If you know anyone in the Diamond business, they’ll tell you that they are in a real “crisis”.
Prices have fallen down sharply.You can learn more about this industry via the site powered by the .Rapaport report
I find real value in large stones today.Feel safer in that industry compare to Gold right now.
The real good news ? Rough diamonds are really hard to get now 🙂
Archives of “stocks” tag
rssMark Douglas makes some great statements
In the book Trading In The Zone, Mark Douglas makes some great statements that I truly believe are important. He states:
I AM A CONSISTENT WINNER BECAUSE:
- I objectively identify my edges
- I predefine the risk of every trade
- I completely ACCEPT the risk or I am willing to let go of the trade
- I act on my edges without reservation or hesitation
- I pay myself as the market makes money available to me
- I continually monitor my susceptibility for making errors
- I understand the absolute necessity of these principles of consistent success and, therefor, I always follow them with confidence and joy.
What you’ll notice about his statements is that it is he is assuming that you have already done the first set of bullets up top; that you have already created a plan and you already have a set of RULES. Now you might ask, how do I know if my set of rules now will work next month or next year? GREAT question. The market dates back all the way into the late 1700’s. There is literally a few HUNDRED years of data. That’s why I say that back testing is KEY. Now that doesn’t mean that you need to back-test 200 years of data. Not even close. You want to back-test a reasonable time depending on your time-frame of trading. For example, if I plan on trading based on a daily system, then I might back-test the last 5-6 years. If I’m going to trade based on an intra-day 3 minute chart, I would probably backtest about a year. There is no way to KNOW what is going to happen, but trading really boils down to probabilities. Time and time again the same things tend to repeat themselves. Why do you think the markets tend do to the same things over and over. Why does it seem that certain stocks that are in the same class look the same from a chart perspective? How come a company will report great quarterly results, but still go down? It’s because there is a greater number of traders that BELIEVE that this is where an equity is too much or too little. Why do you think there are people who are talking about a “recession” right now? Again, it’s because the same things seem to be occurring that did prior to a previous recession and people have that BELIEF.
So what does all this mean? What can you gather from all this? Well, a few things actually. One is to make sure you create, find and organize a PLAN for trading. Think about it as if you wanted to open up a company. Do the research and find out how some of these traders got started and what they did. Once you’ve done that, write down your plan and look at your questions from up top. Once you can answer ALL of them, then you are moving toward being a consistently profitable trader. Then take a look at what Mark Douglas wrote. You have to own these statements mentally. You have to truly believe that you are a consistent winner because of all of the statements above.
“Plan your trade, and trade your plan” – Anonymous
Top Ten Side Effects of Greedy Trading
- Greed causes the trader to only look at the best case scenario for profits and ignore the worst case scenario for losses in every trade.
- Greedy traders trade WAY to big a position size.
- A Greedy trader’s #1 priority is getting rich quick while ignoring the risk of ruin.
- Traders that are greedy tend to believe they can have returns bigger than the best traders in the world right at the beginning.
- Greed makes traders have absurd targets for their trades.
- Greedy traders tend to buy stocks that are down 50% believing they will double and go back to where they were.
- Greed distorts a trader to focus on the money not the homework involved to make the money.
- Traders take trades where the odds are way against them because of the greed of wanting to make huge returns on one trade. (Far out of the money options)
- Greedy traders trade with no plan and no method they are just pursuing profits randomly.
- Greedy traders are always looking for the easy path to money not to the real path of hard work and experience.
Peter Lynch
Probably you have heard of Peter Lynch. But did you know that in 13 years, from 1977 to
1990, the Fidelity Magellan Fund he managed grew from $20m to a whopping $14b?!
One of his famous buy, Subaru, was already up twentyfold when he bought the stock and he made sevenfold after that.
Quotes from Peter are as follows:
“Go for a business that any idiot can run – because sooner or later, any idiot is probably going to run it.”
“If you stay half-alert, you can pick the spectacular performers right from your place of business or out of the neighborhood shopping mall, and long before Wall Street discovers them.”
