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China decides to postpone annual NPC meeting

It has now been made official

Chinese lawmakers have decided to postpone the National People’s Congress, usually scheduled for early March, due to the recent coronavirus outbreak situation. No new date has been scheduled at this stage, according to state media.

For some context, this is usually the meeting where the lawmakers will set out economic goals for the year. So, it looks like we may not get any real specifics from China as they continue to weigh up the impact of the virus outbreak in the country.

China issues warning against travel to the US

The Chinese tourism ministry announces the decision

China US

It says that Chinese tourists have been treated unfairly in the US due to the excessive epidemic prevention measures and the current US security situation. Hence, they have asked residents not to travel to the US during the interim period.

I don’t even know how to interpret this but I’m guessing US citizens will feel more relieved by the announcement and perhaps for global markets, it means a lesser likelihood of an epidemic situation in the US? Hmm.
In the ‘bigger, bigger’ picture though, this still points to ongoing animosity between US-China relations and doesn’t set a good platform for Phase Two talks.

China trade Council issues 3325 force majeure certificates

Virus disruptions leading to the action

the China Council for the promotion of international trade is saying that 3325 force majeure certificates have been issued as a way to protect firms from legal damages as a result of the coronavirus outbreak. The certificates cover 8 total contract value of around 270 billion yuan or $38.4BB).
Reports from the US last week indicated that they, and China,  did not expect phase 1 trade agreements would be impacted from the coronavirus.

Australia S&P/ASX 200 index down -1.60%

Cracks below 100 and 200 hour MA

The Australia S&P/ASX 200 index is opening sharply lower. It currently trades down -1.6% at 7025.0.
Cracks below 100 and 200 hour MA
Technically, the price fall has tumbled below its
  • 50 hour moving average at 7126.19
  • 100 hour moving average and rising trend line at 7126.19, and
  • 200 hour moving average at 7051.569

The close risk is now the 200 hour moving average, but traders will likely use the combination of the 100 hour moving average and trend line as the risk for shorts today.

On the downside, the 38.2% retracement of the move up from the 2020 low comes in at 6995.504. That level would be the minimum target to get to and through if the sellers are to probe further to the downside.  The 50% retracement comes in 6933.20.
The fear from the spreading of the coronavirus has increased over the weekend after South Korea put the country on high alert after the number of infections searched over 600 with 6 deaths.  In Italy the number of infected jumped to above 150 from just 3 before Friday with the number of deaths rising to 3.

Japan on holiday. New Zealand credit card spending only economic news

Japan celebrates the Emperor’s birthday

Japan will be off today in celebration of the Emperor’s birthday.
The only economic news on the docket (in addition to the retail sales already released) in the Asian Pacific session is New Zealand credit card spending for January.  There are no estimates, but for December:
  • credit card spending for December came in at -0.9%
  • credit card spending YoY rose by 3.4% in December.
The data will be released at 9 PM ET/0200 GMT.

S&P futures contract falls 1% in early electronic trading

Asian virus fears grow

The US stocks off to a weak start as the

  • S&P 500 contract falls 1% on Asian virus fears.
  • NASDAQ futures are down 115 points (around -1.2%)
  • Dow futures are down -260 points (around -0.93%)
In other markets,
  • gold has jumped to $1660 an ounce more up 1% in early trading
  • WTI crude oil futures are trading down $1 or -1.87% at $52.38
Meanwhile South Korea vice finance minister is on the wires saying:
  • concern financial market instabilities are increasing
  • policy focus will be on a stabilizing FX, financial markets
  • will act sternly, swiftly to stabilize financial markets if needed
  • will stem any hero – like speculative moves in FX markets
  • will soon announce measures to boost exports, investments and domestic demand
  • coronavirus threatens to limit South Korean economic recovery
  • negative impact from virus unavoidable
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