Latest Posts

rss

Book Review :Sell & Sell Short

  
Analysis, Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

Sell and Sell Short (Wiley Trading) by Alexander Elder

If you are searching for a book on trading stocks then look no further, this is it. I have been a successful trader for years and read over 160 books on trading,and in my opinion this is one of the very best. Alexander Elder actually read the change in the market from bull to bear in late 2007 and was able to get this books first edition released in early 2008 when it was needed most.

While as the title suggests it teaches when to sell your stocks for profits, and also does the best job I have seen on explaining short selling and when technical indicators show to short. This book is a complete book for any trader. The main lessons of this book is when to lock in profits and exit a trade using a target, and how to double your potential for profits by not only buying stocks, but also selling stocks short and buying them back at a lower price for profit. Professionals sell short because while overall the stock market drifts upward, when a stock falls it falls over
twice as fast as it rises. I sell short and it is a powerful tool when used correctly. This book will show you when it is appropriate to short.

Dr. Alexander Elder is the only author I am aware of that integrates trading psychology, money management, technical analysis and keeping a trading journal into one book. These four factors will determine whether you are successful in the market or not, even more than the trading method you choose.

You will learn the three great divides in trading:

technical vs. fundamental
trend vs. counter trend
discretionary vs systematic
The author follows a discretionary, technical approach trading counter trend for the most part. However what you learn in this book can be applied to any type of trading. The authors own technical approach uses prices, volume, exponential moving averages (13 day, 26 day), envelopes, MACD, and force index. Limit your tools to no more than five, more is less, any more just causes confusion. The main method you will learn in this book is using the moving averages as a technical base for agreed upon value and buying at the lower edge of the envelope and selling at the high edge of the envelope when you have favorable MACD and force index agreement, or buying at value between the EXP MAs.

If you are going to be a trader you must follow the money management suggestions
in this book. NEVER risk more than 2% of your total equity on a trade, and if you lose 6% of your equity in a month you must stop, clear your head and start back next month. If you follow the 2% rule from the book, it will be a major life lesson in your trading and save you a ton in equity draw downs and will almost completely eliminate your risk of ruin. (more…)

An Interview With A Great Fund Manager

  
Analysis, Education

Fairholme Fund manager Bruce Berkowitz talks with Consuela Mack from WealthTrack. This is a guy that manages 20 Billion USD, and is ranked on the top 1% of the Large Cap funds in US. He has beaten the S&P 500 Index by 11 percent points a year for the last 10 years. (not anything to write home about for a full time pro trader that can aim to double its capital every 2 years, but remarkable for a fund manager)

RBI data :Can create Tremor in Bank Stocks

  
Analysis, Economy, Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

 After looking at the number of Indian Banks….it looks “All is not well ” The numbers are reminiscent of the previous rate hike cycle. The overall asset quality of Indian banks has started deteriorating. The Indian entities endured a long and painful exercise of cleaning up their asset quality. However, they are once again facing problems sustaining the same.



The latest RBI data shows that the Indian banking system’s gross and net NPAs have risen by 50% YoY and 25% YoY respectively. This certainly is a cause for concern. Banks can distort their NPA proportion by growing assets aggressively. But unless they check the quality of growth, their profits are sure to get eroded.

Five Rules of Wealthy Traders

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

1.  Wealthy traders PLAN EVERY SINGLE TRADE. “In simple terms [wealthy traders] know exactly what they want to pay, how much money they anticipate making (or losing) and a very clear idea on the probability of the trade working out.”

2.  Wealthy traders STOPPED TRYING TO PICK TOPS AND BOTTOMS years ago.  “Simply put, 95% of the traders out there that make money are buying higher highs and selling lower lows. [Wealthy traders] do the exact opposite of nearly everyone out there because they found out long ago that picking tops and bottoms is a sucker’s bet.”

3.  Wealthy traders are PATIENT WITH WINNERS and RIDICULOUSLY IMPATIENT WITH LOSERS. “Most traders have a great deal of patience with their losers but get nervous about locking in gains and sell them to quickly – the exact opposite of what wealthy traders do.”

4.  Wealthy traders TRADE ONE MARKET. “Focus on trading one market exceptionally well rather than try to trade whatever’s hot – that’s how wealthy traders do it.”

5.  Wealthy traders gauge success on ANYTHING BUT MONEY. “The growing trading account simply becomes a nice result – a side benefit if you will – of making good decisions and reading the market well.”

The wrong ways to trade

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

Without a plan. Get one already. It does not have to be good right now. I have been accused more than once of always thinking I am always right. I am just confident. The only reason I can be confident is because I am willing to change if the information changes. I have to admit I am wrong a lot. You will have to admit your plan is flawed too.

Without good notes. The market changes very fast. The brain is over stimulated, especially in the beginning. Your recall of events will be better if you write them down. The goal is to learn the most, the cheapest. At the end of the day when you review the charts you will not believe you took that trade. There will be something that you missed that could have helped you to act differently. It is your job to make sure it does not happen again, good notes help.

Not maintain trading environment equilibrium (TEE). Have you ever said or done something that you were not proud of because of emotion? What if you could stop time, take a few breathes, evaluate the situation and then act? You have that opportunity in trading, use it. They say that you regret not saying or doing something when you have a chance. That does not apply to trading. Those situations are a few in a lifetime type situations. No trade is more important than another unless it is your last. Let me say that again, no trade is more important than another unless it is your last. Yes you are going to miss the “winner” but it was hypothetical.

Losing more than you budgeted. Every Rupee counts, for every Rupee you lose you have to make another to get to even. This is not a normal transaction, you are not guaranteed anything other than experience. You should be a better trader tomorrow. There is nothing worse than having to have your “best day ever” to get back to even. Sometimes you are wrong, sometimes your system is broke, be able to trade tomorrow. Tomorrow may be next week.

Not having risk capital. If the market has to go your way a certain amount for you to pay your mortgage you are in trouble. The mind goes from reacting to what is there to hoping and praying. It may work from time to time but it is not a dependable strategy.

To summarize. There are no right ways to do anything, there are more efficient ways but that is based on experience. There is a path to failure, fight those battles. Call your father or those that have/ had a positive effect on you and thank them.

Go to top