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Placing Time Limits On Reading Others

This Mail recieved from one of the Trader !Q:  It seems like the more I read different analysis and opinions of the market the worse I trade. Is this common? When I just stick to my basic chart-reading and my own instinct I do better. When I take advice and trade off of another’s opinion, the trade seems to fail. What’s up with this?

A:  There’s a Danish proverb that says that “he who builds according to every man’s advice will have a crooked house.” The same is true with trading and the experience you share is quite common.

While there are some excellent role models out there to read and learn from, it takes time and lots of experience to be able to properly filter through the noise and learn how to recognize subjective and/or faulty analysis. It really is a unique skill and one that is not very common unless you’ve been at it for awhile and/or developed that skill through your education and career.

Although most traders don’t feel confident about their strategies to be able to trade in complete isolation (at least not for very long), there is a tremendous benefit from doing so. In my view, traders are now being flooded with too much real-time data, information, and opinions and they’re struggling to cope, make sense of it, and then focus on what matters. Remember, more information and analysis does not translate into better performance and we all have to place strict time limits on the energy we devote to reading the thoughts of others. Instead of visiting hundreds of websites and watching Blue Channels…Just visit this blog nothing else

5 Characteristics of Successful Trader

Knowledge – A trader must put in the time and effort to study and learn the proper skills in order to be successful. Whether that is through technical or fundamental analysis, one must invest in their education. They must completely understand their market, and its ideal as a beginner to focus on one market and be a specialist. A part of the knowledge and education is devising a game plan or strategy for trading. Writing down your rules and sticking to your trading plan is a key to success.

 Controlling your emotions – The ability to control your fear and greed is paramount to success. A successful trader will have a balanced emotional state regardless if he/she is winning or losing. Ensuring the trader has a clear head and is able to pull the trigger and take trades every time an opportunity presents itself.

  Patience – A successful trader can sit on the sidelines for days waiting for the proper setup. They don’t jump into a trade just for the sake of trading. Yes there may be opportunities, but the smart trader waits for trades that meet their trading rules and system. Over trading by beginner traders is a big obstacle to overcome. A need to always be in the market will lead to taking trades that are likely too risky. Learn patience, it’s a key to success. A winning trader usually has an extraordinary amount of self control, and often the best trade is no trade.

 Discipline – There are no 100% winning traders and taking losses are part of the trading profession. It is about finding high probability opportunities and managing the risks on each trade. A trader must stick to their trading plan and discipline is the key to success.

Confidence – Having the confidence in yourself and your system to make your profit or take a loss when your method tells you to is a winning trait. Confidence usually comes from experience and knowledge.

Commitment

Becoming a successful investor/trader requires hard work. You must get to know yourself intimately because you are the source of your trading performance. You must develop a business plan to guide your trading. You must develop and test three or four strategies that fit within the big picture (as you see it) and then become part of your business plan. You must do your homework every evening. You must follow certain disciplines during the day that we call the ten tasks of trading. And all of this requires a lot of time and energy. And in my experience, it is only the people who are really committed who will put in the work necessary to become successful.

All that you wanted to know about adaptive behaviour

Adaptive conduct is a form of actions that is used to alter another type of actions or situation. This could be recognized as a type of behaviour that allows an individual to modify a non-constructive or disruptive conduct to something that is favourable. These behaviours are generally social or personal actions. As an example, a constant recurring motion may be re-dedicated to a thing that produces or develops something. Put simply, the behaviour may be adapted to another thing.

Adaptive conduct may be affected by mechanisms within the mind that lead to dependency. Considering habit as an illness gives opportunities because of its treatment.

Adaptive behaviour mirrors an individual’s social and practical proficiency of everyday abilities to satisfy the demands of day to day living. Behaviour style alter person’s development, across existence and social life, alterations in individual values, and others expectations. You should examine adaptive conduct so that you can determine how properly an individual can live daily life socially, vocationally, educationally, etc.

Adaptive behaviour includes culturally liable and independent performance of day to day activities. Nonetheless, the precise actions and skills necessary may differ from each setting. Each time any student goes to school, university as well as scholastic expertise are adaptive. However, some of the same abilities might be ineffective or maladaptive within job configurations, and so the changeover in between school and job requires attention.

Adaptive behaviours incorporate actual-life expertise like grooming, getting well dressed, steering clear of threat, secure food management, following school guidelines, handling funds, cleaning as well as making new friends. Adaptive conduct also includes the opportunity to practice social life, work, and fulfil personal duty.

