Archives of “survival” tag

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Greed, Fear, Hope, and Regret

  
  Education
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There are four psychological states of emotions that drive most individual decision making in any market in the world. They are greed, fear, hope and regret.

Since the stock market is made up of individual human beings who tend to act in similar manners, a group is formed. It is only the group’s opinion that matters during a trend, but it is the individual trader’s job to identify the subtle clues as to when a market is about to shift direction.

The clues are there, but they are subtle. An awareness and detailed understanding of these emotions is what keeps the astute technical trader out of trouble by providing a means to identify individual weaknesses. We shall now take a closer look at these emotions, and provide examples of how they influence a trader’s ability to consistently make money.

What is Greed?

Greed is commonly defined as an excessive desire for money and wealth.

In trading terminology, it can specifically be defined as the desire for a trade to provide an immediate and unrealistic amount of profit. When greed sets in, all a trader can focus on is how much money they have made and how much more they could make by staying in the trade. However, there is a major fallacy with this type of reasoning. A profit is not realized until a position is closed.Until then, the swing trader only has a POTENTIAL profit (aka. “paper profit”). Greed also frequently leads to ignoring sound risk management practices.

What is Fear? (more…)

20 Skills for the Trader

  
  Education
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1.      Know the difference between trading and investing.  We are traders, NOT investors.  ••  Disciplineis doing the right thing at the right time…every time! Survival in this business is dependent on the right decisions.

2.      Don’t let losers run!  Always use stops .  Riskmanagement is very, very important in your trading.  Don’t be stubborn in holding a position. Remember, while you may not be wrong often, The Market Is Always Right.  The best traders are the first to admit (to themselves and the market) that they made a mistake.

 3.      Trade only price pattern set-ups.

 4.      Trade for skill, NOT the money.  If you’re focused on the money aspect of trading…you’re not focused on the ‘trade’.  And SCARED MONEY NEVER WINS!

5.      Concentrate on what you are trade.  Each market has personalities, habits and friends…get to know them all.

 6.      Focus on your executions.  Remember, every execution is a trade.  Money is valuable…don’t leave it on the table. (more…)

My Checklist :During and After the Trade

  
  Education
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checklist-1. What’s your game plan if it goes against you and threatens your survival?

2. Will you be able to get out? Did you take that into account in your workout?

3. More typically, what will you do if it goes way against you and then meanders back to give you a breakeven? Or if it immediately goes for you or aginst you?

4. Would you be willing to take a ½% profit if you get it in the first 10 minutes?

5. Did you test whether taking small opportunistic profits turns a winning system into a bad one?

6. How will unexpected cardinal events affect you like the “regrettably,” or the pre-annnouncement of something you expected for the next open? And what happens if you’re trading an individual stock and the market goes up or down a few percent during the day, or what’s the impact of a related move in oil or interest rates?

7. Are you sure that you have to monitor the trade during the day? If you’re using stops, then you probably don’t have to but then your position size would have to be reduced so much that your chances of a reasonable profit taking account of vig are close to zero. If you’re using 10% of your capital on a trade, they you’ll have to monitor it for survival. But, but, but. Are you sure you won’t be called away by phone calls, or the others? (more…)

Warrior Trading : Clifford Bennett

  
  Education
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warriror tradingThese eight steps are intended as a guide to the new trader and a reminder to the experienced.

1. Find Your Strength.  It is important that the trader determine what type of market, trending or consolidating, best suits their own personality and strength.  The best traders stay focused on one or the other and master it.
 
2. Know Your Market.  You should know your market when trading.  In other words, know the levels of support/resistance;  know how the instrument you trade moves with the general market; know who is likely to be on the other side and what they are thinking; and “the terrain of any market includes the “long-term charts” (140).
 
3.  Prepare Your Order.  Know when to get into a trade and why and know when to get out of a trade and why.  Just like a secret agent who will “never enter a room without knowing how to get out of it in a hurry” (142).
 
4.  Placing Your Order.  Once you have adequately prepared for a trade, it is then necessary to be ready to place the trade when the time is right.  Here “patience is the key…you must be able to wait for the market to tell you when the moment is right.  Wait for the market to generate the action; don’t force it” (143).
 
5.  Sticking With Your Plan.  This is probably the hardest part about trading.  Once you enter the battlefield (enter a trade), the emotions of fear, ecstasy, greed, and sheer excitement can then take over and cause you to forget your well prepared plans for entry and exit.  You must enter a “Zen-like mental state” where you remain in control of your emotions.  Not doing so could spell disaster. (more…)

20 Trading Skills for Traders

  
  Education
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1.      Know the difference between trading and investing.  We are traders, NOT investors.  ••  Disciplineis doing the right thing at the right time…every time! Survival in this business is dependent on the right decisions.

2.      Don’t let losers run!  Always use stops .  Riskmanagement is very, very important in your trading.  Don’t be stubborn in holding a position. Remember, while you may not be wrong often, The Market Is Always Right.  The best traders are the first to admit (to themselves and the market) that they made a mistake.

 3.      Trade only price pattern set-ups.

 4.      Trade for skill, NOT the money.  If you’re focused on the money aspect of trading…you’re not focused on the ‘trade’.  And SCARED MONEY NEVER WINS!

5.      Concentrate on what you are trade.  Each market has personalities, habits and friends…get to know them all.

 6.      Focus on your executions.  Remember, every execution is a trade.  Money is valuable…don’t leave it on the table.

 7.      Model Yourself After Successful and Experienced Traders.  You will be all you can be…but you need to start somewhere. 

