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I Promise I Will Never Do That Again!

  
  Education
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Have you ever experienced doing well for a period of time and then something just snaps and you end up losing a significant amount of money? It happens in a variety of ways and for different reasons, but what typically follows is a self beating-up process, and/or a promise that you will never do THAT again!

Sound familiar? It’s a very common phenomenon.

Unfortunately, the promise you make to yourself typically gets broken again…and again…..and again.  As the pattern continues, the potential for more psychological damage becomes very real.

Over many years as a clinical psychologist people have come to me who are struggling with repetitive problem behaviors. Many of them previously tried various forms of ‘willpower’ without any long-lasting success.

As a trading psychology coach and consultant I can tell you that most traders see the solution as an act of willpower or “trying harder next time”. But I have news for you.  Although willpower is certainly necessary to be a good trader, it alone will not break a deeply rooted problematic pattern. If it was simply a matter of  ‘doing it differently next time’, then many traders would of already done that and the pattern would never appear again.

So, how does one break the pattern? I suggest that the ‘promise’ you make to yourself is not only about willpower, but also a promise to learn about what makes you tick, such as your emotions and your sub-conscious process.

Trading Rules & Strategy

  
  Education
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Trading Rules
  • The purpose– a good set of trading rules promote growth they do not create limitations. Not trading during x period of time is not a rule, it is a limitation. Do not get me wrong there are times when you need to limit yourself but that is not all times. If you have a plan, you will be able to understand when you are most at risk of trading poorly. Eventually, you can work through it. Sometimes all it takes is being aware of it.
  • Simple-They need to be simple. They need to hang over and direct all of your actions. The only way you are going to remember and use them to your fullest ability is if you can understand them. Rules are more simple than limitations.
  • Must apply– Rules or a trading plan are only as good as your ability to apply them. Once again, you have to believe in them, you have to make them your own.
  • Cohesive- All rules needs to eventually act as one. Each rule dependent on another. This will make it easier to follow and understand which one you are breaking. This also makes the application easier.

Strategy (more…)

It's not the trade, it's the battle.

  
  Education
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Too many traders believe that their last trade is a reflection of just how good of a trader they are (but they are the only ones who feel that way about themselves). This boils down to one word – expectation. If you expect to win all the time, or even the vast majority of the time, you’re setting yourself up for a lot of heartache. That frustration, though, is the very same force that will truly make your negative perception of yourself a reality. And even a good trade can be damaging if you let it warp your disciplined approach. The fact of the matter is that this is a game of odds, and should be played over a long period of time. Focus on the war – not the battle.

4 Trading Mistakes

  
  Education
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1.  Do the Math
 

Sit down and go over your expected Risk to Reward Ratio for each trade.  If you have already been trading for a period of time sit down and analyse how much you are making each trade and your winning %.  These two numbers will help you formulate a solid profit goal.  No trading strategy works 100% of the time so you need to work out how much you lose per losing trade vs. how much you make per winning trade and then figure in your percentages.  From there you should have a realistic idea of how much you can expect to make in through your trading. 

2.  Don’t Expect Instant Returns
 

Trading is a business and like any other business it requires not only capital investment but time investment as well.  It takes time to find your rhythm and develop your trading skills.  Try not to be to hard on yourself during the learning phase and remember to focus on the positive aspects of your trading.  The vast majority of traders lose money and this number is even higher with traders who are just starting out.  Factor this in when you are setting your goals.

3.  Skill vs. Profits
 

Try to come up with goals that are not directly tied to your P&L statements.  For example, set a goal of following your rules for every trade for an entire trading day.  Once that is completed shoot for an entire week, then a month, and pretty soon you will be doing following your rules without even realising it.   Train yourself to develop your trading skills and reward yourself when you reach those goals. 

4.  It Takes Money
 

It takes money to make money.  Small accounts are fantastic for testing out whether or not trading is for you but when you get serious and want to go full time make sure you have enough capital to support your business.  Solid traders should expect to make 8% in the market over the course of a month.  That equates to 96% over a given trading year.  Make sure this figure allows you to have the lifestyle that you are expecting. 

Active learning is the key

  
  Education
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Research shows that you can learn more in few days than you can learn in a year. A focused approach to solving a problem where you put lot of efforts in short period of time leads to expansion of you ability to process and analyse information. That is survival mechanism.  
This is the principle used by armies to train people. Intense burst of 4-5 days of learnings lead to more learning than a long  drawn out plan. Once you get in to learning zone, you would learn more quickly. The more load you add to a learner more efficient he becomes in processing the information.
The most effective learning state is where you are loaded with more work than you can handle and you are continuously challenged. If you go back and look at your own intense learning phases you would see this. Goal of learning skills and procedural stuff is not knowledge acquisition but to change your perceived self efficacy belief.
Learning is complete when your self efficacy beliefs change. Self efficacy beliefs change if you experience mastery experience. When do you experience mastery experience ? When you stretch yourself.
The other pre requisite to experiencing a mastery experience is you have to be actively doing a task. That is why passive video based methods and trading guides and self paced programs, though popular do not work as well as bootcamp kind stretch sessions. Bootcamp style learning methods involve active participation and active learning style.
If you really want to improve your trading results you should look seriously at learning models and select a method which will enhance your skills faster. In a bootcamp kind of environment, you just have to focus like crazy  for  3-5 and try and keep up with the intense pace of learning. The grater demand put on learning capabilities in such methods results in enhancing your own efforts. As a result of that  you will find your abilities will improve dramatically in just days. 
There is abundance of information in public domain to learn trading in the form of books, curses, ebooks, videos, and so on. But most of it puts a trainee in passive learning mode.There is no active effort the trainee has to make . So it becomes like watching porn, it does not improve your actual sex life. 

When should traders be in or out of the market?

  
  Education
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There are times when traders should NOT be in the market. There are other times when the market is rocking and traders should get aggressive. How can you tell the difference? Here are 5 helpful tips.

1) Accumulation and Distribution Days: When should traders go to cash? Follow the big boys! The big institutions control the market, so pay attention to their actions by tracking accumulation anddistribution days. When institutional selling builds up over a short period of time (2-4 weeks) AND leading stocks start to break down, that is a great sign to start raising cash. Why? Because 4 out of 5 stocks move in the general direction of the market. I don’t care how good the company is, when the market’s in a downtrend, you don’t want to fight it.

2) Uptrends and Downtrends: Don’t get caught up with the terms Bull and Bear market. Just recognize if we are in an uptrend or a downtrend. For example, use the 50-day moving average on the NASDAQ Composite as a general indicator to be in or out of the market. Above the line usually means we’re in an uptrend and it’s a green light to be in stocks…below the line, downtrend and red light.

3) Scale In: When conditions start to improve, SLOWLY scale back in. There’s no reason to rush. Take a few positions and test the waters. If the rally is for real, there will be PLENTY OF TIME to make money. If you are wrong, at least you can get out quick with minimal damage and protect your portfolio. Think Defense First!

4) Buy the Strongest Earnings & Sales Growth: When markets are in a confirmed uptrend, what stocks should you buy? Be in the best! Don’t settle for low rate stocks. Look for companies that have strong earnings and sales growth. Why be in dead-money stocks with little growth potential? We’re in this to make money, right? So be in stocks that have a higher probability of moving up!

5) Fundamentals AND Technicals: Why does it only have to be one or the other? Why not USE BOTH! We want as many factors as possible in our favor when trading the market. Therefore, start with strong fundamental companies AND combine the proper technical timing to identify ideal entry points to effect your best risk vs reward trades. (more…)

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