combined.

4.) If the Chinese, one day, use as much oil per person as Americans, then the world will need seven more Saudi Arabia’s to meet their demand.

5.) There are already more Christians in China than Italy, and China is on track to become the largest center of Christianity in the world.

6.) Chinese are far more likely to believe in evolution than Americans.

7.) Chinese internet users are five times as likely to have blogs as Americans.

8.) China has 150% more soldiers than America does, plus a high tech ‘Kill Weapon’ the U.S. can’t deal with.

9.) China still hasn’t rid itself of Europe’s medieval plague.

10.) 40% of Chinese small businesses went bust or almost went bust during the world financial crisis.

11.) China executes three times as many people as the rest of the world COMBINED… and uses mobile execution vans for efficiency.

12.) China averages 274 protests PER DAY.

13.) When you buy Chinese stocks, you are basically financing the Chinese government. Eight of Shanghai’s top ten stocks are state-controlled arms of the government.

14.) 50% of counterfeit goods come from China.

15.) The majority of Chinese drink polluted water.

20 Signs That The Global Economic Crisis Is Starting To Catch Fire

  
  Education
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If you have been waiting for the “global economic crisis” to begin, just open up your eyes and look around.  I know that most Americans tend to ignore what happens in the rest of the world because they consider it to be “irrelevant” to their daily lives, but the truth is that the massive economic problems that are currently sweeping across Europe, Asia and South America are going to be affecting all of us here in the U.S. very soon.  Sadly, most of the big news organizations in this country seem to be more concerned about the fate of Justin Bieber’s wax statue in Times Square than about the horrible financial nightmare that is gripping emerging markets all over the planet.  After a brief period of relative calm, we are beginning to see signs of global financial instability that are unlike anything that we have witnessed since the financial crisis of 2008.  As you will see below, the problems are not just isolated to a few countries.  This is truly a global phenomenon.

Over the past few years, the Federal Reserve and other global central banks have inflated an unprecedented financial bubble with their reckless money printing.  Much of this “hot money” poured into emerging markets all over the world.  But now that the Federal Reserve has begun “tapering” quantitative easing, investors are taking this as a sign that the party is ending.  Money is being pulled out of emerging markets all over the globe at a staggering pace and this is creating a tremendous amount of financial instability.  In addition, the economic problems that have been steadily growing over the past few years in established economies throughout Europe and Asia just continue to escalate.  The following are 20 signs that the global economic crisis is starting to catch fire…

#1 The unemployment rate in Greece has hit a brand new record high of 28 percent. (more…)

This Anti-Wall Street Film Isn’t Just for Michael Moore Fans

  
Analysis, Education, Video
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Independent filmmaker Danny Schecter would like to remind Wall Street that the disdain for bankers “is not coming from a bunch of lefties in some basement in the East Village. It is coming from mainstream America.”

Schecter hopes such mainstream angst can propel his latest film, “Plunder: The Crime Story of Our Time,” into the big leagues. Filmed on a budget of less than $50,000 and based on his book of the same title, the movie traces the roots of the financial crisis from the home owners who defaulted on their mortgages to the Wall Street banks loading up on mortgage investments.

The film sounds like the many books and made-for-television movies about the crisis. But Schecter, who has worked at ABC News and CNN, promises that his narrative is different because it approaches the subject like a crime story, not a mere financial story. (more…)

Stress hormone linked to financial crisis

  
  Education
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STRESS TRADINGThe stress that financial traders suffer during periods of high volatility in the markets reduces their appetite for risk, according to a study led by Cambridge university neuroscientist and former Wall Street trader John Coates. This may prolong financial crises.

The research, published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, combines field and lab work. Prof Coates and colleagues discovered that levels of the stress hormone cortisol increased by 68 per cent on average in a group of City of London traders over eight days in which market volatility increased.

 The scientists took this finding to Addenbrooke’s Hospital in Cambridge where they used pharmacology – hydrocortisone tablets – to raise cortisol levels in volunteers, also by 68 per cent over eight days. Participants then played an incentivised risk-taking game. The appetite for risk collapsed, by as much as 44 per cent according to one measure, in those with raised cortisol. (The study was double-blinded with a control group taking dummy tablets.) (more…)

Crash of the Titans

  
Analysis, Education
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For many, many years, Merrill Lynch had good reason to be “Bullish on America.”

With more than 15,000 brokers and $2.2 trillion in client assets Merrill Lynch was the world’s largest brokerage. It clawed its way to the top and revolutionized the stock market by bringing Wall Street to Main Street.

But in September 2008 – at the height of the financial crisis, it ceased to exist as a separate entity when it was acquired by Bank of America

The world, the company, the Street was in shock.

How could this American institution collapse almost overnight?

In his meticulously researched new book, Crash of the Titans: Greed, Hubris, The Fall of Merrill Lynch and the Near-Collapse of Bank of America, Greg Farrell reveals it all in never before reported detail.

In this guest author blog Farrell shares how his book came to be and if you continue on, you can read an excerpt from Crash of the Titans.

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