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North Korea says it is able to immediately launch a nuclear attack

A piece in Korean media, Dong A Libo, reporting that North Korea had described plans to “put strategic armed forces on a high alert operation”

It means that North Korea is able to immediately launch a nuclear attack anywhere in Northeast Asia, stressing that it owns leadership for nuclear deterrent,” said Ryu Sung-yeob, a senior researcher at the Korea Research Institute for Military Affairs.
That does not sound too encouraging.
A piece in Korean media, Dong A Libo, reporting that North Korea had described plans to "put strategic armed forces on a high alert operation"

On the politics front today – China expected to pass Hong Kong law

Its expected that the national security law will pass China’s National People’s Congress (NPC) parliament Thursday 28 May 2020.

This (in very brief) law imposes a new national security law in Hong Kong, bypassing the city’s legislature, with stricter measures on sedition, secession and subversion against Beijing. The new law allows mainland Chinese national security agencies to operate in HK.
I’ve been saying on this law that the NPC passing it is basically a done deal, the annual parliament sits to rubber stamp drafts. To that extent its passing is an event factored into the market already.

South Korea sees fresh spike in coronavirus cases amid outbreak in e-commerce warehouse

South Korea reported 40 new cases in the past day, the highest total in 49 days

Korea

This comes after e-commerce firm, Coupang, reported an outbreak at its logistics center located in Buncheon with at least 36 cases linked to the fresh cluster at the moment.

The firm did already say that it has moved to test 3,600 people at its facility after the reported incident. Once again, tracking and tracing is going to be the utmost importance here.
The fear is that it could lead to a widespread community transmission that may result in secondary wave of infections in the country.
If you need reminding, South Korea also had an incident at the start of the month where one infected person who visited nightclubs led to a resurgence in the number of virus cases. As of yesterday, the nightclub-linked cases has increased to 257 persons.

The PBOC is expected to cut interest rates, RRR in H2 to support the economy

What’s ahead from the People’s Bank of China, China’s Global Times with the heads up:

  • highly likely to announce interest rate cuts or reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts in the second half of the year
  • to help accelerate an economic recovery from the negatives induced by the COVID-19 outbreak and external uncertainties
  • cuts are most likely to be made on interest rates for the standing lending facility (SLF) and RRR
  • PBOC will use a variety of tools including reserve requirement ratio cuts, interest rate reductions and re-lending
  • the Bank wants M2 money supply and aggregate financing to grow at notably higher rates than last year
GT citing Chinese experts examining the monetary policy related information in this year’s Government Work Report.
This policy is aimed at more support for liquidity, firms and the consumer. If it lifts China’s economy it should be supportive of China and China-proxy trades.
What's ahead from the People's Bank of China, China's Global Times with the heads up: 

North Korea appears to have fired another missile – has not landed in Japan’s EEZ

The Japanese Coast Guard says the unidentified projectile appears not to have land inside Japan’s economic zone.

  • missile has landed in the East Sea
“EEZ” is exclusive economic zone
a sea zone prescribed by the 1982 United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea
Japans EEZ is in debate, but its approx. the area in the darker blue area in the map below
The Japanese Coast Guard says the unidentified projectile appears not to have land inside Japan's economic zone.

UN sec-gen ‘deeply concerned’ North Korea said it could resume weapons tests

Celebrated trolls of the year (2019 version) North Korea / Kim Jong Un are off to a lead position for 2020.

Kim Jong Un said earlier in the week that there are no longer grounds for him to be limited by his self-declared moratorium on intercontinental ballistic missile and nuclear weapon testing & a “new strategic weapon” will be unveiled in the near future
Prompting United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres to say (through a spokesperson) that he hopes there will no new tests.
The 2020 US election year will be, I suspect, very interesting indeed. In Chinese curse terms that is.

Key Apple suppliers ready more non-China production

The world’s two largest contract electronics suppliers, Foxconn and Quanta Computer, said on Wednesday that they will continue to move production capacity out of China to cope with the protracted trade war.