“Investing without research is like playing stud poker and never looking at the cards.”
“Absent a lot of surprises, stocks are relatively predictable over twenty years. As to whether they’re going to be higher or lower in two to three years, you might as well flip a coin to decide.” (more…)
Ten Side Effects of Greedy Trading
- Greed causes the trader to only look at the best case scenario for profits and ignore the worst case scenario for losses in every trade.
- Greedy traders trade WAY to big a position size.
- A Greedy trader’s #1 priority is getting rich quick while ignoring the risk of ruin.
- Traders that are greedy tend to believe they can have returns bigger than the best traders in the world right at the beginning.
- Greed makes traders have absurd targets for their trades.
- Greedy traders tend to buy stocks that are down 50% believing they will double and go back to where they were.
- Greed distorts a trader to focus on the money not the homework involved to make the money.
- Traders take trades where the odds are way against them becasue of the greed of wanting to make huge returns on one trade. (Far out of the money options)
- Greedy traders trade with no plan and no method they are just pursuing profits randomly.
- Greedy traders are always looking for the easy path to money to the real path of hard work and experience.
Ego and Impatience
Ego: I never feel the need to prove myself to anyone by saying that I am always right, or that I am some trading genius that has it all figured out, nobody is. But I have one friend in particular that thinks he can trade in stocks, yet every trade he has ever made has been a complete failure, but you could never get him to admit it. He has more excuses and more reasons why he thinks he is still right, even though he constantly losing money. Leave your ego out of the markets, admit when you’re wrong, and stay humble when you’re right.
Impatience: Not having enough patience has forced me to put on some horrible trades, having patience has lead to some of my most profitable ones. Pretty self explanatory.
Seven Concepts

- Momentum : If you understand this you will understand trends and mean reversion. You will understand why and how momentum works in the market. Most indicators are momentum based. Trend following and buying strength also works, so does mean reversion. They are all part of the momentum phenomenon.
- Market Breadth: Stock markets are composite markets. The overall move in market is an aggregate of moves of several hundred or several thousand stocks. So the level of participation in a move is important.
- Equity Selection: Because the overall market is a composite of many individual moves, it becomes critical to select right kind of stocks from the universe of stocks. Hence equity selection is extremely critical. You should know various ways in which one can select equities.
- Market Anomalies: Market anomalies are the distortions in the market. If you base your trading on a proven and statistically significant anomaly, you will be profitable. Absent that no amount of indicators will help you. A through understanding of anomalies will give you an edge.
- Market Microstructure: Market Microstructure is a branch of finance concerned with the details of how exchange occurs in markets. Understanding this will tell you how the market operates. The concept of market microstructre is very critical if you are trading very small time frames or are a day trader. Because to be successful on those time frame you need to find exploitable anomalies in market microstructure. You need to understand role played by market makers, automated programs, arbitragers, large fund buyers and so on. Their tactics and behaviour creates certain patterns
- Growth investing : Growth investors buy stocks of companies growing faster than the average company in the market.
- Value investing : Value investors buy stocks of companies which are cheap or out of favor.
My Trading Resolutions for next 3 months
Think for myself
- Stay focused on the reasons why I bought a stock and sell when those reasons are no longer compelling
- Don’t let successful trades turn into losses
- Be ruled less by emotion and fear and more by logic and knowledge
- Read some good books on trading
- To avoid being whipsawed, I will give myself more room for the trade to work
- Follow my own rules
- Be easier on myself when I screw up and don’t let my ego inflate when I’m right
- Don’t force trades – there will always be another opportunity
- Honor thy stops!
- Stop chasing hot and popular stocks
- Do my own research
- Keep learning
- Learn to be less nervous and take more risks
- Remember that lost opportunity is better than lost capital
- Trade less – don’t overtrade
- To try and limit the number of opinions I allow to affect my trading. Paralysis by analysis has hurt me
- Avoid any trade where I use the word “hope” in my reasoning process
- To follow my logical, well-conceived, long-term game plan, without making irrational changes due to short-term market conditions
- Tune out the daily noise and useless banter
- Reduce the number of positions currently held
- Have more faith in my own abilities
- In trading, learn to be fearless
- Don’t be too greedy
- Slow down!
