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Archives of “February 2019” month
rssEx-JP Morgan traders and their artificial intelligence FX trading fund
A Bloomberg piece on an artificial intelligence-driven hedge fund run by two former JPMorgan traders
Some interesting points:
- fund uses so-called deep-learning algorithms to analyze data and forecast market moves
- model monitors trading levels across a variety of asset classes as well as economic figures and consensus estimates, and assigns potential return probabilities to various trades
- “It can say if you’re positioned this way, chances are you’re going to make a lot more money than the other way around
- So the odds, the probabilities are with you, or there’s an asymmetric payoff in this sense.”
Not much more on detail etc., as you’d expect I guess. Link is here.
Gotta keep learnin’ more on of this stuff!
"The size of your wins and losses doesn't matter as long as you're lucky."
John Bogle talking about the lessons from his new book: The Clash of Cultures: Investment vs. Speculation.
HOW TO LOSE MONEY IN THE STOCK MARKET
There are so many ways to lose money in the stock market but whether it is from blindly trusting what turns out to be a Bernie Madoff ponzi scheme to refusing to take a loss on a “sure thing”, the root cause of losses is our inability to objectively perceive market action without the many and varied biases associated with “money on the line”.
According to Mark Douglas…
In any particular trade you never really know how far prices will travel from any given point. If you never really know where the market may stop, it is very easy to believe there are no limits to how much you can make on any given trade. From a psychological perspective this characteristic will allow you to indulge yourself in the illusion that each trade has the potential of fulfilling your wildest dream of financial independence. Based on the consistency of market participants and their potential to act as a force great enough to move prices in your direction, the possibility of having your dreams fulfilled may not even remotely exist. However, if you believe it does, then you will have the tendency to gather only the kind of market information that will confirm and reinforce your belief, all the while denying vital information that may be telling you the best opportunity may be in the opposite direction.
There are several psychological factors that go into being able to assess accurately the market’s potential for movement in any given direction. One of them is releasing yourself from the notion that each trade has the potential to fulfill all your dreams. At the very least this illusion will be a major obstacle keeping you from learning how to perceive market action from an objective perspective. Otherwise, if you continually filter market information in such a way as to confirm this belief, learning to be objective won’t be a concern because you probably won’t have any money left to trade with (italics mine).
From Chapter Four of THE DISCIPLINED TRADER
Power of TRENDLINE ,Complete Controll by Foreign Funds
Bitter Truth-95% Traders Don't understand this…
Leaderonomics: Video Interview-Jim Rogers
Economist Xie Discusses China Economy, Property, Stocks
Worth watching Video !!