Adaptive conduct is a form of actions that is used to alter another type of actions or situation. This could be recognized as a type of behaviour that allows an individual to modify a non-constructive or disruptive conduct to something that is favourable. These behaviours are generally social or personal actions. As an example, a constant recurring motion may be re-dedicated to a thing that produces or develops something. Put simply, the behaviour may be adapted to another thing. (more…)

Traits of A SUCCESSFUL TRADER

Courage…courage-1

The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, who strives valiantly; who knows the great enthusiasms, the great devotions, and spends himself in a worthy cause; who at best, knows the triumph of high achievement; and who, at the worst, if he fails, at least fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who know neither victory nor defeat.”
Theodore Roosevelt

Persistence…persistence1

“Nothing in the world can take the place of persistence. Talent will not; nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with talent. Genius will not; unrewarded genius is almost a proverb. Education will not; the world is full of educated derelicts. Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent.”
Calvin Coolidge

The above quotes strike me as being appropriate for all of us engaged in the endless quest of trading profits. I make it a point to review these statements on a regular basis as I am well aware of the fact that I am only as good or bad as my last trade.

I accept the fact that I will never have it “made” as a trader. Each and every day is a new trading situation and I must be prepared with my trading plan. I must PLAN MY TRADE AND TRADE MY PLAN.

Poor Traders & Rich Traders

  1. Poor traders have ‘picks’, rich traders have “high probability entries”.

  2. Poor traders “make great calls”, rich traders have robust systems.
  3. Poor traders have ‘conviction’, rich traders follow price action.
  4. Poor traders have ‘opinions’, rich traders follow trends and chart patterns.
  5. Poor traders ‘like’ certain stocks, rich traders like to make money.
  6. Poor traders make predictions, rich traders have quantified entries and exit levels.
  7. Poor traders ‘go all in’, rich traders have maximum bet sizes.
  8. Poor traders are gamblers, rich traders are casinos.
  9. Poor traders have hope, rich traders have mathematical probabilities.

DENNIS GARTMAN :On Being Wrong

-Don’t miss to Read…………………..!!

“If I’ve learned one thing in 35 years of doing this. I’ve learned this and I’ve learned it the hardest of all ways. Because I made the decision one time to do the wrong thing. I learned this. Whatever you do don’t ever, ever, ever, not never, not ever, under any circumstance, any time ever. Am I clear? Add to a losing trade. Never, ever, ever. Why would you ever add to a losing trade? The market, which is the sum total of the wisdom, and perhaps the stupidly, but predominately the wisdom the sum total of the wisdom of the market is telling you are wrong. How dare you argue with the market? How dare you stand up? What sense of hubris must that take on your part to tell the rest of the world that you’re wrong and I’m right. Because that’s what you’re doing when you’re adding to a losing position. Don’t do that. I will tell you. I did that one time. I lost my wife [first wife]to a margin call. I did, in fact, that did happen…November 11, 1983.”  Wives get very upset “when you come home and say, ‘Sweetheart, I lost the house today’”.

“I will tell you I am good at trading. I am good at investing. I am good at making decisions. I am good at admitting mistakes and that’s my best trait. I am really, really good at admitting mistakes. And that’s to me the most important attribute that an investor, that a trader, that somebody who’s trying to make a living matching wits in the market can have is the ability to admit that they are wrong. That trumps all other concerns. Education doesn’t seem to have that much viability to me. It’s the ability to say I’m wrong.”

“The great ones, the really great traders, I’m sorry, don’t average down. They average up on winning positions. They average up on winning long side trades. Why? Because the market is telling you that you are right. Why would you not do more of something when the market is telling you that you are right? Why do most of us constantly do the opposite? Why do most of us try to understand some fundamental about some stock that we like, some industry that we like, some corporation that we like and you understand the fundamentals of it and you like the underlying fundamentals of the industry that it’s in. You like the long term fundamentals of the US economy and you buy some of it at 25 and it immediately goes to 20. It’s not a better buy at 20. It’s a worst buy at 20 because somebody knows something that you don’t know. That’s the hardest thing for all of us to learn. I’m good at trading and I’m wrong most of the time.”

“I’m good at trading and I’m wrong alot according to my wife. When we got married, we sat down the first year and she said you know this is really very sad. You had a good year at trading. You made us a very nice living this year but Dennis you were wrong 53% of the time this year. I thought this was terribly harsh. You couldn’t even beat a coin toss. I got out of it by saying, Sweetheart I’m so in love with you that it’s colored my ability to think. She bought it. I got another year. We sat down the second year. She said, my wife the accountant, one plus two equals three. She said this is really very sad. You made more money trading this year then you made the previous year. But this year you were wrong 57% of the time. And people pay you for your ideas. And I’m standing by the notion last year that I told you. You can’t even beat a coin toss. You need to do better. Sweetheart I’m trying.  Third year we sat down. My wife, the accountant, one plus two equals three. She said this is sad. You made more money than you made the previous two years. That’s lovely. I want to stay with you. But Dennis, you were wrong 68% of the time this year. Almost 7 out of 10 of your trades lost money. You have got to do better. I told her Laura I’m trying. I’m gonna try. Fourth year we sat down. My wife, the accountant, one plus two equals three. She said, you know, I get it now. You had the best year you ever had. Made more money this year then you made the previous three years. That’s lovely. This year you were wrong 81% of the time. I think if you can just be wrong 95% of the time. We’re gonna get stinkin’ rich. I think I can do it. I think I have it in my grasp to be wrong.”

