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Ten Ways to Trade Like the Legendary Bill O’Neil

  
  Education
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If  one of the greatest traders in the world told you how to buy and sell the best stocks for the most profits would you listen? Well we have a chance to do just that with Bill O’Neil’s book “How to Make Money in Stocks”. His lifetime of research on how the market actually works is in his book.  Not his opinions but through studying the markets as a scientist would.

Not only did O’Neil’s firm study the best performing stocks of the past 100+ years but the AAII tested his system among fifty others for 12 years in real time and it won!

From January 1998 through December 2010, the American Association of Individual Investors has conducted an independent, real-time study of over 50 leading investing strategies, including CAN SLIM. The results show that IBD’s CAN SLIM strategy outperformed all other strategies, gaining +2,487.3% while the S&P 500 rose just 29.6%.

“After surveying all the top performing equity managers in the United States, Bill O’Neil was number one. His track record is second to none. And I’ve always wanted to work for the best.”

“In terms of long-term track record, yes. He has the best numbers. If you go back 20-25 years and you stack all the guys together that have been in the market that long, Bill’s got the highest returns. Higher than Peter Lynch. Higher than Buffett. It’s fantastic. I’ve painstakingly studied each of the firm’s market calls from I think it was 1968 onward because I wanted to see exactly where O’Neil was saying buy and sell. It just struck me, this accumulation/distribution and follow-through day technique works great because he’s never missed a major bull or a major bear market.”-Chris Kasher

  1. Do not diversify broadly, instead focus on the leading stocks in the best industry groups.
  2. Cut any loss when the stock is down 7%/8% from your buy point.
  3. Buy stocks that are going up in value, not down.
  4. Add to a position as the stock goes up in value from your buy point not at lower prices.
  5. Buy stocks near their highs for the year not their lows.
  6. Study price charts to discover how the best stocks behaved historically in price action.
  7. Trade long based on the trend of the general market.
  8. Buy the best stocks in the market as they break out of properly formed bases or when they bounce off their 50 day moving averages.
  9. Do not be influenced by others trade your plan.
  10. Buy stocks with the best earnings and sales growth at the right time using charts.

The Elements of Achievements

  
  Education
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Faulkner’s list of the six key steps to achievement Prices are Nonrandom = The Markets can be Beat
1. using both “Toward” and “Away From” motivation;
2. having a goal of full capability plus, with anything less being unacceptable;
3. breaking down potentially overwhelming goals into chunks, with satisfaction garnered from completion of each individual steps;
4. keeping full concentration on the present moment – that is, the single task at hand rather than the long-term goals;
5. being personally involved in achieving goals (as opposed to depending on others); and
6. making self-to-self comparisons to measure progress.

Robert Krausz’s basic tasks necessary to become a winning trader.
7. Develop a competent analytical methodology.
8. Extract a reasonable trading plan from this methodology.
9. Formulate rules for this plan that incorporate money management techniques.
10. Back-test the plan over a sufficiently long period.
11. Exercise self-management so that you adhere to the plan. The best plan in the world cannot work if you don’t act on it.

7 Basic Truths of Trading

  
  Education
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  1. Well-defined objectives. Are you trying to beat a certain return hurdle, like inflation or an index? Are you trying to generate 5% or 50% returns per year? You have to understand what you are trying to do and then bend your investment process around it. The other way around isn’t possible.
  2. An understanding of the markets that you will be operating in. Stick to what you know. Narrow your focus so as to make the most of your efforts. You need to know everything about the markets where you’re taking positions.
  3.  A clearly defined methodology for getting into and out of positions. This includes which indicators, news items, fundamental data points you look at and when you take action. This is your checklist—you should have it so well defined that you can be sure of the exact steps along the way. You need a game plan so that you stay consistent and disciplined and don’t get flustered under pressure. It should become automatic and engrained.
  4. This methodology must utilize your strengths and skills and suit your personality. A cerebral, research-driven economist should put that to work, instead of becoming a swing trader based on technical analysis. An adrenaline-fueled athlete should be an intraday trader, not be a long-term trend follower. Remember, every successful trader has a methodology of their own which plays to their strengths and their personality.
  5. This methodology has a positive statistical expectancy– the gains from winners more than outweigh the losses on losing trades. Use your own statistics and the Kelly Formula for a rough guide as to whether or not you have positive statistical expectancy.  On average you want to expect to win on an individual trade, meaning that your expected wins outweigh your prospective losses. That doesn’t guarantee that you will actually profit on each trade, it just means that over a sufficiently large quantity of trades, you will come out ahead.
  6. A well-stated risk management policy for when you get out of losing positions and how you manage risk overall. Cut losers. Let winners ride.  Many people have tried to overthink this rule and ended up losing as a result. Furthermore, you never want to put yourself in a position where you can blow up, so you need to be thinking how you can avoid taking excessive risk in the first place. Just remember Warren Buffett’s Two Rules:A framework for sizing positions. This is related to risk management— obviously, you don’t want to take a position that’s over a certain size, ever. But you may also want to size positions according to certain specific critieria, such as your conviction in the position or volatility in the market. Or they could all be the same size. Nonetheless, your methodology has to be able to address it and come up with a well-reasoned answer.
    1. Never Lose Money.
    2. Never Forget Rule #1.
    1. A framework for sizing positions. This is related to risk management— obviously, you don’t want to take a position that’s over a certain size, ever. But you may also want to size positions according to certain specific critieria, such as your conviction in the position or volatility in the market. Or they could all be the same size. Nonetheless, your methodology has to be able to address it and come up with a well-reasoned answer.
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