Give up reliving your past trades.
Each trade is a new trade do not hold grudges against stocks and think they ‘owe’ you for past losses. Do not fall in love with a stock and hold it as it falls lower and lower.
Give up letting your trading define your self worth.
Do not let your trading define you. Diversify your life with friends, family, hobbies, and other interests. It is not healthy to become overly obsessed with the markets.
Give up on losing trades quickly when your stop is hit.
Your best trades will be the ones that are profitable from the start, if they immediately go against you be prepared to be stopped out. You can destroy your trading account when you start the “It will come back, I just have to wait” chant in the midst of a death spiral.
Give up on price targets let your winners run as far as they will go.
In the right market conditions trends can go on to unbelievable levels, the big wins during these trends can make your entire year profitable if losses are small on losing trades. If you set a predefined profit target you will miss the opportunity when the big move comes. Let a trailing stop take you out.
A big debate among traders is whether to sell your losing stocks or hold onto them. Obviously, dependent on both the short and long-term outlook of a stock each side could have a winning argument.
Whether there is a right or wrong answer, when solely using technical analysis for your stock picking analysis, YOU MUST ALWAYS SELL YOUR LOSERS.
The great thing about technical analysis is that it takes emotion out of trading; however, emotion will always be there for other traders. That is why stocks can easily dip or jump higher in a single day – generally it is a reaction to a tangible action that just happened.
When executing trades through the signals of technical analysis, there are always stop points or places where the trade is consider a failure . For the most part, that point of interest is determined by recent price action of a stock. Learn more about the art of stops.
Technical analysis all about using the setup that gives the trader the highest probability of success. Once that setup is broken, your original probability is out the window. Get it?
Basically once your stock dips below the “failure” point the criteria that you essentially bought the stock on no longer stands. Now you are just swinging into the wind hoping for the stock to come back.
Instead I recommend you cut your losses and move on to the next trade. It’s all about keeping the odds in your favor.
Never short based on price action. A stock that is going straight up can continue at least until you are bankrupt before falling to the ground. Market: “I’m not so sure that we’ll make new highs but if we make a new high above 1,150, I don’t think it will be that far above the 1,150 level, maybe 1,200, and that thereafter we have a bigger kind of correction on the downside. I think if we make a new high then I wouldn’t rule out a correction of at least around 20% and don’t forget many shares in America and globally have already corrected 20%, so for them to make a new high isn’t going to be all that easy in the first place. So what we could see is a new high in the S&P and the Dow Jones that is not confirmed by the new high list. In other words you will make a new high with fewer stocks making a new high than in January.”
Currencies: Euro: “Now the Euro is very oversold and the news has been horrible. Everything you’ve read has been a disaster for the Eurozone and I think the Euro now can rebound to around 1.40 before it goes lower. I think there’s nothing good about the US Dollar, but I don’t think there is much good about the Euro either…”
US Dollar: “When investors realize that the fiscal deficits aren’t going to come down, that they’ll stay very high. When they also see that one state after another is essentially bust like California and Illinois. And when they see that monetization will become inevitable in the long run, I think at that point the Dollar will be weak. But don’t forget it may not necessarily have to be weak against the Euro. Both currencies are sick and so both could go down and then ultimately you just have one or two sound currencies, notably precious metals and I think the Asian currencies will then probably also appreciate against the Euro and the US Dollar but notably precious metals will then be strong”.
Asset Class Right Now: “Right now as of today I would probably go long the Euro and probably be long US Treasury Bonds but only as a trade for the next say 5-10 days and then we’ll have to see further. In general, I would say better be in stocks than in bonds because we’ll get more inflation in due course”.
Dear Traders ,Just see ..What I had forecasted/Written about S&P 500 on 19th ,28th Jan’10 and on 3rd Feb’10
Technically Yours
So often I see people make decisions in the market on what makes sense to them. It makes sense to buy stocks when the company insiders are buying. It makes sense to buy stocks that are making positive announcements. It makes sense to listen to what the President has to say about the company’s prospects. However, all that matters is what the market thinks of the company and whether the buyers are more motivated than the sellers. So often, the market does things that do not make any sense until we later learn of what motivated the market to do what it did. Remember, the market is forward looking, most times, what makes sense is judged on what has happened in the past.
Foreign investors funneled more than $15 billion to Indian equities in 2009, sending stocks up more than 75% and strengthening the rupee . With expected positive growth rates for the year and higher interest rates differentials that favor emerging markets, investors are looking to India as a good place to stash their wealth.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has already taken the necessary precautions to stave off a potential asset bubble forming in India’s stock and real estate markets. India’s officials are welcoming the fund inflows with open arms, but Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee says monetary tools will be implemented if inflows become disruptive to the economy.
RBI could stem inflows by:
We are expecting very soon by Next month or First week Jan’10
The full quote – “It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.”
Soros’s style of trading is very unforgiving and he is always ready to admit when he is wrong and cut his losses. Admitting one’s mistake is one of the key things to successful trading – he or she will be psychologically prepared to take action to reduce their losses without much delay.
How many of us always hold on to unrealized losses, and hope or even believe that the stock will regain its price? I guess many of us are guilty of that. Some stocks drop in price for a reason and there are even more reasons for them to drop further until you realize how bad your unrealized losses are!
As Soros take huge positions and high leverage in his trades, he has to be decisive to cut loss so as to lose as little as possible when he is wrong. On the other hand, when he is right, he make sure his profits can more than overcome his losses several folds. He understands he cannot be right all the time – the principle is to minimize your loss when you are wrong and maximize your profit when you are right.
