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Peter Lynch

Probably you have heard of Peter Lynch. But did you know that in 13 years, from 1977 to
1990, the Fidelity Magellan Fund he managed grew from $20m to a whopping $14b?!
One of his famous buy, Subaru, was already up twentyfold when he bought the stock and he made sevenfold after that.

Quotes from Peter are as follows:
“Go for a business that any idiot can run – because sooner or later, any idiot is probably going to run it.”

“If you stay half-alert, you can pick the spectacular performers right from your place of business or out of the neighborhood shopping mall, and long before Wall Street discovers them.”

“Investing without research is like playing stud poker and never looking at the cards.”

“Absent a lot of surprises, stocks are relatively predictable over twenty years. As to whether they’re going to be higher or lower in two to three years, you might as well flip a coin to decide.” (more…)

RBI hikes export credit refinance rate to 5 per cent

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) today said the standing liquidity facilities provided to banks (export credit refinance) and primary dealers (PDs) under the collateralised liquidity support would be at the revised repo rate, ie, 5.0 per cent with effect from 20 March 2010.

The RBI had, in its monetary policy announcement on 19 March, had increased the fixed repo rate under the Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF) by 25 basis points from 4.75 per cent to 5.0 per cent with immediate effect.

The RBI, while announcing its monetary policy measures, had said that there had been significant macroeconomic developments since the third quarter review in January 2010.

Advance estimates by the CSO for 2009-10 and for Q3 of 2009-10 suggest that the recovery is consolidating, RBI noted. Data on industrial production currently available up to January 2010 show that the uptrend is being maintained.

Zero is Bottom

The markets have a clearly defined Zero-value. This has several important implications. First, traders often discount the possibility of something becoming absolutely worthless (i.e. going to zero), so the more the price goes down, the greater the traders’ tendency is to believe that it has a higher probability of going up again; therefore the temptation to catch the bottom and go long becomes compelling (despite its irrationality). Traders must realize that how they are hardwired to think as people is not necessarily the way they should think as a trader. There is a reason why 90% of people who attempt to make a living as a trader end up failing and it is not because of intelligence, information, technology or effort. In a nutshell, I believe failure in trading is because of a lack of self-awareness. The solution is to compartmentalize your thinking. When you are interacting in society or at home, let yourself think like a person; but when you sit down to trade, you need to think objectively by evaluating risk/reward as a trader should.

10 Quotes from: Where Are the Customers’ Yachts?

where_customers_yachtsMarkets can be very violent on the downside. The old saying —  Markets ride the escalator to the top and the elevator to the bottom — is still quite relevant.

The past week or so has been a rocky one to say the least. This is the time to review the lessons learned from the past. The alternative of listening to hysterical nonsense from forecasters will only lead you to heaps of trouble.

Where the Customers’ Yachts? is a timeless relic which should be read by anyone who professes the slightest interest in finance.  Though written after the infamous 1929 crash, its contents are completely applicable in 2016. In the words of Mike Bloomberg in his review of this classic tale, “The more things change, the more they remain the same. Only the names have been changed to protect the innocent.”

Here are ten quotes that can serve as a force field to ward of investment charlatans. Ignore these quotes at your own peril:

  • Wall Street Greed“At the close of the day’s business, they take all the money and throw it up in the air. Everything that sticks to the ceiling belongs to the clients.”  Merrill Lynch Structured Notes, anyone? Yes, the customers got to keep 5%.
  • The Value of Market Predictions “It seems that the immature mind has a regrettable tendency to believe, as actually true, that which it only hopes to be true.” 90% chance ‘Remain’ wins the referendum… OOPS!
  • Financial Salesman Having an Answer to the Unanswerable “Now if you do someone the single honor of asking him a difficult question, you may be assured that you will get a detailed answer. Rarely will it be the most difficult of all answers – ‘I Don’t Know.’” Market pundits who were completely wrong on Brexit, telling you what to do now.

(more…)

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