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Quotes by Paul Tudor Jones II

  
  Education
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Paul Tudor Jones II is one of the most successful hedge fund managers. He has never suffered a losing year. His fund has returned 23% annualized gain since its inception in 1986. Paul Tudor is a momentum trader, who believes that price move and trend unfold only because of investors’ behavior.

Markets have consistently experienced “100-year events” every five years. While I spend a significant amount of my time on analytics and collecting fundamental information, at the end of the day, I am a slave to the tape and proud of it.

I see the younger generation hampered by the need to understand and rationalize why something should go up or down. Usually, by the time that becomes self-evident, the move is already over.

There is no training — classroom or otherwise — that can prepare for trading the last third of a move, whether it’s the end of a bull market or the end of a bear market. There’s typically no logic to it; irrationality reigns supreme, and no class can teach what to do during that brief, volatile reign. The only way to learn how to trade during that last, exquisite third of a move is to do it, or, more precisely, live it.

Fundamentals might be good for the first third or first 50 or 60 percent of a move, but the last third of a great bull market is typically a blow-off, whereas the mania runs wild and prices go parabolic.

Quotes by Paul Tudor Jones II

  
  Education
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Paul Tudor Jones II is one of the most successful hedge fund managers. He has never suffered a losing year. His fund has returned 23% annualized gain since its inception in 1986. Paul Tudor is a momentum trader, who believes that price move and trend unfold only because of investors’ behavior.

Markets have consistently experienced “100-year events” every five years. While I spend a significant amount of my time on analytics and collecting fundamental information, at the end of the day, I am a slave to the tape and proud of it.

I see the younger generation hampered by the need to understand and rationalize why something should go up or down. Usually, by the time that becomes self-evident, the move is already over.

There is no training — classroom or otherwise — that can prepare for trading the last third of a move, whether it’s the end of a bull market or the end of a bear market. There’s typically no logic to it; irrationality reigns supreme, and no class can teach what to do during that brief, volatile reign. The only way to learn how to trade during that last, exquisite third of a move is to do it, or, more precisely, live it.

Fundamentals might be good for the first third or first 50 or 60 percent of a move, but the last third of a great bull market is typically a blow-off, whereas the mania runs wild and prices go parabolic.

Life Lessons from Trading

  
  Education
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In trading, we can all agree that fewer conditions or filters results in better conclusions, better understanding, and less curve fitting. Conditions or filters block information. Too filters can result in less new insight and fewer opportunities.

Here is where trading is a good lesson for life. As we grow older our tendency is to filter out information, people, paths. It’s partly a necessity to avoid the bad or overload, but good things can be missed. Our experience tends to specialize our knowledge and narrow our focus. Though this has some benefit in expertise what opportunities or knowledge or growth may be missed. Ignoring, filtering or refusing to hear or listen to ideas we disagree with or that are different than our own may lead to narrow mindedness, missed opportunity to change and important information. For younger people it might be seen as closing doors. Meeting new people, hearing new ideas, going to new places. Nobel laureates advise not to tighten parameters too tightly as the surprise result may reveal itself. I recommend opening up parameters, let the fresh air in. Let’s not become grumpy old men. We’ve seen closed small minded people and don’t look on them with respect. Broad vision is necessary to see above and beyond the noise. You really need to force yourself against the tendency to close the mind.

