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12 Market Wisdoms from Gerald Loeb

  
  Education
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It is funny how the best traders of all times basically repeat the same things with different words. 

Gerald Loeb is the author of ‘The Battle for Investment Survival’ and is one of the most quotable men on Wall Street.  Here are 12 of the smartest things he has ever said about the stock market:

1. The single most important factor in shaping security markets is public psychology.

2. To make money in the stock market you either have to be ahead of the crowd or very sure they are going in the same direction for some time to come.

3. Accepting losses is the most important single investment device to insure safety of capital.

4. The difference between the investor who year in and year out procures for himself a final net profit, and the one who is usually in the red, is not entirely a question of superior selection of stocks or superior timing. Rather, it is also a case of knowing how to capitalize successes and curtail failures.

5. One useful fact to remember is that the most important indications are made in the early stages of a broad market move. Nine times out of ten the leaders of an advance are the stocks that make new highs ahead of the averages. (more…)

Steven Drobny, Inside the House of Money (Book Review )

  
  Education
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If you haven’t read Steven Drobny’s Inside the House of Money: Top Hedge Fund Traders on Profiting in the Global Markets, newly revised and updated (Wiley, 2014) you should immediately add it to your “to do” list. It doesn’t matter whether you’re a global macro trader or not. I’m not, and yet it’s one of the very few books I keep returning to and learning from.

Originally published in 2006, the book is a collection of twelve interviews with top global macro practitioners. Although times have changed—the interviews were conducted before the financial meltdown and since then global macro has gone mainstream—the book remains a font of trading wisdom.

Few of the interviewees are household names; notable exceptions are Jim Rogers and Peter Thiel, and Thiel has since closed down his fund. The other named traders (one is anonymous) are Jim Leitner, Christian Siva-Jothy, John Porter, Sushil Wadhwani, Yra Harris, Dwight Anderson, Scott Bessent, Marko Dimitrijevic, and David Gorton and Rob Standing.

It’s, of course, impossible to summarize this book, which is one reason it’s so valuable. But, just to give a bit of its flavor, here are a couple of excerpts. (more…)

Why we need to go back to Mars

  
Education, Life, Video
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Planetary scientist Joel Levine shows some intriguing — and puzzling — new discoveries about Mars: craters full of ice, traces of ancient oceans, and compelling hints at the presence, sometime in the past, of life. He makes the case for going back to Mars to find out more.

Taken These Pictures -As Trading Addict :It's Confirm These Two Animals Never Earn From Trading.

  
  Education

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Only 5% Traders will earn from this Market————Can write on Stamp Paper of Any State.

Don’t waste your time ,money & energy :If u Don’t have Money ,Method ,Mind.

Don’t have Deep Pockets…………..Don’t Trade at all.

Don’t Waste Time watching Blue channels-Fundamentals -Growth Story :Everything is controlled by Corrupt Corporate houses or Fiis.

Trading in 1-2-5 lots ,Not having money in Bank and shouting whole day on whatsapp/Twitter/Facebook………..U will not get anything in life.

Technically Yours/ASR TEAM/BARODA

10 Trading Principles of George Soros

  
  Education
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george_soros“I’m only rich because I know when I’m wrong…I basically have survived by recognizing my mistakes.”

Understanding that he was not always right enabled him to cut losses short and position size right.

“My approach works not by making valid predictions but by allowing me to correct false ones.”

Soros’ is flexible in his trades, he changes his mind and reverses positions when needed. He does not marry his trades.

“It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.”

George Soros knows that the key to profitability for him is more about big wins and small losses than his winning percentage. 

“The markets are always on the side of exuberance or fear. It’s fear and greed. Right now greed has the better of it, which is rather nice (for investors) as long as it doesn’t get out of hand,”

Market trends are caused more by the extremes of  investors emotions than fundamental reasons. (more…)

Conventional Wisdom

  
  Education
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conventional_wisdom_2Conventional wisdom is defined as: the generally accepted belief, opinion, judgment, or prediction about a particular matter.

Conventional wisdom is almost universally agreed upon by everyone that it rarely gets questioned, even if sometimes the belief isn’t really true.

The conventional wisdom with regards to investing is to buy and hold great companies for long periods of time so that your portfolio compounds with capital appreciation and dividend re-investment.  This approach has strong validity and is best exemplified by Warren Buffett.  He has the long term returns to prove it.

But it may not be for everybody, or else everyone would have invested like Warren Buffett.  Very few have the right skill set to buy-and-hold and be successful like Buffett, or be successful for decades.

In short term trading, the conventional wisdom is enter stocks at pivot points, trade small and cut your losses and let your gains run, and use risk and money management.  Very few can succeed with the short term trading approach, due to lack of skillset or lack of discipline.  Also, in the short term, the market fluctuates too much so that stoplosses get frequently hit.  Even if successful, it is doubtful many can beat the returns of buy-and-hold investors in the long run.

Another conventional wisdom is that in order to get bigger returns, one has to dramatically increase risk.  Like getting into leverage instruments such as options, futures and penny stocks.  Very few can succeed long term via this route, mainly due to the extreme risk factor.  

One can go through a lifetime or even several lifetimes and still cannot get through the stock market dilemma and confusion.  For many people, only through a paradigm shift in thinking and approach can they increase their chances of  market success.

A paradigm shift is a change in accepted theories, opinions or approaches, a step above and beyond, and is almost always better than the conventional wisdom.  That’s why it’s called a paradigm shift.
 
The question is:

Is there such a paradigm-shifting stock market approach out there?

Trading Strategy for Nifty Future -11th March’10

  
Analysis, Education
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There are typically three stages an investor goes through before they become successful. Building discipline starts with an understanding of these points:

  1. Easy Money: The first stage involves thinking there is easy money to be made. This is the thinking of a newbie. Often, after a big stock tip gone wrong or a couple great broker recommendations that lose serious money, you enter the second stage.
  2. I need a plan: The second stage begins when an investor or trader decides a plan is needed to win. The problems begin when the search for a plan becomes a search for the Holy Grail. And we all know there is no Holy Grail. What is needed is more than just a “system”. What is needed is you following the system. This leads to stage three.
  3. I’m responsible for my success: Stage three comes when the investor or trader realizes that success comes from inside the person, not outside. To achieve true success you must understand the market is not responsible, you are. There is no one to blame or compliment but yourself when it comes to trading. So find a solid plan and follow it.

5144 & 5184 are Hurdles.

From last two days if u had seen (Iam writing not in Braille )3&7 DEMA will act as support levels.

*From last two days kissing 3 DEMA and taking sharp U-turn.

Now crucial support at 5106 ,5090 level.If breaks 5090 with volumes will take to 5058-5036 level.

*Hurdle at 5148-5161.Crossover will take to 5190-5200 in Intraday trade.

*Higher it is moving…More Dangerous sign.

-Trade with eye open

-Always read twice the levels mentioned.

I will update more During trading hrs to our SUBSCIBERS.

Updated at 7:57/11th March/Baroda

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