 8.      Be Teachable.  Learn something new every day (or at least every week).  The ‘Losing’ and ‘Winning’ trades can teach you a whole lot.

 9.      Remember that even the best of the best traders lose money.  Learn to accept your losses and move on to the next trade.  That’s just part of the business – you will NEVER win 100% of the time.

 10.  Use only 1 contract at the beginning.  Large wins at the beginning generally means large exposure. (more…)

FEAR

  
  Education
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How to prevent Fear in trading ?

you have decide to trade a particular system. you get an entry signal, and put on the trade. You put in your protective stop, and you know what will be your signal or target for exit. There is nothing more to you need to do or worry about. The market will do the rest for you. You are along for the ride, and you know when to get out. So there is nothing to be fearful about …

“There is hardly anything productive about worry or fear when you cant do anything about the circumstances” by Buzz Aldrin

Fear is an emotion. It is created by us and therefore we can uncreated it. Fear is created when we think that our trade will lose a lot of money or things that will prevent our trade from losing. The keyword is think which is thoughts in our mind. When you keep on thinking of the thoughts of losing money and fearful of it. STOP!! Take a deep breath to break your connection. Then ask yourself, “Is this probable?” Continue to challenge the thought by asking, “What are the probabilities right now?” Then choose to take control of your thoughts and think term of the current probabilities.
Fear will lead you to disaster if you do not know how to release it. Another way to release fear is to have a shower to calm down yourself. (more…)

"6 Skills For Traders"

  
  Education
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Whether it is day trading, scalping, or investing,there are fundamental skills that each trader should master. Skill-building activities will help you sharpen your ability to make money and cash in on critical market movements.
1. Don’t Be a Perfectionist
Consistent profits are achieved from winning more than you lose – not winning every single trade.There are plenty of professional traders who generate profits by winning just 10% of their trades by maximizing gains and minimizing their losses.
2. Stick to a Trading Plan
Developing a trading plan is extremely important.Day trading around your own set plan for each position will produce consistent profits. A trading plan planner should be your best friend when developing your own trading
style. The key is sticking to what you’ve written down on paper.
3. Know the Odds
You should know the payoff odds for each trade that you take.Scalping produces large gains from small movements with higher risk than swing trading. Your trading plan should include a way to regulate how much capital you’re willing to risk on each position – but you should never risk more than 2% of your total account value. (more…)

Kiev, Hedge Fund Masters

  
  Education
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I took notes on Kiev’s book when I first read it, and I’m going to select four self-therapeutic passages from them for this post. I suspect that most of my notes are quotations, but I don’t think it’s important to check their accuracy, though I will provide page references.

* * *

By establishing a vision, you have promised to achieve something. The promise means you are giving yourself permission to begin to act in the realm of the impossible, to create all kinds of openings. In that one promise, you begin to abandon self-doubt and the need for approval. This way of being in the world lets loose huge reserves of energy and creates enormous possibilities. Yet none of this can happen until you take the first step forward in pursuit of a goal with no guarantee of outcome. (p. 218)

Living in the gap makes you vulnerable. Once you’re out there, on the cutting edge, you’ll suffer breakdowns as well as breakthroughs. Although it will not always be comfortable, living in the gap between where you are and where you want to be will make your days far more interesting and action packed than if you traded with the intention of avoiding pain and discomfort. (p. 229)

It is useful to note when an activity becomes tedious, dull, and routine and leads to withdrawal and avoidance. This is the time to consider whether you are facing obstacles and are retreating behind your survival needs or whether these feelings signify that you have reached your goal and now need to raise the stakes. (p. 236)

The development of mastery is, in a sense, an existential and experiential methodology, directed at what is and what can be. You invent your own future through commitment to a goal, identifying what is necessary to produce specific results, and learning how to handle the unknown. (p. 247)

Richard Rhodes' Trading Rules

  
  Education
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If I’ve learned anything in my decades of trading, I’ve learned that the simple methods work best. Those who need to rely upon complex stochastics, linear weighted moving averages, smoothing techniques, Fibonacci numbers etc., usually find that they have so many things rolling around in their heads that they cannot make a rational decision. One technique says buy; another says sell. Another says sit tight while another says add to the trade. It sounds like a cliche, but simple methods work best.

  1. The first and most important rule is – in bull markets, one is supposed to be long. This may sound obvious, but how many of us have sold the first rally in every bull market, saying that the market has moved too far, too fast. I have before, and I suspect I’ll do it again at some point in the future. Thus, we’ve not enjoyed the profits that should have accrued to us for our initial bullish outlook, but have actually lost money while being short. In a bull market, one can only be long or on the sidelines. Remember, not having a position is a position.
  2. Buy that which is showing strength – sell that which is showing weakness. The public continues to buy when prices have fallen. The professional buys because prices have rallied. This difference may not sound logical, but buying strength works. The rule of survival is not to “buy low, sell high”, but to “buy higher and sell higher”. Furthermore, when comparing various stocks within a group, buy only the strongest and sell the weakest.
  3. When putting on a trade, enter it as if it has the potential to be the biggest trade of the year. Don’t enter a trade until it has been well thought out, a campaign has been devised for adding to the trade, and contingency plans set for exiting the trade.
  4. On minor corrections against the major trend, add to trades. In bull markets, add to the trade on minor corrections back into support levels. In bear markets, add on corrections into resistance. Use the 33-50% corrections level of the previous movement or the proper moving average as a first point in which to add.
  5. Be patient. If a trade is missed, wait for a correction to occur before putting the trade on. (more…)
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