Latest Posts
rssTrading Psychology
Your biggest enemy, when trading, is within yourself. Success will only come when you learn to control your emotions. Edwin Lefevre’s
Reminiscences of a Stock Operator (1923) offers advice that still applies today.
Caution
Excitement (and fear of missing an opportunity) often persuade us to enter the market before it is safe to do so. After a down-trend a number of rallies may fail before one eventually carries through. Likewise, the emotional high of a profitable trade may blind us to signs that the trend is reversing.
Patience
Wait for the right market conditions before trading. There are times when it is wise to stay out of the market and observe from the sidelines.
Conviction
Have the courage of your convictions: Take steps to protect your profits when you see that a trend is weakening, but sit tight and don’t let fear of losing part of your profit cloud your judgment. There is a good chance that the trend will resume its upward climb.
Detachment
Concentrate on the technical aspects rather than on the money. If your trades are technically correct, the profits will follow.
Stay emotionally detached from the market. Avoid getting caught up in the short-term excitement. Screen-watching is a tell-tale sign: if you continually check prices or stare at charts for hours it is a sign that you are unsure of your strategy and are likely to suffer losses.
Focus
Focus on the longer time frames and do not try to catch every short-term fluctuation. The most profitable trades are in catching the large trends.
Expect the unexpected
Investing involves dealing with probabilities ? not certainties. No one can predict the market correctly every time. Avoid gamblers? logic.
Average up – not down
If you increase your position when price goes against you, you are liable to compound your losses. When price starts to move it is likely to continue in that direction. Rather increase your exposure when the market proves you right and moves in your favor.
Limit your losses
Use stop-losses to protect your funds. When the stop loss is triggered, act immediately – don’t hesitate.
The biggest mistake you can make is to hold on to falling stocks, hoping for a recovery. Falling stocks have a habit of declining way below what you expected them to. Eventually you are forced to sell, decimating your capital.
Human nature being what it is, most traders and investors ignore these rules when they first start out. It can be an expensive lesson.
Control your emotions and avoid being swept along with the crowd. Make consistent decisions based on sound technical analysis.
Remember -12 Things in Life
With every market defeat lessons are learned
Here are some of the lessons I learned:
- 1)When faced with severe losses, it’s nearly impossible to objectively evaluate your position.
- 2)Leverage can be a killer.
- 3)A trading plan should be simple, not based on the collective opinions of 15 financial authors.
- 4)Never buy front month out of the money options, they are strictly for crazy speculators. If you’re going to use these, sell them to crazy speculators against your longer-term positions.
- 5)Bullish and Bearish divergences fail frequently.
- 6)If you want to arrive early to the party, be prepared to wait a long time for the action to arrive.
- 7)Those funny Greek names, Delta and Theta, actually mean something!
- 8)It’s not acceptable to have multiple blowups like this. Many great traders have suffered a crushing capital blow early in their careers, only to return stronger and wiser. Others, like Jesse Livermore, ended his career (and life) after one too many detonations.
Trading To Win – The Psychology of Mastering the Markets
The Ten Cardinal Rules
1. Learn to function in a tense, unstructured, and unpredictable environment.
2. Be an independent thinker versus a conventional thinker.
3. Work out a way to handle your emotions and maintain objectivity.
4. Don’t rely on hope and fear in the conventional sense.
5. Work continuously to improve yourself, giving importance to self-examination and recognizing that your personality and way of responding to events are a critical part of the game. This requires continuous coaching.
6. Modify your normal responses to certain events.
7. Be willing to face problems, understand them, and recognize that they are in some way related to your behavior.
8. Know when problems can be resolved and then apply methods to solve them. That may mean giving up some control in order to gain a different control. It may mean changes in your personality, learning self-reliance, or giving up independence and ego to become part of a trading team.
9. Understand the larger framework in which trading occurs—how the complexity of the marketplace and your personality both must be taken into account in order to develop the mastery of trading.
10. Develop the right mind-set for trading—a willingness to commit to the kinds of changes in personal habits and beliefs that will drastically alter your life. To do this requires a willingness to surrender to the forces of the game. In order to be able to play at a maximum level, you have to let go of your egoand your need to have things your way.
A Conversation with Bill Gates- VIDEO
Confidence in Trading: The Approach
Have you ever seen a gorgeous goddess? A woman so magnificent you just are beeming energy inside to go talk to her? But as you walk over you start to notice how you’re walking, what facial gestures you’re making, where your hands are, confidence fading… You’re becoming self-conscious and that wonderful feeling of excitement has now turned into fear. Do you remember the last time you talked to a woman in this energy? In this self-conscious / fear mentality? Didn’t go so well did it? Why is a stock any different?
It’s all about the approach and mental confidence prior to the trade. When you approach an event with fear that energy gets transferred into it. I’ve talked about how The Energy of Fear is Consumption in this prior post. So if you’re feeling nervous before a trade take note of this. Where is this fear coming from? Is it related to money? Lack of confidence in yourself? Lack of self worth? It could be a million different things but you need to find and focus on the one that resonates with you. I’m currently working on a meditation that will assist you through the process of finding this fear and making it your ally.
Remember the emotion will come during the “approach.” Keep track of how you feel, as this will set the course of how the rest of your interaction with the trade will go. Keep in mind that magnificent woman: Do you approach her as nervous, not confident, and fearful of reject or strong, confident and full of love?
China's military power compared to the US, Russia, India, South Korea and Japan
Leaders spend 5% of their time on the problem & 95% of their time on the solution. Forget A, get to Z
Mark Zuckerberg Interview With Diane Sawyer
Diane Sawyer on ABC on July 21 interviewed Facebook’s CEO and Founder Mark Zuckerberg. She spoke with him about Facebook hitting 500 million members (third largest country in the world), plans to go public, the recent contract dispute with Paul Ceglia claiming he owns 84% of Facebook (which Zuckerberg calls BS), the new movie which he calls “fiction” and reflections on Harvard. He also answers viewer questions. Dude is on top of the world at 26. Below is a 6 minute interview clip and links to more footage from the interview.