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rssWhy Most Trader Lose Money?
Because they would rather lose money than admit they’re wrong. What is the ultimate rationalization of a trader in a losing position? “I’ll get out when I’m even.” Why is getting out even so important? Because it protects the ego. I became a winning trader when I was able to say, “To hell with my ego, making money is more important.”
Goals reduce your current happiness
When you’re working toward a goal, you are essentially saying, “I’m not good enough yet, but I will be when I reach my goal.”
The problem with this mindset is that you’re teaching yourself to always put happiness and success off until the next milestone is achieved. “Once I reach my goal, then I’ll be happy. Once I achieve my goal, then I’ll be successful.”
SOLUTION: Commit to a process, not a goal. (more…)
This is what Pokemon GO euphoria looks like. A stunning chart
One Liners
1. Once, all villagers decided to pray for rain, on the day of prayer all the People gathered but only one boy came with an umbrella…THAT’S FAITH
2. When you throw a baby in the air, she laughs because she knows you will catch her…THAT’S TRUST
3. Every night we go to bed, without any assurance of being alive the next Morning but still we set the alarms in our watch to wake up…THAT’S HOPE
4. We plan big things for tomorrow in spite of zero knowledge of the future or having any certainty of uncertainties…THAT’S CONFIDENCE
5. We see the world suffering. We know there is every possibility of same or similar things happening to us. But still we get married??..THAT’S OVER CONFIDENCE!!
What Happens in Your Brain When Your Market View Is Completely Wrong
Eric Barker has a new article (link here) on how to win every argument. The article had a point which made me think whether the same situation happens in trading.
So it quoted an experiment by psychologist Drew Westen, which showed to supporters, footage of their favorite candidates completely contradicting himself. The experiment found that as soon as the people realized that the information contradicted their world view, the parts of the brain that handle reason and logic went dormant, while the parts of the brain that handle hostile attacks – the fight-or-flight response – lit up. Essentially logic gets thrown out the window, and it just becomes a fight where you do anything to win.
A similar situation occurs in trading, when you have a certain expectation of how the market should behave. E.g. you might for various reasons, think that the market will go up. So when the market does not follow what you expect, you might initially make up excuses for it. However when the market continues to go completely in the opposite direction of what you expect, your logic and reasoning centers would shut down, your fight-or-flight response kicks in, you treat it like a hostile attack on you, and you would do anything to win (or not lose), e.g. keep averaging down. I’m sure this sequence of events led to many traders blowing up their accounts. It is pretty interesting that the experiment showed this as a ‘natural expected’ behavior.
As always, trade what you see, not what you think.
Ed Seykota Quotes – Trend Following Trading Wisdom
- Win or lose, everybody gets what they want out of the market. Some people seem to like to lose, so they win by losing money.
- To avoid whipsaw losses, stop trading.
- Risk no more than you can afford to lose and also risk enough so that a win is meaningful.
- Trend following is an exercise in observing and responding to the ever-present moment of now.
- Fundamentalists and anticipators may have difficulties with risk control because a trade keeps looking ‘better’ the more it goes against them.
- Until you master the basic literature and spend some time with successful traders, you might consider confining your trading to the supermarket.
- I don’t predict a nonexisting future.
The person who truly cares about you never leaves your side.
Discipline Trading
-The market pays you to be disciplined.
-Be disciplined every day, in every trade, and the market will reward you. But don’t
claim to be disciplined if you are not 100 percent of the time.
-Always lower your trade size when you’re trading poorly.
-Never turn a winner into a loser.
-Your biggest loser can?t exceed your biggest winner.
-Develop a methodology and stick with it. don?t change methodologies from day to
day.
-Be yourself. Don?t try to be someone else.
-You always want to be able to come back and play the next day. Once you reach
the daily downside limit, you must turn your PC off and call it a day. You can always come back tomorrow.
-Earn the right to trade bigger. Remember: if you are trading poorly with two lots you
must lower your trade size down to a one lot.
-Get out of your losers.
-The first loss is the best loss.
-Don?t hope and pray. If you do, you will lose.
-don?t worry about news. it?s history.
-Don?t speculate. if you do, you will lose.
-Love to lose money. What I mean is to accept the fact that you are going to have
losing trades throughout the trading session. Get out of your losers quickly. Love to get out of your losers quickly.
-If your trade is not going anywhere in a given timeframe, it?s time to exit.
-Never take a big loss. Only a big loss can hurt you. consistency builds confidence and control.
-Learn to sweat out (scale out) your winners.
-Make the same type of trades over and over again ? be a bricklayer.
don?t over-analyze. don?t procrastinate. don?t hesitate. if you do, you will lose.
all traders are created equal in the eyes of the market.
-It?s the market itself that wields the ultimate scale of justice.
Der Spiegel Cover
