Nikkei 225 closes higher by 8.04% at 19,546.63

Three solid days of gains on the trot for the Nikkei

Nikkei 25-03

The Nikkei closes at its highs for the day as equities are getting a boost from the US reaching a stimulus deal to combat the economic fallout from the virus outbreak.
The mood among Asian equities is also more positive after solid gains from Europe and Wall Street yesterday, with the Dow posting 11% gains – the most since 1933.
The Hang Seng is up by just over 3% with Chinese indices also up by just over 2% as we approach the closing stages of Asia Pacific trading.
The overall risk mood is leaning more positive but again, a deal in Washington is very much expected so can this stay the course and keep the risk mood upbeat today?
We’ll have to wait and see. The timing couldn’t be more tricky as we have seen three weeks of carnage in the market and bear market bounces tend to be among the sharpest.
In the currencies space, the aussie and kiwi are leading the charge as they both surged higher after the US agreement. The dollar remains on the back foot still as the market seeks a calmer mood so far on the trading week.

Nikkei reports: China is doubling down on demands that may threaten trade deal

Cold feet again?

The Nikkei is reporting that Beijing has double down on demands that may threaten to delay a preliminary trade agreement with the US.
The report says that China is digging in on insisting that US withdrawal all tariffs levied since summer of last year before entering an agreement.  Pres. Trump is likely not thinking along those lines in Phase I of what will be a drawn out process.
Phase 1 is intended to focus on expanding American imports into China, but does not address the key structural issues like IP theft.
Trade deals sound good on paper but once the rubber meets the road and both parties dig in a bit more, the risks of a deal break down are real.
The US stock market is taking it in stride. The major indices are trading little changed on the day.
Gold meanwhile is down $25 or -1.67% which suggests no worries/be happy.
If the rhetoric becomes more pervasive, however, we could see a reversal of the market forces going forward.
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Nissan to post 90% profit drop and cut thousands more jobs

— Nissan Motor is expected to report a more than 90% plunge in first-quarter operating profit on Thursday, Nikkei has learned, and will cut up to 7% of its global workforce as it braces for one of the worst years in a decade.

Operating profit in the April to June period will come in at less than 10 billion yen, down from 109.1 billion yen ($1 billion) for the same period a year earlier.

The Japanese automaker issued a statement saying that it expects the result “to be close to the figure reported” in the Nikkei article, which it described as “speculative.”

Sales in the U.S., one of Nissan’s biggest markets, continue to fall, while the costs of developing electric vehicles and autonomous driving technologies are weighing heavily on profits.

The company is now scrambling to reduce production capacity and intends to increase the planned 4,800 job cuts announced in May to more than 10,000 out of a 139,000-strong workforce.

Data from QUICK FactSet shows the automaker’s operating profit also fell below 10 billion yen for January to March. The last time Nissan’s operating performance dropped so sharply was in January-March 2009, when the company recorded a loss of 200 billion yen.

Nissan is scheduled formally to announce the first-quarter results on Thursday afternoon. Continue reading »