My Trading Resolutions for next 3 months

  
  Education
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  • Think for myself
  • Stay focused on the reasons why I bought a stock and sell when those reasons are no longer compelling
  • Don’t let successful trades turn into losses
  • Be ruled less by emotion and fear and more by logic and knowledge
  • Read some good books on trading
  • To avoid being whipsawed, I will give myself more room for the trade to work
  • Follow my own rules
  • Be easier on myself when I screw up and don’t let my ego inflate when I’m right
  • Don’t force trades – there will always be another opportunity
  • Honor thy stops!
  • Stop chasing hot and popular stocks
  • Do my own research
  • Keep learning
  • Learn to be less nervous and take more risks
  • Remember that lost opportunity is better than lost capital
  • Trade less – don’t overtrade
  • To try and limit the number of opinions I allow to affect my trading. Paralysis by analysis has hurt me
  • Avoid any trade where I use the word “hope” in my reasoning process
  • To follow my logical, well-conceived, long-term game plan, without making irrational changes due to short-term market conditions
  • Tune out the daily noise and useless banter
  • Reduce the number of positions currently held
  • Have more faith in my own abilities
  • In trading, learn to be fearless
  • Don’t be too greedy
  • Slow down!
  • Incorporate the use of smart trailing stops
  • Use ETFs to properly diversify
  • Remove my ego from my trading decisions
  • Avoid getting easily frustrated or impatient
  • Control and limit my losses
  • Focus on making the next trade, instead of the last one
  • I will not average down into losing positions
  • Create more careful and detailed records with a commitment to review them regularly
  • Learn to incorporate a systematic screening method like you
  • Use emotions (both personal and market) to my own advantage
  • Know my exits before making any trade
  • Don’t be swayed by the latest and greatest strategy I hear about
  • Keep it simple. Complex strategies are no better
  • Avoid crowded trades
  • Take time to look for reasons NOT to buy
  • Let profits run longer. take losses quicker
  • Trade what I see, not what I want to see
  • Be more proactive and react faster to situations I find
  • Make bigger, but less frequent trades
  • Stay patient
  • Focus on value of companies and not on the temporary market emotions
  • Be more nimble
  • Keep better notes
  • Adopt an opportunistic versus a rigid bull or bear bias toward the market
  • Enjoy the game more
  • To quit counting the value of my account on a daily basis
  • Stop looking for the holy grail
  • Figure out what trade related information to consume on a daily basis and keep what is useful and leave out that which is not
  • Avoid information overload by limiting what I read
  • Don’t read stock blogs
  • Turn off the TV and dedicate more of my time to become a better trader
  • Set up a lazy portfolio
  • Focus on proper asset allocation
  • Never forget that “when you are through learning you are through”
  • Recognize mistakes early, exit, and move on
  • Take partial profits routinely, but keep money on high-performing stocks
  • Follow my system
  • To screen & scan my watchlist in a consistent manner each and every time
  • Take routine breaks away from the market to refresh and gain more perspective
  • Add more fundamental research to my technical research
  • Concentrate on finding just one really good idea per year like Warren Buffett
  • Stop searching for shortcuts or quick fixes – take baby steps
  • Read at least 3 more trading books in next 3 months
  • Focus, focus, focus – ignore all outside distractions
  • When a strategy works, have the courage to follow it through, when it does not work, to have the wisdom to stop trading
  • Find and exploit long-range sector themes
  • Open my ears and keep my mouth shut
  • Never panic
  • Be humble

Trading psychology

  
  Education
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  • Trading psychologyStop trying to outsmart the market. NO ONE knows exactly where it will go.
  • With each decision you make comes stress:
    • The more decisions you make, the more likely you are to be wrong.
    • The more decisions you are used to making, the more pressure you’ll put on yourself to make even more decisions.
    • No one can be that right.
  • Forget about the “whys’ of the market. After all is said and done, the reasons will be known.
  • Don’t apply logic. Markets move on emotions — period!
  • Plan your trade and trade your plan.
  • Reduce the amount of decisions you make.
  • Make decisions and live with them (also a life lesson!).
    • Good decisions come from experience.
    • Experience comes from bad decisions.

    • MARK DOUGLAS -On 5% Successful Traders

      
      Education
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    douglasquote

    There is a reason why so few traders succeed.  It is not for lack of study or effort or passion.  It is not for lack of education or a Bloomberg platform subscription.  It is not because only a select few have access to technical “secrets” (a.k.a. indicators).  No.  So few succeed at trading for the same reason that so few succeed at living an abundant life.