“The U.S.-China trade war is very dynamic and our clients are monitoring the situation closely,” Foxconn Chairman Young Liu told reporters. “We have to be well prepared and expand capacity at the fastest pace when our clients make decisions [to move].”

Formally traded as Hon Hai Precision Industry, Foxconn’s other key clients include China’s Huawei Technologies, Google, Amazon and Tesla. The company makes a wide range of goods such as smartphones, PCs, servers and electronics components, many of which have been hit by Washington’s tariffs.

Foxconn has manufacturing facilities in 16 countries, but 75% of its capacity is in China. It is the country’s largest employer and exporter. But now the company’s decadeslong production portfolio has begun to change owing to the trade tensions. (more…)

China announces plans for the economy

Some plans from the China government to support the economy

  • Plans to deepen medium and small lenders reforms, and to improve their governance and internal risk control
  • To deepen state owned enterprise reforms, support medium and small firms to develop
  • To improve legal environment that supports private economy and foreign entities
  • to prevent various kinds of risks and to keep a stable economy
  • to support capital replenishment of small to medium banks via multiple channels
  • to strengthen financial infrastructure supervision and development
  • to make financial institutions, local governments and financial regulators to carry out their responsibilities
  • China is set a punitive compensation system for intellectual property infringement (is that internally in China or does it include compensation to foreign companies that are subject to IP infringement?)
A list of “to do’s” as the US -China trade talks continue toward a Phase I fnish line (which is not yet reached).

Nissan to post 90% profit drop and cut thousands more jobs

— Nissan Motor is expected to report a more than 90% plunge in first-quarter operating profit on Thursday, Nikkei has learned, and will cut up to 7% of its global workforce as it braces for one of the worst years in a decade.

Operating profit in the April to June period will come in at less than 10 billion yen, down from 109.1 billion yen ($1 billion) for the same period a year earlier.

The Japanese automaker issued a statement saying that it expects the result “to be close to the figure reported” in the Nikkei article, which it described as “speculative.”

Sales in the U.S., one of Nissan’s biggest markets, continue to fall, while the costs of developing electric vehicles and autonomous driving technologies are weighing heavily on profits.

The company is now scrambling to reduce production capacity and intends to increase the planned 4,800 job cuts announced in May to more than 10,000 out of a 139,000-strong workforce.

Data from QUICK FactSet shows the automaker’s operating profit also fell below 10 billion yen for January to March. The last time Nissan’s operating performance dropped so sharply was in January-March 2009, when the company recorded a loss of 200 billion yen.

Nissan is scheduled formally to announce the first-quarter results on Thursday afternoon. (more…)

China only a hair away from US in Fortune Global 500

China is now neck and neck with the U.S. in Fortune Global 500 members, reflecting a shift in economic power that lies at the heart of trade tensions between Beijing and Washington.

This year’s ranking of the world’s 500 largest businesses by year-earlier revenue includes 119 Chinese companies, up from 111 in 2018. U.S. enterprises declined to 121 from 126. Two decades ago, Chinese entries numbered in the single digits. So “though China has a stronger presence near the bottom of the roster than the top, it’s clear where the momentum is,” wrote Clifton Leaf, editor-in-chief of Fortune magazine.

Among the 39 Chinese companies in this year’s top 150, all but five are state-owned enterprises. They include banks, automakers, and such energy giants as Sinopec Group, China National Petroleum and State Grid, which have solidified their positions in the top 10.

Major Chinese major technology companies are rapidly moving up the ladder, with Alibaba Group Holding and Tencent Holdings climbing 118 and 94 rungs to No. 182 and No. 237. Hong Kong-listed Xiaomi debuted on the list at No. 468.

These patterns highlight core issues underlying the Sino-American trade war: China’s rising economic prowess, a technology race where it is rapidly catching up, and a clash of economic paradigms. (more…)

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