Archives of “February 2019” month

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TRADING IS WAR. PREPARE YOUR WEAPONS

  
  Education
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SUN TZU gives a very clear and succinct reason for his military treatise in the first three sentences when he says,

“The art of war is of vital importance to the state.  It is a matter of life and death, a road to either safety or ruin.  Hence it is the subject of inquiry which can on no account be neglected.”

Here is my interpretation for traders: 

“The art of trading is of vital importance to the success of the trader.  It is a matter of financial life and death, a road to either consistent profits or significant loss of income.  Hence it requires much thoughtful study that cannot be neglected.”

 SUN TZU and THE ART OF WAR                       THE TRADER and THE ART OF TRADING

Important to the StateImportant to the trader
A matter of life and deathA matter of financial life or death
Road to safety/ruinA road to consistent profits/significant losses
Subject of inquiry not to be neglectedSubject of thoughtful study not to be neglected

As we continue to explore SUN TZU’s ART OF WAR, keep the above table in mind for everything that follows in his treatise will be shaped by SUN TZU’s foundational premise, which is this: since war is a given fact whoever engages in it best be prepared because the warrior’s very survival is at stake.

Trading is war.  If you have been trading long enough I do not have to convince you that it is so.  Thoughtful study of the market and how we relate to it is the key to our success and our very survival.

Marty Schwartz Quotes

  
  Education
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Marty has scored enormous percentage gains in every year since he turned full time trader in 1979, but he has done so without ever losing more than 3 percent of his equity on a month-end to month-end basis. In the US Investing Championships held by Stanford University Professor Norm Zadeh, his performance was nothing short of astounding. In nine of the ten four-month championships he entered, he made more money than all the other traders combined. His average return in these nine contests was 210 percent – non annualized! In his single entry in a one-year contest, he scored a 781 percent return.  

“I turned from a loser to a winner when I was able to separate my ego needs from making money. When I was able to accept being wrong. Before that, admitting I was wrong was more upsetting than losing the money.” 
”When I became a winner I went from ‘I figured it out, therefore it can’t be wrong’ to ‘I figured it out, but if I’m wrong, I’m getting the hell out, because I want to save my money and go on to the next trade.”
”By living the philosophy that my winners are always in front of me, it is not so painful to take a loss. If I make a mistake, so what! “
”Before taking a position always know the amount you are willing to lose.”
”The most important thing is money management, money management, money management. Anybody who is successful will tell you the same thing.”
”I always take my losses quickly. That is probably the key to my success.”
”The best advice I can give to the ordinary guy trying to become a better trader is Learn to take losses. The most important thing in making money is not letting your losses get out of hand.

Jim Rogers on Priorities and Focus

  
Analysis, Education
  • If you ask a thousand people if they want to be rich, every one except the poet and the mystic will say yes. When you explain what is needed to become rich, maybe six hundred of that initial 998 will say, “No problem, I can do that.” But when push comes to shove, when they have to sacrifice everything else in their lives – having a spouse and a children, a social life, possibly a spiritual life, maybe even pleasure – to meet their goal, almost all of them, too, will fall away. Only about six of the original thousand will continue on the hard path.
  • Most of us don’t have the discipline to stay focused on a single goal for five, ten, or twenty years, giving up everything to bring it off, but that’s what’s necessary to become an Olympic champion, a world class surgeon, or a Kirov ballerina. Even then, of course, it may be all in vain. You may make a single mistake that wipes out all the work.  It may ruin the sweet, lovable self you were at seventeen.
  • That old adage is true: You can do anything in life, you just can’t do everything. That’s what [Francis] Bacon meant when he said a wife and children were hostages to fortune. If you put them first, you probably won’t run the three-and-a-half-minute-mile, make your first $10 million, write the great American novel, or go around the world on a motorcycle.  Such goals take complete dedication.

Avoiding Trading Mistakes

  
  Education
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In Jack Schwager’s New Market Wizards, William Eckhardt said that one mistake traders make is putting too much importance on any single trade. His suggestion was to remember that any one trade is just a small part of the bigger picture and needs to be treated dispassionately. When the individual trade becomes too important, we tend to do things to make the trade work, for example we take profits too quickly or we let losses go in hopes of a return to profitability.

How to Counter Your Fear In Trading

  
  Education
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My fears:
1. Holding on to a position and some trashy news or major unexpected world event happens that causes the market to tank, and I do not have the stop loss in place to take money off the table. The market takes all my profits away.
2. Holding on to a losing position and sweating while it continues to either tank or move sideways.
3. Reporting to my son that I stubbornly held on to a losing trade instead of trading my plan, aka, behaving like an idiot!

My learnings to far:
1. Easy to read and talk about cut loss. Emotionally hard to do as we all want to win. Having done some major cut loss, its now easier. I guess practice makes perfect. If a trade/scalp is not going my way, I will cut loss without hesitation. Yes, it may reverse and go my way later after I cut loss. No matter because it could also go the other way! I’m learning to trade my plan. Easy to read about, talk about, very hard to do.
2. I’m working out my stop loss positions to be activated for my value stocks as well in case I don’t have time to react to market conditions
3. Trade with the trend. If trend reverses against me, I cut loss. Hard to fight the trend, and harder to keep hoping day after day that tomorrow will be better.
4. After cutting loss on a losing position, I feel better, mind feels at ease, feel calmer and can think better. Easy to talk about, hard to do.

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