“The important notion here being – when you’re wrong, admit it. I try to tell to tell people that in the business of handling money, whether it’s in the business of playing poker, whether it’s in the business of trading, whether it’s in the business of investing, you have two types of capital with which you get to deploy: that which is in your account and mental capital. And I don’t have must mental capital. I’ve lost most of mine. You lose mental capital when you are holding on to losing trades and worst when you’re adding to losing trades. The fact that you are losing money is inconsequential what’s really worst is you are hemorrhaging mental capital. You’re there defending that losing trade. You’re hanging onto that losing position and you’re not going out and deploying what should be excellent mental capital.  You should be using that mental capital to go find other positions. To go put on other trades. To go make other investments. It’s a wonderful experience when you take off that losing trade and get rid of it. It’s liberating. I get liberated 20 times a day. It’s a lovely thing. It’s astonishing how many mistakes I make. So the most important thing I want to get across today, tonight, and for your future and what separates the really great investors from the mediocre and the mediocre from the losers is that the losers always go out in exactly the same way…badly.”

The worst degree a trader can have is in economics and the best one is a liberal arts degree preferably “in psychology” or even religion because  “at any one time, down on the floor the background that seemed to have the most viability was religion. Because there would be 50 people saying ‘Oh good God just let this thing come back and I will never do that again.’ The problem is we are all sinners in the hands of an angry God with a very large margin account and more often than not he’s trying to wreak havoc upon you.”

Gartman’s corollary to “markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent” is “the markets will return to rationality the moment you have been rendered insolvent.”

On Shakespeare:  “You’ll be better trained to deal with the uncertainties that exist in the market and to understand why Hamlet waited so long after finding out that it was his father-in-law that had killed his own father. He had the proof, he knew it was there. And yet the entire play of Hamlet is Hamlet delaying, and delaying and delaying and not acting. That’s what Hamlet is all about. It’s about the inability to make a decision. That’s what trading is all about. It is about the ability to make a decision. Hamlet would have been a terrible trader. Or why did Lear split his kingdom into three parts? What was he thinking? He would have made a terrible trader.”

Here is what the markets are all about:  “The study of human begins dealing with the rational and the irrational. Dealing with rational numbers in an irrational environment. Dealing with irrational numbers in a rational environment. Dealing with irrational numbers in an irrational environment. And trying to make sense out of the chaos. Trying to bring order to the chaos.”

Knowledge & Patience

 

Knowledge – A trader must put in the time and effort to study and learn the proper skills in order to be successful. Whether that is through technical or fundamental analysis, one must invest in their education. They must completely understand their market, and its ideal as a beginner to focus on one market and be a specialist. A part of the knowledge and education is devising a game plan or strategy for trading. Writing down your rules and sticking to your trading plan is a key to success.

Patience – A successful trader can sit on the sidelines for days waiting for the proper setup. They don’t jump into a trade just for the sake of trading. Yes there may be opportunities, but the smart trader waits for trades that meet their trading rules and system. Over trading by beginner traders is a big obstacle to overcome. A need to always be in the market will lead to taking trades that are likely too risky. Learn patience, it’s a key to success. A winning trader usually has an extraordinary amount of self control, and often the best trade is no trade.

The Trader’s Journey

  • A grand call to adventure. Who would not want to make a pile of money working from the comfort of your own computer screen?
  • Finding a mentor. Good mentors matter! Few of us who have succeeded would have done so without some help.
  • Crossing over into an “unreal” world. Markets are crazy. When we look deeply into markets, maybe we become a little crazy ourselves, and we certainly become disconnected from ordinary reality.
  • Facing dire challenges. The emotional highs and lows of trading can be extreme. Is there a trader alive who hasn’t been awake at 4am wondering if they can ever do this, why they ever tried in the first place, how they could be so stupid to make the same mistakes over and over, and what they were going to do tomorrow? (This is probably not the time to mention that we only write stories about the heroes that complete the journey! A lot of dragons feasted very well, for a very long time.)
  • Failure somehow, perhaps almost miraculously, is transformed to success.
  • We figure out how to incorporate our trading activities into the everyday world, and discover that things probably weren’t quite as exotic or difficult as we had thought.

See? Trading is not truly about learning patterns. It is not about learning some math. It is not about skill development, and it is not even about risk management. All of these things are important, but the real work of trading is work on ourselves.

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