    The unsuccessful refuse to think differently when faced with difficulties believing that luck has passed them by.  They do not succeed because the want of instant gratification and its fleeting rewards has replaced the need for sustainable, hard fought, earned rewards indicative of a mindset prepared to tackle failure as nothing but a mathematical equation: here is the problem now let’s find the solution.

    The mediocre search for easy answers to difficult problems believing that the right answers to their questions are found somewhere “out there”.   The successful make difficult decisions where there are no easy answers, questioning whether their perception of what is out there is a distorted reflection of what is inside of them.

    The best traders, according to Mark Douglas, think differently than others because they know that what is most important is “how they think about what they do and how they’re thinking when they do it.”

    Characteristics of Successful Traders

      
      Education
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    successfultraders

    1. CONFIDENCE: absolutely essential in an environment that feeds on emotional    instability.

    2. TRUST: if you cannot trust yourself who can you trust? Trust your rules, trust your edge, trust that you will do the right thing-no matter what!

    3. FOCUS: you will never learn all there is to learn about the market.  Push your ego aside and focus on one market and one edge.

    4.  ACCEPTANCE:  you have to accept what the market is willing to give or you will give the market what it wants to take. (more…)

    Good Points on Trading psychology

      
      Education
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    • Stop trying to outsmart the market. NO ONE knows exactly where it will go.
    • With each decision you make comes stress:Forget about the “whys’ of the market. After all is said and done, the reasons will be known.FORU
      • The more decisions you make, the more likely you are to be wrong.
      • The more decisions you are used to making, the more pressure you’ll put on yourself to make even more decisions.
      • No one can be that right.
    • Don’t apply logic. Markets move on emotions — period!
    • Plan your trade and trade your plan.
    • Reduce the amount of decisions you make.
    • Make decisions and live with them (also a life lesson!).
      • Good decisions come from experience.
      • Experience comes from bad decisions.

    AFFIRMING BETTER TRADING

      
      Education
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    “Any thought put into your mind and nourished regularly, will produce results in your life.” John Kehoe

    An affirmation is a statement made in the present about the future as if it had already occurred in the past. Let me say it more simply. An affirmation is a simple statement about what you want to become true in your life. You state it in the present tense as if it were already true. You repeat your hopes and dreams. You declare the opposite of your fears. For example, the fear that you could lose all your money becomes: “I grow my capital through consistently applying my winning methods.”

    Be careful to word the affirmation in the present tense. Statements made in the future stay in the future. “Next month I’ll turn my trading around.” stays out there in the future. Now is when you need to turn the trading around.

    Affirmations can be repeated to yourself silently or aloud. You can incant them with feeling or whisper them to yourself. You can record them and play them, or write them and read them. A good time to assert them is just as you’re falling asleep or waking up, or any other time of the day. You can say them while you drive or wait in a bank line or as you watch the market or manage a trade. (more…)

    Reaction in Your Brain When Your Market View Is Completely Wrong

      
      Education
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    Eric Barker has a new article (link here) on how to win every argument. The article had a point which made me think whether the same situation happens in trading.

    brainSo it quoted an experiment by psychologist Drew Westen, which showed to supporters, footage of their favorite candidates completely contradicting himself. The experiment found that as soon as the people realized that the information contradicted their world view, the parts of the brain that handle reason and logic went dormant, while the parts of the brain that handle hostile attacks – the fight-or-flight response – lit up. Essentially logic gets thrown out the window, and it just becomes a fight where you do anything to win.

    A similar situation occurs in trading, when you have a certain expectation of how the market should behave. E.g. you might for various reasons, think that the market will go up. So when the market does not follow what you expect, you might initially make up excuses for it. However when the market continues to go completely in the opposite direction of what you expect, your logic and reasoning centers would shut down, your fight-or-flight response kicks in, you treat it like a hostile attack on you, and you would do anything to win (or not lose), e.g. keep averaging down. I’m sure this sequence of events led to many traders blowing up their accounts. It is pretty interesting that the experiment showed this as a ‘natural expected’ behavior.

    As always, trade what you see, not what you think.

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