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Ignorance, Greed, Fear and Hope

Ignorance, Greed, Fear and Hope

In the book “Reminiscences of a Stock Operator,” Edwin Lefevre writes: 
The speculator’s deadly enemies are: Ignorance, Greed, Fear and Hope.

In today’s commentary we will take a look at “Hope” and see why it is one of the four deadly enemies of successful market timing. 
Each of us has a desire for success. That is why we use market timing in our investing. Not only to increase our gains in both bull and bear markets, but importantly to protect our capital against loss. 
But that same desire for success can stand in the way of our ability to recognize reality, even if it is right before our eyes. All of us have a survival instinct that typically causes us to focus on good news. Bad news is avoided, or at least put on the back burner. 
When we take a position in the market, whether bullish or bearish, we hope it will be successful. Hope can be such a powerful emotion, that when the same trading plan that told us to enter a position originally, reverses and tells us to exit immediately, our emotions may very well focus on the possibility that if we just hold on a bit longer, any loss may be erased.  (more…)

Movie Titles Entirely Appropriate For This Market Moment

Movie Titles Entirely Appropriate For This Market Moment:

Outrageous Fortune

Bubble Boy

Flight of the Phoenix

Against All Odds

Miracle

The Bank Job

The Quick and the Dead

The Comebacks

The Perfect Score

Wild Hogs

The Big Squeeze

The China Syndrome

As Good As It Gets

Wag The Dog

The Fast & The Furious

Fearless

Proof Of Life

Human Nature

Leap Of Faith

Sexy Beast

The Road To Perdition

Unbreakable

Analyze This

4 Dirty Words of Trading

Should– Phrases include: “The market should have” and “I should have”. Those phrases are often used to socialize losses. They are a strong signal something is off. They should be used to aid you in correcting your vision not make you feel better.

Must– Phrases include: “The market must…”, “I must make money”, or “I must trade”. The market does not have to do anything and neither do you. When you use the word “must” it is hardly ever from a position of strength. The market knows when you are desperate and will take full advantage of you. Keeping your expenses as low as possible will make it easier to not make those statements.

Won’t– Phrases include: “The market won’t…” or “I won’t make money”. Notice a theme here? You are part of the market, you are not the market. Not getting what you expect, even if it is positive, confuses the brain. If you expect to lose and don’t it is still a bad outcome. Your brain is going through enough as it is. The market is a one way walkie talkie, you listen, it talks.

Can’t– Phrases include: “The market can’t..” or “I can’t…” or “I can’t lose anymore”. Yes the market can, go look at a chart. Go look at a Fed day or about any chart from 2008. Not only can it happen, it does happen. There are no more once in a lifetime moves in the market. There are and always have been life changing moves. No one ever said trading was easy but at least in the case of futures someone is taking your money. If you think you can’t, you probably wont. The market will take every penny you have. If can take every penny you put at risk. Fix the problem, when you run out of money it is too late.

THE LAWS of Lifetime Growth:

LAW ONE: Always make your future bigger than your past. Find out more

LAW TWO: Always make your learning greater than your experience. Find out more

LAW THREE: Always make your contribution bigger than your reward. Find out more

LAW FOUR: Always make your performance greater than your applause. Find out more

LAW FIVE: Always make your gratitude greater than your success. Find out more

LAW SIX: Always make your enjoyment greater than your effort. Find out more

LAW SEVEN: Always make your cooperation greater than your status. Find out more

LAW EIGHT: Always make your confidence greater than your comfort. Find out more

LAW NINE: Always make your purpose greater than your money. Find out more

LAW TEN: Always make your questions bigger than your answers. Find out more

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