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Great Quotes of Mark Douglas

  
  Education
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“I know it may sound strange to many readers, but there is an inverse relationship between analysis and trading results. More analysis or being able to make distinctions in the market’s behavior will not produce better trading results. There are many traders who find themselves caught in this exasperating loop, thinking that more or better analysis is going to give them the confidence they need to do what needs to be done to achieve success. It’s what I call a trading paradox that most traders find difficult, if not impossible to reconcile, until they realize you can’t use analysis to overcome fear of being wrong or losing money. It just doesn’t work!”
-Mark Douglas

“There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that defines an edge. In other words, based on the past performance of your edge, you may know that out of the next 20 trades, 12 will be winners and 8 will be losers. What you don’t know is the sequence of wins and losses or how much money the market is going to make available on the winning trades. This truth makes trading a probability or numbers game. When you really believe that trading is simply a probability game, concepts like “right” and “wrong” or “win” and “lose” no longer have the same significance. As a result, your expectations will be in harmony with the possibilities.”
-Mark Douglas (more…)

Is stock trading difficult? Depends on who you ask.

  
  Education
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Is stock trading difficult?  Depends on who you ask.

A seasoned trader with the discipline to follow well honed principles will say “trading is not difficult.  See how I take losses and let my winners run?”  A battered and bruised, emotionally unstable trader will say “the market is difficult.  I am getting my @ss handed to me on a platter and it hurts!”  A breakeven trader will say, “compared to my broker I am not doing so bad.”

Our perspective makes all the difference in our success of failure.  If we can have the proper perspective then the market cannot hurt us.

The proper perspective includes, but is not limited to, the following:

The market will do what it wants to do when it wants to do it regardless of the technical games we play.

We win some lose some, in no particular order, on any given strategy.

The only trading mistake that matters is when future uncertainty is not properly considered an essential element of risk.

The long-term process, not short term outcomes, builds the consistency necessary to tackle market uncertainty.

Responsibility accepted before the trade becomes the disciple that carries us through the trade.

The best money is oftentimes made by being a non-participating, impartial observer.


 

So the next time someone asks if stock trading is difficult.  What will be our answer?  Will it be based on the proper perspective or on the last trade we made?  On emotions? On our reaction to price action? News? Compared to what?  A successful bust or a skinned knee?  The answer can make a difference.

5 Ways to Reduce Your Losses When Trading

  
  Education
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Trading is an evolutionary process. Nobody can wake up being a Master Trader. Unfortunately there is no book or magic trick that can turn you into the highly profitable trader . Although the belief and the hope to obtain those skills instantly is still in place.

 The statistics say that only the ones with the self-dedication and discipline succeed in this business.

The most common mistakes leading to losses:

-Trading against the market;

-No trade potential;

-No serious buyers or sellers in the stock;

-Wide stop-loss;

-Fear of loss.

Traders should stay calm during the trading, this helps to observe and analyze the situation on the market much better, see some small details and make a competent decision.

Panic, stress or fear, always lead to mistakes.

One of the serious problems in trading is rush and mania to be present on the market all the times, opening positions when there is no potential for a trade or where the market is either flat or going the other direction.

Tips to resolve the mistakes:

1. Always look at the market. If there is no clear picture of the market’s behavior, don’t risk your money.

2. Always look at a trade potential.

3. Always look either at the Open Book or Market Maker window and Tape.

4. Always know where you are going to place you stop-loss order.

5. If you’re just not sure, or if the situation is uncertain, don’t enter the trade.

Following these tips requires some work and changes to our habits. It is not easy at all! We always hear sayings that the trader should be disciplined. What it actually means is changing your old habits and training yourself to have new ones. It is not comfortable, but it brings positive results, which will be noticeable on your month-end P/L report.

Ten Times When A Trader Should do Nothing

  
  Education
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Ten Times When A Trader Should do Nothing

  1. When you are confused and don’t know what to do, do nothing.
  2. There are no set ups on your watch list, then don’t trade.
  3. You are a trend trader and there is no trend to trade.
  4. The market is extremely volatile due to headline risk.
  5. You want to make an option trade but the options are illiquid with a huge bid ask spread.
  6. If you are trying to trade supply and demand but the government keeps interfering with your market, pick a different market.
  7. Your stock reports earnings the next day and you expect a powerful move but it could easily go either way, wait until after earnings to trade.
  8. You are a momentum trader but their is not momentum, then wait.
  9. You play the long side only and the market is in a correction or a bear market, wait for a new trend to the upside.
  10. If you are not at your best mentally and emotionally then don’t trade until you are.

BETS

  
  Education
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There are just four kinds of bets. There are good bets, bad bets, bets that you win, and bets that you lose. Winning a bad bet can be the most dangerous outcome of all, because a success of that kind can encourage you to take more bad bets in the future. You can also lose a good bet, but if you keep placing good bets, over time, the law of averages will be working for you.”