- Incorporate the use of smart trailing stops
- Use ETFs to properly diversify
- Remove my ego from my trading decisions
- Avoid getting easily frustrated or impatient
- Control and limit my losses
- Focus on making the next trade, instead of the last one
- I will not average down into losing positions
- Create more careful and detailed records with a commitment to review them regularly
- Learn to incorporate a systematic screening method like you
- Use emotions (both personal and market) to my own advantage
- Know my exits before making any trade
- Don’t be swayed by the latest and greatest strategy I hear about
- Keep it simple. Complex strategies are no better
- Avoid crowded trades
- Take time to look for reasons NOT to buy
- Let profits run longer. take losses quicker
- Trade what I see, not what I want to see
- Be more proactive and react faster to situations I find
- Make bigger, but less frequent trades
- Stay patient
- Focus on value of companies and not on the temporary market emotions
- Be more nimble
- Keep better notes
- Adopt an opportunistic versus a rigid bull or bear bias toward the market
- Enjoy the game more
- To quit counting the value of my account on a daily basis
- Stop looking for the holy grail
- Figure out what trade related information to consume on a daily basis and keep what is useful and leave out that which is not
- Avoid information overload by limiting what I read
- Don’t read stock blogs
- Turn off the TV and dedicate more of my time to become a better trader
- Set up a lazy portfolio
- Focus on proper asset allocation
- Never forget that “when you are through learning you are through”
- Recognize mistakes early, exit, and move on
- Take partial profits routinely, but keep money on high-performing stocks
- Follow my system
- To screen & scan my watchlist in a consistent manner each and every time
- Take routine breaks away from the market to refresh and gain more perspective
- Add more fundamental research to my technical research
- Concentrate on finding just one really good idea per year like Warren Buffett
- Stop searching for shortcuts or quick fixes – take baby steps
- Read at least 3 more trading books in next 3 months
- Focus, focus, focus – ignore all outside distractions
- When a strategy works, have the courage to follow it through, when it does not work, to have the wisdom to stop trading
- Find and exploit long-range sector themes
- Open my ears and keep my mouth shut
- Never panic
- Be humble
7 concepts that can make you a better trader
Momentum : If you understand this you will understand trends and mean reversion. You will understand why and how momentum works in the market. Most indicators are momentum based. Trend following and buying strength also works, so does mean reversion. They are all part of the momentum phenomenon.
- Market Breadth: Stock markets are composite markets. The overall move in market is an aggregate of moves of several hundred or several thousand stocks. So the level of participation in a move is important.
- Equity Selection: Because the overall market is a composite of many individual moves, it becomes critical to select right kind of stocks from the universe of stocks. Hence equity selection is extremely critical. You should know various ways in which one can select equities.
- Market Anomalies: Market anomalies are the distortions in the market. If you base your trading on a proven and statistically significant anomaly, you will be profitable. Absent that no amount of indicators will help you. A through understanding of anomalies will give you an edge.
- Market Microstructure: Market Microstructure is a branch of finance concerned with the details of how exchange occurs in markets. Understanding this will tell you how the market operates. The concept of market microstructre is very critical if you are trading very small time frames or are a day trader. Because to be successful on those time frame you need to find exploitable anomalies in market microstructure. You need to understand role played by market makers, automated programs, arbitragers, large fund buyers and so on. Their tactics and behaviour creates certain patterns
- Growth investing : Growth investors buy stocks of companies growing faster than the average company in the market.
- Value investing : Value investors buy stocks of companies which are cheap or out of favor.
4 Pearls of Wisdom for Traders
· The best trades come when the crowd leans the wrong way. In other words, the majority piles in one way but profits come from trading it the other way.
· Market direction is only as strong as the leadership that guides it. Stocks play follow-the-leader even when the charts tell a different tale.
· Follow the professionals in quiet times and the public in wild times.
· Good timing on bad stocks makes more money over time than bad timing on good stocks.