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rss11 concepts from behavioral psychology that could be impacting how you trade and invest
10 Great Quotes of Jesse Livermore
“Do not anticipate and move without market confirmation—being a little late in your trade is your insurance that you are right or wrong.” -Jesse Livermore
“The good speculators always wait and have patience, waiting for the market to confirm their judgment.” -Jesse Livermore
“{Limit} interest in too many stocks at one time. It is much easier to watch a few than many.” -Jesse Livermore
“Experience has proved to me that the real money made in speculating has been: “IN COMMITMENTS IN A STOCK OR COMMODITY SHOWING A PROFIT RIGHT FROM THE START. ” -Jesse Livermore
“As long as a stock is acting right, and the market is right, do not be in a hurry to take a profit. You know you are right, because if you were not, you would have no profit at all. Let it ride and ride along with it. It may grow into a very large profit, and as long as the “action of the market does not give you any cause to worry,” have the courage of your convictions and stay with it.” -Jesse Livermore
“It is foolhardy to make a second trade, if your first trade shows you a loss. ” “Never average losses. ” Let that thought be written indelibly upon your mind.” -Jesse Livermore
“One should never sell a stock, because it seems high-priced.” -Jesse Livermore
“Profits always take care of themselves but losses never do. ” The speculator has to insure himself against considerable losses by taking the first small loss. In so doing, he keeps his account in order so that at some future time, when he has a constructive idea, he will be in a position to go into another deal, taking on the same amount of stock as he had when he was wrong.” -Jesse Livermore
“It is significant that a large part of a market movement occurs in the last forty-eight hours of a play, and that is the most important time to be in it.” -Jesse Livermore
“A speculator should make it a rule each time he closes out a successful deal to take one-half of his profits and lock this sum up in a safe deposit box. The only money that is ever taken out of Wall Street by speculators is the money they draw out of their accounts after closing a successful deal.” -Jesse Livermore
Remind yourself daily to be patient and let the trade setup come to you! Don't be anxious & chase a trade!
What Predictions Say About Us
An excerpt:
…predictions are a way of demonstrating knowledge. Of course, in most things, a successful demonstration involves being right. In golf, a good argument will suffice. Most compellingly, human beings are wired to predict. In ancient times predictions served as psychological counterweight to the extreme uncertainty of life. As we’ve gained more control over daily existence, predictions help encourage the illusion that we are in charge of our own destiny. The more that is unknown, the greater the urge to predict. As the recently departed futurist author Ray Bradbury once said, “Mysteries abound where most we seek for answers.”
If you can find yourself comfortable not trying to predict daily life (and trading) there is a nice reward for you.
Ask yourself are you really in control of your trading?
Have a Plan A, B, and C.
Finally if you don’t have backups or discipline then you’re trading without plan.
At all times, in all trades have a Plan A, B, and C.
- Plan A is your best case scenario.
- Plan B is your worst case scenario.
- And Plan C is something in between – the most likely scenario.
FEAR
No, not the fear you’re thinking of, the other kind of fear, the fear of missing out.
Many people believe there are two emotions that traders feel, fear and greed, I disagree, it’s only fear. The fear of loss and the fear of not having enough. There’s a difference between being greedy and being fearful of not having enough, and it’s important. Greed is defined by the excessive desire to possess wealth or goods. Synonyms include lust and gluttony. The fear of not having enough is very different, and I believe that is what drives market participants.
Trading is inherently a competitive exercise. We look across the desk at the guy next to us and see that he made X amount of dollars today and we made less. We look at the major averages as benchmarks, we listen to people taking profits on our StockTwits stream and feel both happy for them and wanting to punch them in the face for making a better trade on the same stock. It’s only natural. And when the market is moving well, not being involved while everyone else is, while your benchmark is climbing, traders can feel a considerable amount of fear.
I’ve felt this many times, the fear of not having enough. And I’ve become pretty good at gauging both my own emotions regarding this and the pulse of the market as a whole. Many times this emotion can be seen exhibited in the price action through a blow off top where price accelerates at the end of a big move and then reverses sharply. Intermediate term swing and position trading is about staying with the trend and not getting shaken out, while managing your risk well. (more…)
Small Things Matter
Ask many experienced traders to describe their most profitable trade, and you’ll hear a fantastic story. It’s usually purely chance. I know it was that way for me on a number of occasions. For example, the trader may have been going long on a large position when suddenly a report came out that shocked the market. Prices shot up as the public heard the news, and the trader made a killing. These stories are thrilling. They inspire you to sharpen your trading skills and master the markets. Who doesn’t want to be at the right place at the right time? But if you want to be a profitable, consistent trader, you can’t sit around waiting for a fantastic trading opportunity to present itself. Most of the time, trading is about making trade after trade to the point that it seems boringly routine. Rather than seek out big, exciting trades, it’s important to remember that small trades matter a lot.
As thrilling as big trades seem to be, it’s the smaller trades that keep you in business. It’s not unusual for traders to feel they have reached a plateau when trading. They make trade after trade and little seems to happen. They don’t suddenly find the Holy Grail of trading and achieve the great wealth and status they’ve dreamed about. Whether they realize it or not, however, they are still making progress. Each new observation of the market, each trade they execute, no matter how small, adds to their wealth of knowledge. They intuitively learn what to do and what not to do. They may see a slight variation in chart pattern that creates an inefficiency in price and learn just how far the pattern can deviate from the norm and still forecast the most likely movement of prices. On another day, they may learn a new way to place a protective stop so that they protect their risk, yet don’t get stopped out prematurely. These small everyday, seemingly insignificant experiences matter a lot.
Trading is challenging. Few survive trading over many years. The traders who do survive, however, know how to stay focused and patient. They don’t go for quick thrills, and unrealistically huge profit objectives. They know that losing is easy and can happen in the blink of an eye, but rebuilding capital usually takes a lot of work over a long period of time.
Instead of going for risky, exciting trades, you must seek out high probability setups, take steps to protect your capital, and execute your trades decisively, according to your trading plan. You may not have an exciting tale to brag about, but you take home steady profits–you get paid to trade. And when you make trade after trade, the small profits add up, and you end up with big profits in the end.
So when you feel that your earnings have reached a plateau, don’t get discouraged. As long as you are making profits, and staying in business, you’re continuing to develop your trading skills. You’re adding to your knowledge base. You’re developing a more intuitive feel for how the markets operate. It may not seem like you’re making the profits of a trading wizard, but if you keep at it, you’ll be one of the rare few that join the ranks of winning traders.
__________________Trade what you see, not what you think!