“Life is nothing more than a series of bets and bets are really nothing more than questions and their answers. There is no real difference between, ’should I take another hit on this Blackjack hand?’ and ‘Should I get out of the way of that speeding and wildly careening bus?’ Each shares two universal truths: a set of probabilities of potential outcomes and the singular outcome that takes place. Everyday we place hundreds if not thousands of bets – large and small, some seemingly well considered and others made without a second thought. The vast majority of the latter, life’s little gambles made without any thought, might certainly be trivial. ‘Should I tie my shoes?’ Seems to offer no big risk, nor any big reward. While others, such as the aforementioned ’speeding and wildly careening bus’ would seem to have greater impact on our lives. However, if deciding not to tie your shoes that morning causes you to trip and fall down in the middle of the road when you finally decide to fold your hand and give that careening bus plenty of leeway, well then, in hindsight the trivial has suddenly become paramount.”

If you trading ,then read this

  
Analysis, Economy, Education
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Below, we share a presentation from Morgan Stanley’s Jim Caron, Measuring Risk: Extracting Market Sentiment from the Interest Rate Markets, in which the credit strategist provides a much more detailed framework of what critical credit signals are and how to interpret them. We recommend that all those still trading, either with their own, or other people’s money, familiarize themselves with this 27-page overview.

(Instead of Watching TV -Cricket Match -Movies ,Traders just read this -)

 

 


When does trading become gambling?

  
Analysis, Education, Life
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There is a very thin line. I maintain that most traders ARE gamblers. They use markets as a substitute for a casino. Here are some of the sign posts that you have crossed the line.

1. IF you enter trades without a clear trading plan, you just might be a gambler.

2. IF you trade just to be trading, you just might be a gambler.

3. IF your bored and enter a trade, you just might be a gambler.

4. IF you look at potential profit before assessing potential loses, you just might be a gambler.

5. IF you have no impulse control, you just might be a gambler.

6. IF you have no methodology, you just might be a gambler.

7. IF you rely on others for your trading decisions, you just might be a gambler.

8. IF you do not take full responsibility for your trading outcomes, you just might be a gambler.

9. IF you increase your risk due to losses, you just might be a gambler.

10. IF you do not use stop losses or do not adhere to them, you just might be a gambler.

And my all time favorite

11. IF you get an adrenaline rush when your entering trades, you just might be a gambler.

16 Trading Quotes -Must Read & Take Print Out

  
  Education
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“The obvious rarely happens, the unexpected constantly occurs.” – Jesse Livermore

“A speculator is a man who observes the future, and acts before it occurs.” – Bernard Baruch

“What seems too high and risky to the majority generally goes higher and what seems low and cheap generally goes lower.” – William O’Neil

“Successful speculation implies taking risks when the odds are in your favor.” – Victor Sperandeo

“Stocks are bought not in fear but in hope. They are typically sold out of fear.” – Justin Mamis

“Accepting losses is the most important single investment device to insure safety of capital.” –Gerald M. Loeb

“To me, the “tape” is the final arbiter of any investment decision. I have a cardinal rule: Never fight the tape!” – Martin Zweig

“You have to master your ego & realize that being profitable is more important than being right.” – Martin Schwartz

“Losing a position is aggravating, whereas losing your nerve is devastating.” – Ed Seykota (more…)

Difference between Real Traders and the mass

  
  Education
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REAL TRADER1) Trading – Speculating – Gambling – In the eyes of the vast majority, these things are blurred together, and very many things that the herd get up to in the name of “trading” is really either speculating or gambling. To that end, much of the advice published on the subject of trading can equally be as confused.
 
But not to real traders; real traders know the difference and are very clear that what they are doing is neither speculating or gambling. Just because you can know your risk per trade when speculating or gambling does NOT mean you are trading. Every game at the roulette table you can know your risk. Think about that…
 
 
2) Real traders create and trade systems. They follow the rules exactly because they know that to break the rules is to break the fundamental expectation of their system which immediately throws them back into the speculation/gambling camp. Oh by the way, casino owners do not gamble; they trade. Think about that too…
 
 
3) True systems can be rigorously forward and back tested and withstand shifts in the market, or at least behave more or less as expected as the market switches between trending and non-trending, high volatility and low volatility.
 
 
4) Real traders take every trade, even when their systems are getting a hammering. Why? Because they know that the next trade could be the turn around, and that their system can weather the storm. Again, to tinker with the system is to immediately be back to speculating and gambling.
 
 
5) All systems experience drawdown. Real traders know this, and they weather it without emotion. You can be flat or in drawdown for an extensive period, but they keep on following the rules. It’s a part of the business.
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